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A predictive algorithm using clinical and laboratory parameters may assist in ruling out and in diagnosing MDS

HS. Oster, S. Crouch, A. Smith, G. Yu, B. Abu Shrkihe, S. Baruch, A. Kolomansky, J. Ben-Ezra, S. Naor, P. Fenaux, A. Symeonidis, R. Stauder, J. Cermak, G. Sanz, E. Hellström-Lindberg, L. Malcovati, S. Langemeijer, U. Germing, MS. Holm, K. Madry,...

. 2021 ; 5 (16) : 3066-3075. [pub] 20210824

Jazyk angličtina Země Spojené státy americké

Typ dokumentu časopisecké články

Perzistentní odkaz   https://www.medvik.cz/link/bmc21025092

We present a noninvasive Web-based app to help exclude or diagnose myelodysplastic syndrome (MDS), a bone marrow (BM) disorder with cytopenias and leukemic risk, diagnosed by BM examination. A sample of 502 MDS patients from the European MDS (EUMDS) registry (n > 2600) was combined with 502 controls (all BM proven). Gradient-boosted models (GBMs) were used to predict/exclude MDS using demographic, clinical, and laboratory variables. Area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC), sensitivity, and specificity were used to evaluate the models, and performance was validated using 100 times fivefold cross-validation. Model stability was assessed by repeating its fit using different randomly chosen groups of 502 EUMDS cases. AUC was 0.96 (95% confidence interval, 0.95-0.97). MDS is predicted/excluded accurately in 86% of patients with unexplained anemia. A GBM score (range, 0-1) of less than 0.68 (GBM < 0.68) resulted in a negative predictive value of 0.94, that is, MDS was excluded. GBM ≥ 0.82 provided a positive predictive value of 0.88, that is, MDS. The diagnosis of the remaining patients (0.68 ≤ GBM < 0.82) is indeterminate. The discriminating variables: age, sex, hemoglobin, white blood cells, platelets, mean corpuscular volume, neutrophils, monocytes, glucose, and creatinine. A Web-based app was developed; physicians could use it to exclude or predict MDS noninvasively in most patients without a BM examination. Future work will add peripheral blood cytogenetics/genetics, EUMDS-based prospective validation, and prognostication.

Department of Cell and Developmental Biology Sackler Faculty of Medicine Tel Aviv University Tel Aviv Israel

Department of Clinical Hematology Institute of Hematology and Blood Transfusion Prague Czech Republic

Department of Haematology Aberdeen Royal Infirmary Aberdeen United Kingdom

Department of Haematology Oncology and Internal Medicine Warsaw Medical University Warsaw Poland

Department of Haematology Worcestershire Acute Hospitals National Health Service Trust and University of Birmingham Birmingham United Kingdom

Department of Hematology Aarhus University Hospital Aarhus Denmark

Department of Hematology Democritus University of Thrace Medical School University Hospital of Alexandroupolis Alexandroupolis Greece

Department of Hematology Oncology and Clinical Immunology Universitätsklinik Düsseldorf Düsseldorf Germany

Department of Hematology Radboudumc Nijmegen The Netherlands

Department of Internal Medicine 5 Innsbruck Medical University Innsbruck Austria

Department of Medicine Tel Aviv Sourasky Medical Center Tel Aviv Israel

Department of Molecular Medicine and Hematology Oncology Fondazione Istituto di Ricovero e Cura a Carattere Scientifico Policlinico San Matteo University of Pavia Pavia Italy

Department of Pathology Tel Aviv Sourasky Medical Center Tel Aviv Israel

Department of Tumor Immunology Nijmegen Center for Molecular Life Sciences Radboudumc Nijmegen The Netherlands

Division Hematology Department of Internal Medicine University of Patras Medical School Patras Greece

Division of Hematology Department of Medicine Karolinska Institutet Stockholm Sweden

Epidemiology and Cancer Statistics Group Department of Health Sciences University of York York United Kingdom

Hematology Department Hospital Universitario y Politécnico La Fe Valencia Spain

Sackler Faculty of Medicine Tel Aviv University Tel Aviv Israel

Service d'Hématologie Centre Hospitalier de Perpignan Perpignan France

Service d'Hématologie Centre Hospitalier Universitaire Brabois Vandoeuvre Nancy France

Service d'Hématologie Séniors Hôpital Saint Louis Assistance Publique des Hôpitaux de Paris and Université Paris 7 Paris France

St James's Institute of Oncology The Leeds Teaching Hospitals NHS Trust Leeds United Kingdom

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