The authors aim to understand how lymphocyte populations could predict the course of multiple sclerosis (MS) in people treated with interferon-β (IFN-β). Twenty-five male patients and 72 female patients were analyzed in the study. Peripheral blood samples were taken before and 5 years after the treatment with IFN-β. Lymphocyte subsets were analyzed by flow cytometry. The authors compared lymphocyte parameters between confirmed sustained progression (CSP) and non-CSP groups by using Welch's one-way analysis of means or a chi-square test of independence. A penalized (lasso) logistic regression model was fitted to identify the combination of lymphocyte parameters for potential biomarkers. The combination of lymphocyte counts, relative CD3+/CD25+ cells, absolute CD8 T cells, absolute CD8+/CD38+ cells, absolute CD38+ cells, and relative CD5+/CD19+ cells was identified as potential biomarker for the IFN-β treatment to monitor MS development in relation to CSP. The results suggest that other biomarkers aid in patient observation, predict a favorable outcome, and assist in the decision-making process for the early therapy escalation.

Department of Clinical Immunology and Allergology University Hospital Hradec Králové Hradec Králové Czech Republic

Department of Neurology Faculty of Medicine and University Hospital Hradec Králové Charles University Prague Hradec Králové Czech Republic

Department of Statistics and Probability University of Economics Prague Prague Czech Republic

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