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Climate-change-driven growth decline of European beech forests
E. Martinez Del Castillo, CS. Zang, A. Buras, A. Hacket-Pain, J. Esper, R. Serrano-Notivoli, C. Hartl, R. Weigel, S. Klesse, V. Resco de Dios, T. Scharnweber, I. Dorado-Liñán, M. van der Maaten-Theunissen, E. van der Maaten, A. Jump, S. Mikac,...
Language English Country Great Britain
Document type Journal Article, Research Support, Non-U.S. Gov't
NLK
Directory of Open Access Journals
from 2018
Nature Open Access
from 2018-12-01
PubMed Central
from 2018
Europe PubMed Central
from 2018
ProQuest Central
from 2018-01-01
ROAD: Directory of Open Access Scholarly Resources
from 2018
Springer Nature OA/Free Journals
from 2018-12-01
- MeSH
- Fagus * MeSH
- Climate Change MeSH
- Forests MeSH
- Droughts MeSH
- Trees MeSH
- Publication type
- Journal Article MeSH
- Research Support, Non-U.S. Gov't MeSH
The growth of past, present, and future forests was, is and will be affected by climate variability. This multifaceted relationship has been assessed in several regional studies, but spatially resolved, large-scale analyses are largely missing so far. Here we estimate recent changes in growth of 5800 beech trees (Fagus sylvatica L.) from 324 sites, representing the full geographic and climatic range of species. Future growth trends were predicted considering state-of-the-art climate scenarios. The validated models indicate growth declines across large region of the distribution in recent decades, and project severe future growth declines ranging from -20% to more than -50% by 2090, depending on the region and climate change scenario (i.e. CMIP6 SSP1-2.6 and SSP5-8.5). Forecasted forest productivity losses are most striking towards the southern distribution limit of Fagus sylvatica, in regions where persisting atmospheric high-pressure systems are expected to increase drought severity. The projected 21st century growth changes across Europe indicate serious ecological and economic consequences that require immediate forest adaptation.
Chair of Forest Growth and Woody Biomass Production TU Dresden Tharandt Germany
Department of Agriculture Forestry and Food Sciences University of Turin Grugliasco Italy
Department of Earth and Environmental Sciences University of Pavia Pavia Italy
Department of Forestry University of Applied Sciences Weihenstephan Triesdorf Triesdorf Germany
Department of Geography and Regional Planning University of Zaragoza Zaragoza Spain
Department of Geography Autonomous University of Madrid Madrid Spain
Department of Geography Johannes Gutenberg University Mainz Germany
Faculty of Forestry and Wood Sciences Czech University of Life Sciences Prague Czech Republic
Faculty of Forestry and Wood Technology University of Zagreb Zagreb Croatia
Faculty of Forestry Sciences Agricultural University of Tirana Koder Kamez Albania
Faculty of Silviculture and Forest Engineering University of Brasov Brașov Romania
Global Change Research Institute of the Czech Academy of Sciences Brno Czech Republic
Institute for Botany and Landscape Ecology University Greifswald Greifswald Germany
Institute of Biodiversity and Ecosystem Research Bulgarian Academy of Sciences Sofia Bulgaria
Institute of Forest Ecosystems Thünen Institute Eberswalde Germany
Land Surface Atmosphere Interactions Technical University Munich Freising Germany
National Institute for Research and Development in Forestry Marin Dracea Voluntari Romania
Nature Rings Environmental Research and Education Mainz Germany
School of Life Science and Engineering Southwest University of Science and Technology Mianyang China
Slovenian Forestry Institute Ljubljana Slovenia
Systems and Natural Resources Department Universidad Politécnica de Madrid Madrid Spain
TERRA Teaching and Research Centre Gembloux Agro Bio Tech University of Liege Gembloux Belgium
TUM School of Life Sciences Ecoclimatology Technical University of Munich Munich Germany
References provided by Crossref.org
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