BACKGROUND: Maintaining of remission early in the disease course of Crohn's disease (CD) is essential and has major impact on the future prognosis. This study aimed to identify baseline predictors to develop model allowing stratification of patients who will not benefit from long-term azathioprine (AZA) treatment and will require more intensive therapy. METHODS: This study was designed to develop clinical prediction rule using retrospective data analysis of pediatric CD patients included in prospective inception cohort. Clinical relapse was defined as necessity of re-induction of remission. Sequence of Cox models was fitted to predict risk of relapse. RESULTS: Out of 1190 CD patients from 13 European centers, 441 were included, 50.3% patients did not experience clinical relapse within 2 years of AZA treatment initiation. Median time to relapse was 2.11 (CI 1.59-2.46) years. Of all the tested parameters available at diagnosis, six were significant in multivariate analyses: C-reactive protein (p = 0.038), body mass index Z-score >0.8 SD (p = 0.002), abnormal sigmoid imaging (p = 0.039), abnormal esophageal endoscopy (p = 0.005), ileocolonic localization (p = 0.023), AZA dose in specific age category (p = 0.031). CONCLUSIONS: Although the possibility of predicting relapse on AZA treatment appears limited, we developed predictive model based on six baseline parameters potentially helpful in clinical decision. IMPACT: The possibility of predicting relapse on AZA treatment appears to be possible but limited. We identified six independent predictors available at diagnosis of early AZA/6-MP treatment failure in pediatric CD patients. Using combination of these factors, a model applicable to clinical practice was created. A web-based tool, allowing estimation of individual relapse risk in pediatric CD patients on a particular therapeutic regimen, has been developed.

• MeSH
• azathioprin terapeutické užití   škodlivé účinky   MeSH
• Crohnova nemoc * komplikace   diagnóza   farmakoterapie   MeSH
• dítě MeSH
• imunosupresiva terapeutické užití   škodlivé účinky   MeSH
• indukce remise MeSH
• lidé MeSH
• prospektivní studie MeSH
• recidiva MeSH
• retrospektivní studie MeSH
• Check Tag
• dítě MeSH
• lidé MeSH
• Publikační typ
• časopisecké články MeSH
• práce podpořená grantem MeSH
• Názvy látek
• azathioprin MeSH
• imunosupresiva MeSH

Exclusive enteral nutrition (EEN) has been recommended as the first-line therapy in children with active Crohn disease (CD). The primary aim of our study was to determine whether it is possible to use the difference between basal fecal calprotectin (F-CPT) and the value at week 2 of EEN to predict clinical response at week 6. We prospectively collected stool samples for F-CPT analysis and clinical and laboratory parameters during EEN from 38 pediatric patients (28 boys, median age 12.8 years) with newly diagnosed active luminal CD. The difference between F-CPT concentrations before EEN and at week 2 did not predict clinical non-response at week 6 (OR 0.9996 95% CI 0.9989-1.0002, p = 0.18); however, it predicted patients who did not achieve clinical remission at week 6 (OR 0.9993, 95% CI 00.9985-0.9998, p = 0.006) with sensitivity of 58%, and specificity of 92% for cut-off of F-CPT increase by 486 μg/g.Conclusions: An early decrease in F-CPT levels in children with newly diagnosed active luminal CD did not predict clinical response at week 6 of EEN induction therapy, and clinical remission was predicted with low accuracy. Therefore, F-CPT cannot be used as a predictor to select the patients in whom EEN should be terminated. What is Known: • The fecal calprotectin (F-CPT) is an important marker of intestinal inflammation. • Approximately 25% of pediatric patients with Crohn disease (CD) do not achieve clinical remission, and there is still no sufficient predictor of response to exclusive enteral nutrition (EEN) treatment. What is New: • The difference between the F-CPT concentrations before EEN treatment and at week 2 did not predict clinical response to treatment at week 6, even if it predicted clinical remission, however, with low accuracy. F-CPT is not a suitable predictor to select the patients for discontinuing of EEN induction therapy.

• Klíčová slova
• Calprotectin, Inflammatory bowel disease, Prediction, Remission, Response,
• MeSH
• biologické markery analýza   MeSH
• Crohnova nemoc metabolismus   terapie   MeSH
• dítě MeSH
• enterální výživa škodlivé účinky   MeSH
• feces chemie   MeSH
• leukocytární L1-antigenní komplex analýza   MeSH
• lidé MeSH
• mladiství MeSH
• prospektivní studie MeSH
• senzitivita a specificita MeSH
• výsledek terapie MeSH
• Check Tag
• dítě MeSH
• lidé MeSH
• mladiství MeSH
• mužské pohlaví MeSH
• ženské pohlaví MeSH
• Publikační typ
• časopisecké články MeSH
• pozorovací studie MeSH
• Názvy látek
• biologické markery MeSH
• leukocytární L1-antigenní komplex MeSH