The substantial non-response rate in depressive patients indicates a continuing need to identify predictors of treatment outcome. The aim of this 6-week, open-label study was (1) to compare the efficacy of a priori defined predictors: ≥20% reduction in MADRS score at week 1, ≥20% reduction in MADRS score at week 2 (RM ≥ 20% W2), decrease of cordance (RC), and increase of serum and plasma level of brain-derived neurotrophic factor at week 1; and (2) to assess whether their combination yields higher efficacy in the prediction of response to selective serotonin re-uptake inhibitors (SSRIs) than when used singly. Twenty-one patients (55%) achieved a response to SSRIs. The RM ≥20% W2 (areas under curve-AUC = 0.83) showed better predictive efficacy compared to all other predictors with the exception of RC. The identified combined model (RM ≥ 20% W2 + RC), which predicted response with an 84% accuracy (AUC = 0.92), may be a useful tool in the prediction of response to SSRIs.

Department of Psychiatry and Medical Psychology of 3rd Medical Faculty Charles University Prague Czech Republic

National Institute of Mental Health Czech Republic Klecany

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