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The Sclerosing Cholangitis Outcomes in Pediatrics (SCOPE) Index: A Prognostic Tool for Children
MR. Deneau, C. Mack, ER. Perito, A. Ricciuto, PL. Valentino, M. Amin, AZ. Amir, M. Aumar, M. Auth, A. Broderick, M. DiGuglielmo, LG. Draijer, ED. Tavares Fagundes, W. El-Matary, F. Ferrari, KN. Furuya, N. Gupta, JT. Hochberg, M. Homan, S....
Language English Country United States
Document type Journal Article, Research Support, N.I.H., Extramural, Research Support, Non-U.S. Gov't
Grant support
UL1TR002538
NCATS NIH HHS - United States
UL1 RR025764
NCRR NIH HHS - United States
KL2 TR001065
NCATS NIH HHS - United States
UL1 TR000105
NCATS NIH HHS - United States
PubMed
32464706
DOI
10.1002/hep.31393
Knihovny.cz E-resources
- MeSH
- Bilirubin blood MeSH
- Biopsy MeSH
- Cholangiography MeSH
- Child MeSH
- gamma-Glutamyltransferase blood MeSH
- Humans MeSH
- Adolescent MeSH
- Platelet Count MeSH
- Prognosis MeSH
- Disease Progression MeSH
- Retrospective Studies MeSH
- Risk Factors MeSH
- Serum Albumin analysis MeSH
- Cholangitis, Sclerosing diagnosis mortality pathology surgery MeSH
- Liver Transplantation MeSH
- Check Tag
- Child MeSH
- Humans MeSH
- Adolescent MeSH
- Male MeSH
- Female MeSH
- Publication type
- Journal Article MeSH
- Research Support, Non-U.S. Gov't MeSH
- Research Support, N.I.H., Extramural MeSH
BACKGROUND AND AIMS: Disease progression in children with primary sclerosing cholangitis (PSC) is variable. Prognostic and risk-stratification tools exist for adult-onset PSC, but not for children. We aimed to create a tool that accounts for the biochemical and phenotypic features and early disease stage of pediatric PSC. APPROACH AND RESULTS: We used retrospective data from the Pediatric PSC Consortium. The training cohort contained 1,012 patients from 40 centers. We generated a multivariate risk index (Sclerosing Cholangitis Outcomes in Pediatrics [SCOPE] index) that contained total bilirubin, albumin, platelet count, gamma glutamyltransferase, and cholangiography to predict a primary outcome of liver transplantation or death (TD) and a broader secondary outcome that included portal hypertensive, biliary, and cancer complications termed hepatobiliary complications (HBCs). The model stratified patients as low, medium, or high risk based on progression to TD at rates of <1%, 3%, and 9% annually and to HBCs at rates of 2%, 6%, and 13% annually, respectively (P < 0.001). C-statistics to discriminate outcomes at 1 and 5 years were 0.95 and 0.82 for TD and 0.80 and 0.76 for HBCs, respectively. Baseline hepatic fibrosis stage was worse with increasing risk score, with extensive fibrosis in 8% of the lowest versus 100% with the highest risk index (P < 0.001). The model was validated in 240 children from 11 additional centers and performed well. CONCLUSIONS: The SCOPE index is a pediatric-specific prognostic tool for PSC. It uses routinely obtained, objective data to predict a complicated clinical course. It correlates strongly with biopsy-proven liver fibrosis. SCOPE can be used with families for shared decision making on clinical care based on a patient's individual risk, and to account for variable disease progression when designing future clinical trials.
1st Department of Pediatrics University of Athens Children's Hospital Agia Sofia Athens Greece
Alder Hey Children's Hospital Liverpool United Kingdom
Amsterdam University Medical Center Amsterdam The Netherlands
Boston Children's Hospital and Harvard Medical School Boston MA
Children's Health Ireland at Crumlin and University College Dublin Dublin Ireland
Children's Hospital at Montefiore Albert Einstein College of Medicine Bronx NY
Children's Hospital of Philadelphia Philadelphia PA
Children's National Medical Center Washington DC
Cincinnati Children's Hospital Medical Center Cincinnati OH
Columbia University New York NY
Emory University School of Medicine Atlanta GA
Faculty of Medicine and Health Sciences UJK Kielce Kielce Poland
Federal University of Minas Gerais Belo Horizonte Brazil
Indiana University Indianapolis IN
Johns Hopkins University Baltimore MD
London Health Sciences Center Western University London Ontario Canada
Lurie Children's Hospital Chicago IL
Massachusetts General Hospital Harvard Medical School Boston MA
Medical College of Wisconsin Milwaukee WI
Memorial University St John's Newfoundland Canada
Nemours Alfred 1 duPont Hospital for Children Wilmington DE
Northwest Pediatric Gastroenterology LLC Portland OR
Oklahoma University Oklahoma City OK
Palacky University Olomouc Czech Republic
Phoenix Children's Hospital Phoenix AZ
Sapienza University of Rome Rome Italy
Shaare Zedek Medical Center Jerusalem Israel
Teikyo University School of Medicine Tokyo Japan
The Dana Dwek Children's Hospital The Tel Aviv Medical Center Tel Aviv University Tel Aviv Israel
University of California San Diego San Diego CA
University of California San Francisco San Francisco CA
University of Colorado School of Medicine Aurora CO
University of Helsinki Hospital and Tampere University Helsinki Finland
University of Lille CHU Lille Lille France
University of Ljubljana Ljubljana Slovenia
University of Manitoba Winnipeg Manitoba Canada
University of Naples Federico 2 Naples Italy
University of Rochester Medical Center Rochester NY
University of Southern California Los Angeles CA
University of Toronto Toronto Ontario Canada
University of Ulsan Seoul South Korea
University of Utah and Intermountain Primary Children's Hospital Salt Lake City UT
University of Washington Seattle WA
University of Wisconsin Madison School of Medicine and Public Health Madison WI
References provided by Crossref.org
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