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Comparison of weather station and climate reanalysis data for modelling temperature-related mortality
MN. Mistry, R. Schneider, P. Masselot, D. Royé, B. Armstrong, J. Kyselý, H. Orru, F. Sera, S. Tong, É. Lavigne, A. Urban, J. Madureira, D. García-León, D. Ibarreta, JC. Ciscar, L. Feyen, E. de Schrijver, M. de Sousa Zanotti Stagliorio Coelho, M....
Language English Country Great Britain
Document type Journal Article, Research Support, Non-U.S. Gov't
Grant support
MR/R013349/1
Medical Research Council - United Kingdom
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- MeSH
- Weather * MeSH
- Climate * MeSH
- Temperature MeSH
- Hot Temperature MeSH
- Publication type
- Journal Article MeSH
- Research Support, Non-U.S. Gov't MeSH
Epidemiological analyses of health risks associated with non-optimal temperature are traditionally based on ground observations from weather stations that offer limited spatial and temporal coverage. Climate reanalysis represents an alternative option that provide complete spatio-temporal exposure coverage, and yet are to be systematically explored for their suitability in assessing temperature-related health risks at a global scale. Here we provide the first comprehensive analysis over multiple regions to assess the suitability of the most recent generation of reanalysis datasets for health impact assessments and evaluate their comparative performance against traditional station-based data. Our findings show that reanalysis temperature from the last ERA5 products generally compare well to station observations, with similar non-optimal temperature-related risk estimates. However, the analysis offers some indication of lower performance in tropical regions, with a likely underestimation of heat-related excess mortality. Reanalysis data represent a valid alternative source of exposure variables in epidemiological analyses of temperature-related risk.
Air Health Science Division Health Canada Ottawa ON Canada
Center for Global Health School of Public Health Nanjing Medical University Nanjing China
Centre for Statistical Methodology London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine London UK
CIBER de Epidemiología y Salud Pública Madrid Spain
Department of Economics Ca' Foscari University of Venice Venice Italy
Department of Environmental Health Instituto Nacional de Saúde Dr Ricardo Jorge Porto Portugal
Department of Family Medicine and Public Health University of Tartu Tartu Estonia
Department of Geography University of Santiago de Compostela Santiago de Compostela Spain
EPIUnit Instituto de Saúde Pública Universidade do Porto Porto Portugal
Faculty of Environmental Sciences Czech University of Life Sciences Prague Czech Republic
Faculty of Medicine University of São Paulo São Paulo Brazil
Forecast Department European Centre for Medium Range Weather Forecast Reading UK
Graduate School of Health Science University of Bern Bern Switzerland
Institute of Atmospheric Physics of the Czech Academy of Sciences Prague Czech Republic
Institute of Environmental Assessment and Water Research Barcelona Spain
Institute of Social and Preventive Medicine University of Bern Bern Switzerland
Oeschger Center for Climate Change Research University of Bern Bern Switzerland
School of Epidemiology and Public Health University of Ottawa Ottawa ON Canada
School of Public Health and Social Work Queensland University of Technology Brisbane QLD Australia
School of Tropical Medicine and Global Health Nagasaki University Nagasaki Japan
Shanghai Children's Medical Center Shanghai Jiao Tong University School of Medicine Shanghai China
The Joint Research Center European Commission Ispra Italy
References provided by Crossref.org
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