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Model-averaged Bayesian t tests
M. Maier, F. Bartoš, DS. Quintana, F. Dablander, DV. den Bergh, M. Marsman, A. Ly, EJ. Wagenmakers
Language English Country United States
Document type Journal Article, Review
Grant support
EP-C-17-017
EPA - United States
CEP Register
16.Vici.170.083, 451-17-017
Nederlandse Organisatie voor Wetenschappelijk Onderzoek
743086 UNIFY
H2020 European Research Council
- MeSH
- Bayes Theorem MeSH
- Psychology, Experimental * methods MeSH
- Data Interpretation, Statistical MeSH
- Humans MeSH
- Models, Statistical * MeSH
- Check Tag
- Humans MeSH
- Publication type
- Journal Article MeSH
- Review MeSH
One of the most common statistical analyses in experimental psychology concerns the comparison of two means using the frequentist t test. However, frequentist t tests do not quantify evidence and require various assumption tests. Recently, popularized Bayesian t tests do quantify evidence, but these were developed for scenarios where the two populations are assumed to have the same variance. As an alternative to both methods, we outline a comprehensive t test framework based on Bayesian model averaging. This new t test framework simultaneously takes into account models that assume equal and unequal variances, and models that use t-likelihoods to improve robustness to outliers. The resulting inference is based on a weighted average across the entire model ensemble, with higher weights assigned to models that predicted the observed data well. This new t test framework provides an integrated approach to assumption checks and inference by applying a series of pertinent models to the data simultaneously rather than sequentially. The integrated Bayesian model-averaged t tests achieve robustness without having to commit to a single model following a series of assumption checks. To facilitate practical applications, we provide user-friendly implementations in JASP and via the RoBTT package in R . A tutorial video is available at https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=EcuzGTIcorQ.
Department of Psychology University of Amsterdam Amsterdam The Netherlands
Department of Psychology University of Oslo Oslo Norway
Institute for Advanced Study University of Amsterdam Amsterdam Netherlands
Institute for Biodiversity and Ecosystem Dynamics University of Amsterdam Amsterdam Netherlands
Institute of Computer Science Czech Academy of Sciences Prague Czechia
KG Jebsen Centre for Neurodevelopmental Disorders University of Oslo Oslo Norway
Machine Learning Group CWI Amsterdam Amsterdam The Netherlands
NevSom Department of Rare Disorders Oslo University Hospital Oslo Norway
References provided by Crossref.org
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