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PubMed

Záznam pochází z PubMed

Mortality and displaced mortality during heat waves in the Czech Republic

Kyselý, Jan
Autor Kyselý, Jan Institute of Atmospheric Physics AS CR, Bocní II 1401, 141 31 Prague, Czech Republic. honza@ufa.cas.cz

International journal of biometeorology. 2004 Nov ; 49 (2) : 91-7. [epub] 20040729

Int J Biometeorol
ISSN 0020-7128
Zdroj

Jazyk angličtina Země Spojené státy americké Médium print-electronic

Typ dokumentu časopisecké články, práce podpořená grantem

Perzistentní odkaz https://www.medvik.cz/link/pmid15549422

PubMed 15549422
DOI 10.1007/s00484-004-0218-2
Knihovny.cz E-zdroje

MeSH
dítě MeSH
dospělí MeSH
kardiovaskulární nemoci etiologie mortalita MeSH
kojenec MeSH
lidé středního věku MeSH
lidé MeSH
mladiství MeSH
mortalita trendy MeSH
novorozenec MeSH
podnebí MeSH
předškolní dítě MeSH
retrospektivní studie MeSH
rizikové faktory MeSH
roční období MeSH
senioři MeSH
vysoká teplota škodlivé účinky MeSH
Check Tag
dítě MeSH
dospělí MeSH
kojenec MeSH
lidé středního věku MeSH
lidé MeSH
mladiství MeSH
mužské pohlaví MeSH
novorozenec MeSH
předškolní dítě MeSH
senioři MeSH
ženské pohlaví MeSH
Publikační typ
časopisecké články MeSH
práce podpořená grantem MeSH
Geografické názvy
Česká republika epidemiologie MeSH

The aims of this study were to assess impacts of hot summer periods on mortality in the Czech Republic and to quantify the size of the short-term displacement effect which resulted in lower than expected mortality after heat waves. The analysis covered the period 1982-2000 when several extraordinarily hot summers occurred in central Europe. Daily total all-cause mortality and mortality due to cardiovascular diseases (CVD) in the entire population of the Czech Republic (approximately 10 million inhabitants) were examined. The daily death counts were standardized to account for the long-term decline in mortality and the seasonal and weekly cycles. Heat-related mortality is better expressed if 1-day lag after temperature is considered compared to the unlagged relationship. With the 1-day lag, both excess total mortality and excess CVD mortality were positive during all 17 heat waves, and in 14 (12) heat waves the increase in total (CVD) mortality was statistically significant ( P=0.05). The mean relative rise in total mortality during heat waves was 13%. The response was greater in females than males and similar regardless of whether total or CVD mortality was used. The largest relative increases, exceeding 20% in both total and CVD mortality, were associated with heat waves which occurred in early summer (the first half of July 1984 and June 1994). The mortality displacement effect played an important role since mortality tended to be lower than expected after hot periods. The mean net mortality change due to heat waves was estimated to be about a 1% increase in the number of deaths. The large relative increases during some heat waves were particularly noteworthy since the study (in contrast to most analyses of the heat stress/mortality relationship) was not restricted to an urban area and/or an elderly population.

Institute of Atmospheric Physics AS CR Bocní 2 1401 141 31 Prague Czech Republic

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