Examining the supposition that local-scale competition drives macroevolutionary patterns has become a familiar goal in fossil biodiversity studies. However, it is an elusive goal, hampered by inadequate confirmation of ecological equivalence and interactive processes between clades, patchy sampling, few comparative analyses of local species assemblages over long geological intervals, and a dearth of appropriate statistical tools. We address these concerns by reevaluating one of the classic examples of clade displacement in the fossil record, in which cheilostome bryozoans surpass the once dominant cyclostomes. Here, we analyse a newly expanded and vetted compilation of 40 190 fossil species occurrences to estimate cheilostome and cyclostome patterns of species proportions within assemblages, global genus richness and genus origination and extinction rates while accounting for sampling. Comparison of time-series models using linear stochastic differential equations suggests that inter-clade genus origination and extinction rates are causally linked to each other in a complex feedback relationship rather than by simple correlations or unidirectional relationships, and that these rates are not causally linked to changing within-assemblage proportions of cheilostome versus cyclostome species.

Centre for Ecological and Evolutionary Synthesis Department of Biosciences University of Oslo Oslo Norway

Department of Geography Technical University of Liberec Studentská 2 CZ 461 Liberec Czech Republic

Natural History Museum University of Oslo Oslo Norway

Negaunee Integrative Research Center Field Museum 1400 S Lake Shore Drive Chicago IL 60605 USA

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Paleozoic origins of cheilostome bryozoans and their parental care inferred by a new genome-skimmed phylogeny

When fossil clades 'compete': local dominance, global diversification dynamics and causation

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10.5061/dryad.zpc866t6s