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Comparative effectiveness in multiple sclerosis: A methodological comparison

. 2023 Mar ; 29 (3) : 326-332. [epub] 20230219

Language English Country Great Britain, England Media print-electronic

Document type Journal Article, Research Support, Non-U.S. Gov't

BACKGROUND: In the absence of evidence from randomised controlled trials, observational data can be used to emulate clinical trials and guide clinical decisions. Observational studies are, however, susceptible to confounding and bias. Among the used techniques to reduce indication bias are propensity score matching and marginal structural models. OBJECTIVE: To use the comparative effectiveness of fingolimod vs natalizumab to compare the results obtained with propensity score matching and marginal structural models. METHODS: Patients with clinically isolated syndrome or relapsing remitting MS who were treated with either fingolimod or natalizumab were identified in the MSBase registry. Patients were propensity score matched, and inverse probability of treatment weighted at six monthly intervals, using the following variables: age, sex, disability, MS duration, MS course, prior relapses, and prior therapies. Studied outcomes were cumulative hazard of relapse, disability accumulation, and disability improvement. RESULTS: 4608 patients (1659 natalizumab, 2949 fingolimod) fulfilled inclusion criteria, and were propensity score matched or repeatedly reweighed with marginal structural models. Natalizumab treatment was associated with a lower probability of relapse (PS matching: HR 0.67 [95% CI 0.62-0.80]; marginal structural model: 0.71 [0.62-0.80]), and higher probability of disability improvement (PS matching: 1.21 [1.02 -1.43]; marginal structural model 1.43 1.19 -1.72]). There was no evidence of a difference in the magnitude of effect between the two methods. CONCLUSIONS: The relative effectiveness of two therapies can be efficiently compared by either marginal structural models or propensity score matching when applied in clearly defined clinical contexts and in sufficiently powered cohorts.

Aarhus University Hospital Aarhus Denmark

Azienda Ospedaliera di Rilievo Nazionale San Giuseppe Moscati Avellino Avellino Italy

Bakirkoy Education and Research Hospital for Psychiatric and Neurological Diseases Istanbul Turkey

Brain and Mind Centre Sydney NSW Australia

Center of Neuroimmunology Service of Neurology Hospital Clinic de Barcelona Barcelona Spain

Centro Sclerosi Multipla UOC Neurologia ARNAS Garibaldi Catania Italy

CHUM MS Center and Universite de Montreal Montreal QC Canada

CISSS Chaudière Appalache Levis QC Canada

Cliniques Universitaires Saint Luc Brussels Belgium Université Catholique de Louvain Ottignies Louvain la Neuve Belgium

CORe Department of Medicine University of Melbourne Melbourne VIC Australia

CORe Department of Medicine University of Melbourne Melbourne VIC Australia Neuroimmunology Centre Department of Neurology Royal Melbourne Hospital Melbourne VIC Australia

CSSS Saint Jérôme Saint Jerome QC Canada

Department of Medical and Surgical Sciences and Advanced Technologies G F Ingrassia Catania Italy Multiple Sclerosis Center University of Catania Catania Italy

Department of Medicine and Surgery University of Parma Parma Italy Department of Emergency and General Medicine Parma University Hospital Parma Italy

Department of Medicine Sultan Qaboos University Hospital Al Khodh Oman

Department of Neurology and Center of Clinical Neuroscience 1st Faculty of Medicine Charles University Prague and General University Hospital Prague Czech Republic

Department of Neurology ASL3 Genovese Genova Italy Department of Rehabilitation M L Novarese Hospital Moncrivello Moncrivello Italy

Department of Neurology Box Hill Hospital Melbourne VIC Australia Monash University Melbourne VIC Australia Neuroimmunology Centre Royal Melbourne Hospital Melbourne VIC Australia

Department of Neurology Box Hill Hospital Melbourne VIC Australia The Alfred Hospital Melbourne VIC Australia

Department of Neurology Centro Hospitalar Universitario de Sao Joao Porto Portugal

Department of Neurology Faculty of Medicine University of Debrecen Debrecen Hungary

Department of Neurology Razi Hospital Manouba Tunisia

Department of Neurology School of Medicine and Koc University Research Center for Translational Medicine Koc University Istanbul Turkey

Department of Neurology The Alfred Hospital Melbourne VIC Australia Central Clinical School Monash University Clayton VIC Australia

Department of Neurology University Hospital Ghent Ghent Belgium

Department of Neuroscience Azienda Ospedaliera Universitaria Modena Italy

Dipartimento di Scienze Biomediche e Neuromotorie Università di Bologna Bologna Italy IRCCS Istituto delle Scienze Neurologiche di Bologna Bologna Italy

Division of Neurology Department of Medicine Amiri Hospital Sharq Kuwait

Dokuz Eylul University İzmir Turkey

Geelong Hospital Geelong VIC Australia

Groene Hart Ziekenhuis Gouda The Netherlands

Hacettepe University Ankara Turkey

Haydarpasa Numune Training and Research Hospital Istanbul Turkey

Hospital de Galdakao Usansolo Galdakao Spain

Hospital Fernandez Capital Federal Buenos Aires Argentina

Hospital General Universitario de Alicante Alicante Spain

Hospital Germans Trias i Pujol Badalona Spain

Hospital Universitario Donostia and IIS Biodonostia San Sebastián Spain

Hospital Universitario Virgen Macarena Sevilla Spain

Immune Tolerance Laboratory Ingham Institute and Department of Medicine University of New South Wales Sydney NSW Australia

Instituto Nacional de Ciencias Médicas y Nutrición Salvador Zubirán Mexico City Mexico

IRCCS Mondino Foundation Pavia Italy

Isfahan University of Medical Sciences Isfahan Iran

Jewish General Hospital Montreal QC Canada

KTU Medical Faculty Farabi Hospital Trabzon Turkey

Mayis University Samsun Turkey

Nehme and Therese Tohme Multiple Sclerosis Center American University of Beirut Medical Center Beirut Lebanon

Nemocnice Jihlava Jihlava Czech Republic

Neuro Rive Sud Greenfield Park QC Canada

Neurology Department King Fahad Specialist Hospital Dammam Khobar Saudi Arabia

Rehabilitation and MS Centre University MS Centre Noorderhart Hospital Pelt Belgium Pelt and Hasselt University Hasselt Belgium

Royal Victoria Hospital Belfast UK

School of Medicine and Public Health University Newcastle Newcastle NSW Australia Department of Neurology John Hunter Hospital Hunter New England Health Newcastle NSW Australia

South Eastern HSC Trust Belfast UK

St Vincent's University Hospital Dublin Ireland

The University of Queensland Brisbane QLD Australia Royal Brisbane and Women's Hospital Herston QLD Australia

Universidade Metropolitana de Santos Santos Brazil

University G d'Annunzio Chieti Italy

University Hospital Reina Sofia Cordoba Spain

UOC Neurologia Azienda Sanitaria Unica Regionale Marche AV3 Macerata Italy

Waikato Hospital Hamilton New Zealand

Zuyderland Medical Center Sittard Geleen The Netherlands School for Mental Health and Neuroscience Maastricht University Maastricht The Netherlands

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