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Implementation and validation of a Bayesian method for accurately forecasting duration of optimal pharmacodynamic target attainment with dalbavancin during long-term use for subacute and chronic staphylococcal infections

. 2024 Jan ; 63 (1) : 107038. [epub] 20231121

Language English Country Netherlands Media print-electronic

Document type Journal Article

Dalbavancin is increasingly being used for long-term treatment of subacute and chronic staphylococcal infections. In this study, a new Bayesian model was implemented and validated using MwPharm software for accurately forecasting the duration of pharmacodynamic target attainment above the efficacy thresholds of 4.02 mg/L or 8.04 mg/L against staphylococci. Forecasting accuracy improved substantially with the a posteriori approach compared with the a priori approach, particularly when two measured concentrations were used. This strategy may help clinicians to estimate the duration of optimal exposure with dalbavancin in the context of long-term treatment.

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