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Extreme drought impacts have been underestimated in grasslands and shrublands globally

. 2024 Jan 23 ; 121 (4) : e2309881120. [epub] 20240108

Language English Country United States Media print-electronic

Document type Journal Article

Grant support
DEB-1354732 National Science Foundation (NSF)
2020-67034-31898 US Department of Agriculture National Institute of Food and Agriculture

Climate change is increasing the frequency and severity of short-term (~1 y) drought events-the most common duration of drought-globally. Yet the impact of this intensification of drought on ecosystem functioning remains poorly resolved. This is due in part to the widely disparate approaches ecologists have employed to study drought, variation in the severity and duration of drought studied, and differences among ecosystems in vegetation, edaphic and climatic attributes that can mediate drought impacts. To overcome these problems and better identify the factors that modulate drought responses, we used a coordinated distributed experiment to quantify the impact of short-term drought on grassland and shrubland ecosystems. With a standardized approach, we imposed ~a single year of drought at 100 sites on six continents. Here we show that loss of a foundational ecosystem function-aboveground net primary production (ANPP)-was 60% greater at sites that experienced statistically extreme drought (1-in-100-y event) vs. those sites where drought was nominal (historically more common) in magnitude (35% vs. 21%, respectively). This reduction in a key carbon cycle process with a single year of extreme drought greatly exceeds previously reported losses for grasslands and shrublands. Our global experiment also revealed high variability in drought response but that relative reductions in ANPP were greater in drier ecosystems and those with fewer plant species. Overall, our results demonstrate with unprecedented rigor that the global impacts of projected increases in drought severity have been significantly underestimated and that drier and less diverse sites are likely to be most vulnerable to extreme drought.

Biological Station of Hiddensee Department of Biology University of Greifswald Kloster D 18565 Germany

Brackenridge Field Laboratory University of Texas Austin TX 78747

Center for Ecological Research and Forestry Applications Cerdanyola del Vallès Barcelona Catalonia 08193 Spain

Centre for Ecological Research Institute of Ecology and Botany Vácrátót 2163 Hungary

Centre for Integrative Ecology School of Life and Environmental Sciences Deakin University Burwood VIC 3125 Australia

Centro de Investigaciones sobre Desertificación Consejo Superior de Investigaciones Científicas Valencia 46113 Spain

Centro de Recursos Naturales Renovables de la Zona Semiárida CONICET Departamento de Biología Bioquímica y Farmacia Universidad Nacional del Sur Bahía Blanca 8000FTN Argentina

City of Boulder Open Space and Mountain Parks Boulder CO 80301

College of Grassland Science Shanxi Agricultural University Jinzhong 030801 China

Commonwealth Scientific and Industrial Research Organization Environment Wembley WA 6913 Australia

Conservancy Communities Living Among Wildlife Sustainably Botswana Seronga 00000 Botswana

Denver Zoo Denver CO 80205

Departamento de Biodiversidad y Restauración Instituto Pirenaico de Ecología Consejo Superior de Investigaciones Científicas Zaragoza 50059 Spain

Departamento de Ecologia Universidad de Alicante 03690 Alicante Spain

Departamento de Gestión Agropecuaria Universidad Nacional del Comahue Centro Universitario Regional Zona Atlántica Viedma 85009 Argentina

Departamento de Sistemática e Ecologia Universidade Federal da Paraíba Cidade Universitária Castelo Branco João Pessoa PB 58051 900 Brazil

Department of Agricultural Food and Nutritional Science University of Alberta Edmonton AB T6G 2P5 Canada

Department of Biodiversity Research and Systematic Botany University of Potsdam Potsdam 14469 Germany

Department of Biological Sciences Purdue University West Lafayette IN 47907

Department of Biological Sciences University of Alberta Edmonton AB T6G 2E9 Canada

Department of Biological Sciences University of Bergen Bergen 5007 Norway

Department of Biology and Geology Rey Juan Carlos University Madrid 28032 Spain

Department of Biology Colorado State University Fort Collins CO 80523

Department of Biology Indiana University Bloomington IN 47405

Department of Biology Saint Louis University St Louis MO 63103

Department of Biology The University of Winnipeg Winnipeg MB R3B 2E9 Canada

Department of Biology University of New Mexico Albuquerque NM 87131

Department of Biology University of Western Ontario London ON N6A 5B7 Canada

Department of Chemistry Life Sciences and Environmental Sustainability University of Parma Parma 1 43124 Italy

Department of Community Ecology Helmholtz Centre for Environmental Research UFZ Halle 06120 Germany

Department of Disturbance Ecology and Vegetation Dynamics Bayreuth Center of Ecology and Environmental Research University of Bayreuth Bayreuth 95447 Germany

Department of Ecology and Conservation Biology Texas A and M University College Station TX 77843

Department of Ecology and Environmental Science Umeå University Umeå S 901 87 Sweden

Department of Ecology and Evolutionary Biology Institute for Arctic and Alpine Research University of Colorado Boulder CO 80309

Department of Ecology Evolution and Behavior University of Minnesota Saint Paul MN 55108

Department of Ecology Evolution and Marine Biology University of California Santa Barbara CA 93106

Department of Ecology Universidade Federal de Goiás Goiânia GO 74690 900 Brazil

Department of Ecology Universidade Federal do Rio Grande do Sul Porto Alegre 91501 970 Brazil

Department of Ecology University of Innsbruck Innsbruck 6020 Austria

Department of Ecosystem Science and Sustainability Colorado State University Fort Collins CO 80523

Department of Environment and Society Utah State University Moab UT 84532

Department of Environmental Science and Management California State Polytechnic University Humboldt Arcata CA 95521

Department of Environmental Science Policy and Management University of California Berkeley CA 94720

Department of Environmental Studies University of California Santa Cruz CA 95064

Department of Geography and Biodiversity Research Centre University of British Columbia Vancouver BC V6T 1Z4 Canada

Department of Geosciences and Natural Resource Management University of Copenhagen Frederiksberg C 1958 Denmark

Department of Global Ecology Carnegie Institution for Science Stanford CA 94305

Department of Integrative Biology University of Texas Austin TX 78712

Department of Land Resources and Environmental Sciences Montana State University Bozeman MT 59717

Department of Natural Resource Science Thompson Rivers University Kamloops BC V2C 0C8 Canada

Department of Physiological Diversity Helmholtz Centre for Environmental Research UFZ Leipzig 04318 Germany

Department of Plant Sciences University of Saskatchewan Saskatoon SK S7N5A8 Canada

Department of Range Management Faculty of Natural Resources and Marine Sciences Tarbiat Modares University Noor 46417 76489 Iran

Department of Renewable Resources University of Alberta Edmonton AB T6G 2E3 Canada

Department of Soil and Crop Sciences Colorado State University Fort Collins CO 80523

Department of Wildland Resource and the Ecology Center Utah State University Logan UT 84322

Division of Biology Kansas State University Manhattan KS 66506

Ecology and Biodiversity Group Department of Biology Utrecht University Utrecht 3584 CH Netherlands

Ecosystem Physiology Faculty of Environment and Natural Resources Albert Ludwig University of Freiburg Freiburg 79110 Germany

Environmental and Conservation Sciences Murdoch University Murdoch WA 6150 Australia

Geobotany Faculty of Biology University of Freiburg Freiburg D 79104 Germany

German Centre for Integrative Biodiversity Research Halle Jena Leipzig Leipzig 04103 Germany

Global Ecology Unit Center for Ecological Research and Forestry Applications Bellaterra Catalonia 08194 Spain

Global Water Security Center The University of Alabama Tuscaloosa AL 35487

Graduate Degree Program in Ecology Colorado State University Fort Collins CO 80523

Graduate School of Environment and Information Sciences Yokohama National University Yokohama 240 8501 Japan

Gulbali Institute Charles Sturt University Albury NSW 2640 Australia

Hawkesbury Institute for the Environment Western Sydney University Penrith NSW 2751 Australia

Institute of Biology Leipzig University Leipzig 04103 Germany

Institute of Botany and Landscape Ecology Department of Experimental Plant Ecology University of Greifswald Greifswald D 17498 Germany

Institute of Botany Czech Academy of Sciences Třeboň 379 01 Czech Republic

Institute of Crop Science and Resource Conservation Department of Plant Nutrition University of Bonn Bonn 53115 Germany

Institute of Ecology and Earth Sciences University of Tartu Tartu EE50409 Estonia

Institute of Ecology and Evolution Friedrich Schiller University Jena Jena 07743 Germany

Institute of Grassland Science Key Laboratory of Vegetation Ecology of the Ministry of Education Jilin Songnen Grassland Ecosystem National Observation and Research Station Northeast Normal University Changchun 130024 China

Institute of Plant Sciences University of Bern Bern 3013 Switzerland

Institute of Resources and Environment International Centre for Bamboo and Rattan Key Laboratory of National Forestry and Grassland Administration and Beijing for Bamboo and Rattan Science and Technology Beijing 100102 China

Instituto de Investigaciones Fisiológicas y Ecológicas Vinculadas a la Agricultura Faculty of Agronomy University of Buenos Aires Buenos Aires C1417DSE Argentina

Instituto Multidisciplinar para el Estudio del Medio Ramón Margalef Universidad de Alicante 03690 Alicante Spain

Instituto Nacional de Tecnología Agropecuaria Universidad Nacional d ela Patagonia Austral CONICET Río Gallegos Caleta Olivia Z9011 Argentina

Isotope Biogeochemistry and GasFluxes Leibniz Zentrum fürAgrarlandschaftsforschung Müncheberg 15374 Germany

Key Laboratory of Adaptation and Evolution of Plateau Biota Northwest Institute of Plateau Biology Chinese Academy of Sciences Xining Qinghai 810008 China

Key Laboratory of Ecosystem Network Observation and Modeling Institute of Geographic Sciences and Natural Resources Research Chinese Academy of Sciences Beijing 100101 China

Key Laboratory of Forest Ecology and Environment of National Forestry and Grassland Administration Ecology and Nature Conservation Institute Chinese Academy of Forestry Beijing 100091 China

Laboratório de Ecologia Aplicada e Conservação Departamento de Sistemática e Ecologia Universidade Federal da Paraíba Cidade Universitária Castelo Branco João Pessoa PB 58051 900 Brazil

Laboratorio de Ecología Instituto de Investigaciones Marinas y Costeras CC 1260 Correo Central Mar del Plata B7600WAG Argentina

LI COR Biosciences 4647 Superior Street Lincoln NE 68505

Møreforsking Aalesund 6021 Norway

Norwegian Institute of Bioeconomy Research Department of Landscape and Biodiversity Tjøtta 8860 Norway

Nova Scotia Community College Annapolis Valley Campus Applied Research Middleton NS B0S 1P0 Canada

Oeschger Center for Climate Change Research University of Bern Bern 3012 Switzerland

Oklahoma Biological Survey University of Oklahoma Norman OK 73019

Plant Ecology Group Department of Biology University of Tübingen Tübingen 72076 Germany

Prataculture Research Institute Heilongjiang Academy of Agricultural Sciences Haerbin 150086 China

Programa de Posgrado en Desarrollo y Medio Ambiente Universidade Federal da Paraíba Cidade Universitária Castelo Branco João Pessoa PB 58051 900 Brazil

Range and Meadow Forage Management Research Eastern Oregon Agricultural Research Center US Department of Agriculture Agricultural Research Service Burns OR 97720

Research Center for Advanced Science and Technology University of Tokyo Meguro Tokyo 153 8904 Japan

School of Agricultural Forest and Food Sciences Bern University of Applied Sciences Zollikofen 3052 Switzerland

School of Biological Sciences University of Oklahoma Norman OK 73019

School of Ecology and Environment Ningxia University Yinchuan 750021 China

School of Grassland Science Beijing Forestry University Beijing 100083 China

School of Life and Environmental Sciences The University of Sydney Camperdown NSW 2006 Australia

School of Life Sciences Global Drylands Center Arizona State University Tempe AZ 85281

School of Life Sciences University of Kwazulu Natal Pietermaritzburg 3201 South Africa

School of Plant Sciences and Food Security Faculty of Life Sciences Tel Aviv University Tel Aviv 69978 Israel

Soil and Crop Sciences Section School of Integrative Plant Science Cornell University Ithaca NY 14853

State Key Laboratory of Vegetation and Environmental Change Institute of Botany Chinese Academy of Sciences Beijing 100093 China

U S Army Corps of Engineers Sacramento CA 95814

U S Geological Survey Southwest Biological Science Center Flagstaff AZ 86001

U S Geological Survey Southwest Biological Science Center Moab UT 84532

Universidad Nacional de Río Negro Centro de Estudios Ambientales desde la NorPatagonia Sede Atlántica CONICET Viedma 8500 Argentina

Université Clermont Auvergne National Research Institute for Agriculture Food and the Environment VetAgro Sup Research Unit for Grassland Ecosystems Clermont Ferrand 63000 France

Urat Desert grassland Research Station Northwest Institute of Eco Environment and Resources Chinese Academy of Science Lanzhou 730000 China

US Army Engineer Research and Development Center Environmental Laboratory Vicksburg MS 39180

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