Most cited article - PubMed ID 15316819
Radon-induced lung cancer in French and Czech miner cohorts described with a two-mutation cancer model
The biologically based two-stage clonal expansion (TSCE) model is used to analyze lung cancer in several miners studies, two new ones (Czech, French) and two historic ones (Chinese, Colorado). In all cases, the model assumptions are identical. An action of radiation on initiation, promotion, and transformation is allowed. While all four studies indicate a highly significant action of radiation on promotion, the action on initiation is not significant in the French cohort, and barely significant in the Colorado miners cohort. No action on transformation is found in the Colorado miners, while the other data sets indicate a borderline significance. The model can describe all the data sets adequately, with different model parameters. The observed patterns in exposure, time since beginning of exposure, birth year, age and calendar year are reproduced well. The doubling exposure rate for initiation is about 3.5 WLM/year in the new data sets, while it is higher in the historic data sets. For transformation the doubling rate is about 20 WLM/year for the new data sets, while again the historic data give higher estimates. The action of radiation on promotion is quite different in the four data sets. These differences also induce different risk estimates at low exposures. The larger power of the new studies at these low exposures, compared to the historic data requires less extrapolation when the risk at very low exposures is estimated.
- MeSH
- Algorithms MeSH
- Models, Biological * MeSH
- Radiation Dosage MeSH
- Risk Assessment methods MeSH
- Mining statistics & numerical data MeSH
- Incidence MeSH
- Cohort Studies MeSH
- Humans MeSH
- Radiation Monitoring methods MeSH
- Lung Neoplasms mortality MeSH
- Neoplasms, Radiation-Induced mortality MeSH
- Body Burden MeSH
- Computer Simulation MeSH
- Proportional Hazards Models MeSH
- Radon analysis MeSH
- Relative Biological Effectiveness MeSH
- Risk Factors MeSH
- Age Distribution MeSH
- Dose-Response Relationship, Radiation MeSH
- Check Tag
- Humans MeSH
- Publication type
- Journal Article MeSH
- Controlled Clinical Trial MeSH
- Clinical Trial MeSH
- Multicenter Study MeSH
- Research Support, Non-U.S. Gov't MeSH
- Comparative Study MeSH
- Validation Study MeSH
- Geographicals
- Czech Republic epidemiology MeSH
- China epidemiology MeSH
- Colorado epidemiology MeSH
- France epidemiology MeSH
- Names of Substances
- Radon MeSH