Nejvíce citovaný článek - PubMed ID 36765946
Survival in Colon, Rectal and Small Intestinal Cancers in the Nordic Countries through a Half Century
BACKGROUND: Chronic lymphocytic leukemia (CLL) is a common hematological malignancy with highly variable clinical presentation. Many patients never require any treatment but for the others, chemotherapy, immunochemotherapy, and newer targeted therapies have changed the treatment landscape. Diagnostic age influences the applied treatment, and we thus wanted to analyze age-specific survival trends through 50 years up to 2020s. METHODS: We used 1- and 5-year relative survival from the NORDCAN database, with data from Denmark (DK), Finland (FI), Norway (NO), and Sweden (SE). Because of the variable presentation of CLL, we also considered incidence and mortality trends. For comparison, US SEER data were used. RESULTS: The large age-specific survival differences in 1972-76 almost disappeared by 2017-21. While 5-year survival in younger patients exceeded 90%, for those diagnosed at age 80-89 years, survival reached 90% in DK and SE women, 80% in NO and SE men, but only 50% in FI. DK 5-year overall survival for men was 92.4%, and for women, it was 96.3%. These survival figures were higher than age-group-specific US survival data. CONCLUSIONS: The DK data are probably global top figures for national survival which could be achieved by boosting survival even among the oldest patients. The qualification to these figures and international comparisons is that survival needs to be considered in terms of incidence, which is high in DK and NO. Low survival of the FI 80-89-year-old patients, even in the first year after diagnosis, may suggest delayed diagnosis, which should call for a closer national scrutiny.
- Klíčová slova
- periodic survival, prognosis, targeted agents, treatment,
- Publikační typ
- časopisecké články MeSH
Esophageal cancer (EC) and gastric cancer (GC) are fatal cancers with a relatively late age of onset. Age is a negative risk factor for survival in many cancers and our aim was to analyze age-specific survival in EC and GC using the recently updated NORDCAN database. NORDCAN data originate from the Danish, Finnish, Norwegian, and Swedish nationwide cancer registries covering years 1972 through 2021 inviting for comparison of 50-year survival trends between the countries. Relative 1- and 5-year survival and 5/1-year conditional survival (i.e., survival in those who were alive in Year 1 to survive additional 4 years) were analyzed. Survival in EC showed large gains for patients below age 80 years, 5-year survival in Norwegian men reaching 30% and in women over 30% but for 80-89 year old survival remained at 10%. In contrast, hardly any gain was seen among the 80-89 year patients for 1-year survival and small gains in 5 year and 5/1-year survival. Survival gaps between age-groups increased over time. For GC there was also a clear age-related negative survival gradient but the survival gaps between the age groups did not widen over time; Norwegian male and female 5-year survival for 80-89 year old was about 20%. The age-specific survival difference in GC arose in Year 1 and did not essentially increase in 5-year survival. While there were differences in survival improvements between the countries, poor survival of the 80-89 year old patients was shared by all of them. To conclude, survival has improved steadily in younger GC and EC patients in most Nordic countries. While the 80-89 year old population accounts for nearly a quarter of all patients and their poor survival depressed overall survival, which can therefore be increased further by improving diagnostics, treatment and care of elderly EC and GC patients.
- Klíčová slova
- mortality, relative survival, risk factors, stomach cancer, treatment,
- MeSH
- dospělí MeSH
- lidé středního věku MeSH
- lidé MeSH
- míra přežití MeSH
- nádory jícnu * mortalita epidemiologie MeSH
- nádory žaludku * mortalita epidemiologie MeSH
- registrace * MeSH
- senioři nad 80 let MeSH
- senioři MeSH
- věkové faktory MeSH
- Check Tag
- dospělí MeSH
- lidé středního věku MeSH
- lidé MeSH
- mužské pohlaví MeSH
- senioři nad 80 let MeSH
- senioři MeSH
- ženské pohlaví MeSH
- Publikační typ
- časopisecké články MeSH
- Geografické názvy
- Skandinávie a severské státy epidemiologie MeSH
BACKGROUND: Despite treatment having improved through intensive surgical procedures and chemotherapy-and more recently, targeted therapies-ovarian cancer is the most fatal female cancer. As such, we wanted to analyze age-specific survival trends for ovarian cancer in Denmark, Finland, Norway and Sweden over the past 50 years, with a special aim of comparing survival development between the age groups. METHODS: We modelled survival data from the NORDCAN database for 1-, 5- and conditional 5/1-year relative (between years 1 and 5) survival for ovarian cancer from 1972 to 2021. RESULTS: Young patients had a 70% 5-year survival while the survival was only 30% for the oldest patients. Conditional survival showed that survival between years 1 and 5 did not improve for patients older than 60 years throughout the 50-year period, during which time the gaps between the youngest and the oldest patients widened. CONCLUSIONS: Improvement in 1-year survival was so large that it masked the modest development between years 1 and 5, resulting in a widening age disparity in 5-year survival. The current treatment practices, which appear increasingly effective for younger patients, have not helped remedy the large age differences in ovarian cancer survival. Early detection methods and therapeutic innovations are urgently needed, and aged patients need a special focus.
- Klíčová slova
- carboplatin cancer control, prognosis, relative survival, treatment,
- Publikační typ
- časopisecké články MeSH
BACKGROUND: Cancers of the head and neck (HN) are heterogeneous tumors with incidence rates varying globally. In Northern Europe oral and oropharyngeal cancers are the most common individual types. Survival for HN varies by individual tumor type but for most of them survival trends are not well known over extended periods of time. METHODS: Data for a retrospective survival study were obtained for Danish, Finnish, Norwegian, and Swedish patients from the NORDCAN database from 1971 to 2020. Relative 1- and 5-year survival rates and 5/1-year conditional survival for years 2-5 were calculated. RESULTS: Both 1- and 5-year survival improved for all HN cancers but only marginally for laryngeal cancer. For the other cancers a 50-year increase in 5-year survival was about 30% units for nasopharyngeal and oropharyngeal cancers, 20% units for oral cancer and somewhat less for hypopharyngeal cancer. CONCLUSIONS: 5-year survival reached about 65% for all HN cancers, except for hypopharyngeal cancer (30%). Human papilloma virus infection is becoming a dominant risk factor for the rapidly increasing oropharyngeal cancer, the prevention of which needs to emphasize oral sex as a route of infection.
- Klíčová slova
- conditional survival, human papilloma virus, oral cancer, pharyngeal cancer,
- MeSH
- incidence MeSH
- lidé středního věku MeSH
- lidé MeSH
- míra přežití MeSH
- nádory hltanu * mortalita epidemiologie MeSH
- nádory hrtanu * mortalita epidemiologie MeSH
- nádory úst mortalita epidemiologie MeSH
- retrospektivní studie MeSH
- rizikové faktory MeSH
- senioři MeSH
- Check Tag
- lidé středního věku MeSH
- lidé MeSH
- mužské pohlaví MeSH
- senioři MeSH
- ženské pohlaví MeSH
- Publikační typ
- časopisecké články MeSH
- Geografické názvy
- Skandinávie a severské státy epidemiologie MeSH
BACKGROUND: Survival in breast cancer (BC) has developed favorably but late recurrences are still a problem. METHODS: We model survival data from the NORDCAN database and analyze 1-, 5-, and 10-year relative survival and 5/1- and 10/5-year conditional survival in BC from Denmark (DK), Finland (FI), Norway (NO), and Sweden (SE) between 1971 and 2020. Conditional survival measures survival in those who had survived year 1 to reach year 5 (5/1), or in those who had survived year 5 to reach year 10 (10/5). RESULTS: Almost all survival metrics were best for SE but survival in all countries improved in the course of time approaching the SE levels which were 98.3% for 1-year, 92.3% for 5-year, and 87.8% for 10-year survival. Conditional 10/5-year survival, covering 5 years, was better than 5/1-year survival, covering 4 years. A contributing factor is most likely the high rate of recurrence in period 2-5 years. The difference was observed for all countries but for DK 10/5-year survival approached 1-year survival and for NO and SE 10/5-year survival was only barely better than 5/1-year survival. The explanation to this was the excellent 10/5-year survival in DK compared to SE and particularly to NO. Literature search suggested that the reason for the relatively low 10/5-year survival in NO might be stagnant survival development in old patients. CONCLUSIONS: We assume that late mortality is critically limiting survival in BC and either interference with the late metastatic process or effective treatment will be key to future improvements in BC survival.
- Klíčová slova
- conditional survival, metastasis, periodic survival, recurrence, screening, treatment,
- MeSH
- lidé MeSH
- míra přežití MeSH
- nádory prsu * epidemiologie terapie MeSH
- registrace MeSH
- rizikové faktory MeSH
- Check Tag
- lidé MeSH
- ženské pohlaví MeSH
- Publikační typ
- časopisecké články MeSH
- práce podpořená grantem MeSH
- Geografické názvy
- Dánsko epidemiologie MeSH
- Finsko epidemiologie MeSH
- Norsko MeSH
- Skandinávie a severské státy epidemiologie MeSH
- Švédsko epidemiologie MeSH
Survival studies are important tools for cancer control, but long-term survival data on high-quality cancer registries are lacking for all cancers, including prostate (PC), testicular (TC), and penile cancers. Using generalized additive models and data from the NORDCAN database, we analyzed 1- and 5-year relative survival for these cancers in Denmark (DK), Finland (FI), Norway (NO), and Sweden (SE) over a 50-year period (1971-2020). We additionally estimated conditional 5/1-year survival for patients who survived the 1st year after diagnosis. Survival improved early for TC, and 5-year survival reached 90% between 1985 (SE) and 2000 (FI). Towards the end of the follow-up, the TC patients who had survived the 1st year survived the next 4 years with comparable probability to the background population. For PC, the 90% landmark was reached between 2000 (FI) and after 2010 (DK). For penile cancer, 5-year survival never reached the 90% landmark, and the improvements in survival were modest at best. For TC, early mortality requires attention, whereas late mortality should be tackled for PC. For penile cancer, the relatively high early mortality may suggest delays in diagnosis and would require more public awareness and encouragement of patients to seek medical opinion. In FI, TC and penile cancer patients showed roughly double risk of dying compared to the other Nordic countries, which warrants further study and clinical attention.
- Klíčová slova
- conditional survival, periodic survival, prognosis, time trends, treatment,
- Publikační typ
- časopisecké články MeSH
BACKGROUND: The incidence of prostate cancer (PC) increased vastly as a result of prostate-specific antigen (PSA) testing. Survival in PC improved in the PSA-testing era, but changes in clinical presentation have hampered the interpretation of the underlying causes. DESIGN: We analyzed survival trends in PC using data from the NORDCAN database for Denmark (DK), Finland (FI), Norway (NO) and Sweden (SE) by analyzing 1-, 5- and 10-year relative survival and conditional relative survival over the course of 50 years (1971-2020). RESULTS: In the pre-PSA era, survival improved in FI and SE and improved marginally in NO but not in DK. PSA testing began toward the end of the 1980s; 5-year survival increased by approximately 30%, and 10-year survival improved even more. Conditional survival from years 6 to 10 (5 years) was better than conditional survival from years 2 to 5 (4 years), but by 2010, this difference disappeared in countries other than DK. Survival in the first year after diagnosis approached 100%; by year 5, it was 95%; and by year 10, it was 90% in the best countries, NO and SE. CONCLUSIONS: In spite of advances in diagnostics and treatment, further attention is required to improve PC survival.
- Klíčová slova
- PSA screening, periodic survival, prognosis, treatment,
- Publikační typ
- časopisecké články MeSH
BACKGROUND: Female cancers cover common breast cancers, relatively common endometrial, ovarian, and cervical cancers and rare vulvar cancer. Survival in these cancers is known to be relatively good compared to all cancers but long-term studies for these cancers are rare, and to fill the gap, here, we generate survival data through 50 years. MATERIALS AND METHODS: We applied generalized additive models to data from the NORDCAN database and analyzed 1- and 5-year relative survival for these cancers in Denmark (DK), Finland (FI), Norway (NO), and Sweden (SE) over half a century (1971-2020). Conditional 5/1-year survival for patients who survived the 1st year after diagnosis and annual survival changes was also estimated. RESULTS: In 2016-20, 5-year survival was best for breast cancer reaching 92.3% (in SE), followed by endometrial cancer at 86.1% (SE) and cervical cancer at 75.6% (NO). Improvement in 5-year survival over the 50 years was the largest for ovarian cancer (20% units), finally reaching 52.9% (SE). For vulvar cancer, the final survival was between 70 and 73%. The best 5-year survival rate in 2016-20 was recorded for SE in breast, endometrial, and ovarian cancers; NO showed the highest rate for cervical and DK for vulvar cancers. DK had the lowest survival for breast and ovarian cancers, and FI, for the other cancers. CONCLUSIONS: The overall survival development appeared to consist of continuous improvements, most likely because of novel treatment and imaging techniques as well as overall organization of patient care. The large survival improvement for ovarian cancer was probably achieved by a surgical focus on tumors spread in the peritoneal cavity. For cervical and vulvar cancers, the high early mortality requires attention and could be helped by raising increasing public awareness of early symptoms in these cancers and developing pathways for fast initiation of treatment.
- Publikační typ
- časopisecké články MeSH
OBJECTIVES: Survival in melanoma has been increasing and the most recent interest is to observe the population-level impact of novel targeted therapies and immunotherapy. We analysed survival in melanoma from Denmark (DK), Finland (FI), Norway (NO) and Sweden (SE) over a 50-years period (1971-2020). METHODS: Relative 1-5/1- and 5-year survival data were obtained from the NORDCAN database for the years 1971-2020. We estimated annual changes in survival rates and determined significant breaking points for trends. RESULTS: Survival in melanoma has reached the point where 1-year survival is approaching 100% (men 97.5-98.6%, women 98.4-99.3%, depending on the country) and 5-year survival is 93% for men (91.5-95.2%) and 96% for women (95.3-97.2%). The highest survival figures were for DK. Significant increases in both 1- and 5-year survival were observed in most countries even towards the end of the follow-up (from 2006 to 2010-2011-2015 and further to 2016-2020). CONCLUSIONS: The main increase in melanoma survival took place up to year 1990, which was probably largely achieved through successful population campaigns for sun protection and programmes for early detection of lesions. Survival increased again after year 2000 up to the last period 2016-2020. This late development coincided with the introduction of targeted therapies using BRAF and BRAF/MEK inhibitors, and towards the end of the time period availability of checkpoint inhibitors. The success of melanoma treatment in DK was mostly likely due to the efficient use of modern therapies and to the centralised treatment for metastatic disease.
- Klíčová slova
- Conditional survival, Immunotherapy, Relative survival, Sun protection, Targeted therapy,
- MeSH
- imunoterapie MeSH
- lidé MeSH
- melanom * terapie MeSH
- míra přežití MeSH
- protoonkogenní proteiny B-Raf * MeSH
- Check Tag
- lidé MeSH
- mužské pohlaví MeSH
- ženské pohlaví MeSH
- Publikační typ
- časopisecké články MeSH
- práce podpořená grantem MeSH
- Geografické názvy
- Skandinávie a severské státy epidemiologie MeSH
- Názvy látek
- protoonkogenní proteiny B-Raf * MeSH
Kidney and bladder cancers share etiology and relatively good recent survival, but long-term studies are rare. We analyzed survival for these cancers in Denmark, Finland, Norway (NO), and Sweden (SE) over a 50-year period (1971-2020). Relative 1- and 5-year survival data were obtained from the NORDCAN database, and we additionally calculated conditional 5/1-year survival. In 2016-2020, 5-year survivals for male kidney (79.0%) and bladder (81.6%) cancers were best in SE. For female kidney cancer, NO survival reached 80.0%, and for bladder cancer, SE survival reached 76.1%. The magnitude of 5-year survival improvements during the 50-year period in kidney cancer was over 40% units; for bladder cancer, the improvement was over 20% units. Survival in bladder cancer was worse for women than for men, particularly in year 1. In both cancers, deaths in the first year were approximately as many as in the subsequent 4 years. We could document an impressive development for kidney cancer with tripled male and doubled female 5-year survival in 50 years. Additionally, for bladder cancer, a steady improvement was recorded. The current challenges are to curb early mortality and target treatment to reduce long-term mortality.
- Klíčová slova
- conditional survival, relative survival, surgery, treatment, uro-oncology,
- Publikační typ
- časopisecké články MeSH