Clinical predictors of long-term survival in newly diagnosed transplant eligible multiple myeloma - an IMWG Research Project
Jazyk angličtina Země Spojené státy americké Médium electronic
Typ dokumentu časopisecké články
Grantová podpora
P50 CA186781
NCI NIH HHS - United States
U10 CA180819
NCI NIH HHS - United States
U10 CA180888
NCI NIH HHS - United States
PubMed
30470751
PubMed Central
PMC6251924
DOI
10.1038/s41408-018-0155-7
PII: 10.1038/s41408-018-0155-7
Knihovny.cz E-zdroje
- MeSH
- biologické markery MeSH
- Kaplanův-Meierův odhad MeSH
- kombinovaná terapie MeSH
- lidé MeSH
- mnohočetný myelom diagnóza epidemiologie mortalita terapie MeSH
- odds ratio MeSH
- přežívající onkologičtí pacienti * statistika a číselné údaje MeSH
- prognóza MeSH
- senioři nad 80 let MeSH
- senioři MeSH
- staging nádorů MeSH
- surveillance populace MeSH
- výsledek terapie MeSH
- Check Tag
- lidé MeSH
- mužské pohlaví MeSH
- senioři nad 80 let MeSH
- senioři MeSH
- ženské pohlaví MeSH
- Publikační typ
- časopisecké články MeSH
- Názvy látek
- biologické markery MeSH
PURPOSE: multiple myeloma is considered an incurable hematologic cancer but a subset of patients can achieve long-term remissions and survival. The present study examines the clinical features of long-term survival as it correlates to depth of disease response. PATIENTS & METHODS: this was a multi-institutional, international, retrospective analysis of high-dose melphalan-autologous stem cell transplant (HDM-ASCT) eligible MM patients included in clinical trials. Clinical variable and survival data were collected from 7291 MM patients from Czech Republic, France, Germany, Italy, Korea, Spain, the Nordic Myeloma Study Group and the United States. Kaplan-Meier curves were used to assess progression-free survival (PFS) and overall survival (OS). Relative survival (RS) and statistical cure fractions (CF) were computed for all patients with available data. RESULTS: achieving CR at 1 year was associated with superior PFS (median PFS 3.3 years vs. 2.6 years, p < 0.0001) as well as OS (median OS 8.5 years vs. 6.3 years, p < 0.0001). Clinical variables at diagnosis associated with 5-year survival and 10-year survival were compared with those associated with 2-year death. In multivariate analysis, age over 65 years (OR 1.87, p = 0.002), IgA Isotype (OR 1.53, p = 0.004), low albumin < 3.5 g/dL (OR = 1.36, p = 0.023), elevated beta 2 microglobulin ≥ 3.5 mg/dL (OR 1.86, p < 0.001), serum creatinine levels ≥ 2 mg/dL (OR 1.77, p = 0.005), hemoglobin levels < 10 g/dL (OR 1.55, p = 0.003), and platelet count < 150k/μL (OR 2.26, p < 0.001) appeared to be negatively associated with 10-year survival. The relative survival for the cohort was ~0.9, and the statistical cure fraction was 14.3%. CONCLUSIONS: these data identify CR as an important predictor of long-term survival for HDM-ASCT eligible MM patients. They also identify clinical variables reflective of higher disease burden as poor prognostic markers for long-term survival.
Cancer Research and Biostatistics Seattle Washington United States
Department of Hematology Malmo University Hospital Malmo Sweden
Department of Internal Medicine 5 University Hospital Heidelberg Heidelberg Germany
Department of Internal Medicine Division of Hematology Mayo clinic Rochester MN United States
Division of Hematology Mayo Clinic Rochester MN United States
Gachon University Gil Medical Center Gachon University School of Medicine Incheon Republic of Korea
Hematology Mount Sinai University New York United States
Hospital Universitario 12 de Octubre Madrid Spain
MIRT UAMS Myeloma Insitute Little Rock United States
Seragnoli Institute of Hematology Bologna University School of Medicine Bologna Italy
service d'Hematologie CHU de Nantes Nantes France
Zobrazit více v PubMed
Palumbo A, et al. Oral melphalan, prednisone, and thalidomide in elderly patients with multiple myeloma: updated results of a randomized controlled trial. Blood. 2008;112:3107–3114. doi: 10.1182/blood-2008-04-149427. PubMed DOI
Palumbo A, et al. Melphalan, prednisone, and lenalidomide treatment for newly diagnosed myeloma: a report from the GIMEMA–Italian Multiple Myeloma Network. J. Clin. Oncol. 2007;25:4459–4465. doi: 10.1200/JCO.2007.12.3463. PubMed DOI
San Miguel JF, et al. Bortezomib plus melphalan and prednisone for initial treatment of multiple myeloma. N. Engl. J. Med. 2008;359:906–917. doi: 10.1056/NEJMoa0801479. PubMed DOI
Mateos MV, et al. Bortezomib, melphalan, and prednisone versus bortezomib, thalidomide, and prednisone as induction therapy followed by maintenance treatment with bortezomib and thalidomide versus bortezomib and prednisone in elderly patients with untreated multiple myeloma: a randomized trial. Lancet Oncol. 2010;11:934–941. doi: 10.1016/S1470-2045(10)70187-X. PubMed DOI
Usmani SZ, et al. Improvement in long-term outcomes with successive Total Therapy trials for multiple myeloma: are patients now being cured? Leukemia. 2013;27:226–232. doi: 10.1038/leu.2012.160. PubMed DOI PMC
Martinez-Lopez J, et al. Prognostic value of deep sequencing method for minimal residual disease detection in multiple myeloma. Blood. 2014;123:3073–3079. doi: 10.1182/blood-2014-01-550020. PubMed DOI PMC
Martinez-Lopez J, et al. Long-term prognostic significance of response in multiple myeloma after stem cell transplantation. Blood. 2011;118:529–534. doi: 10.1182/blood-2011-01-332320. PubMed DOI
Kaplan EL, Meier P. Nonparametric estimation using incomplete observations. J. Am. Stat. Assoc. 1958;53:457–481. doi: 10.1080/01621459.1958.10501452. DOI
Dickman PW, et al. Regression models for relative survival. Stat. Med. 2004;23:51–64. doi: 10.1002/sim.1597. PubMed DOI
Berkson J, Gage RP. Survival curve for cancer patients following treatment. J. Am. Stat. Assoc. 1952;42:501–515. doi: 10.1080/01621459.1952.10501187. DOI
Kristinsson SY, et al. Patterns of survival in multiple myeloma: a population-based study of patients diagnosed in Sweden from 1973 to 2003. J. Clin. Oncol. 2007;25:1993–1999. doi: 10.1200/JCO.2006.09.0100. PubMed DOI
Turesson I, Velez R, Kristinsson SY, Landgren O. Patterns of improved survival in patients with multiple myeloma in the twenty‐first century: a population‐based study. J. Clin. Oncol. 2010;28:830–834. doi: 10.1200/JCO.2009.25.4177. PubMed DOI PMC
Brenner H, Gondos A, Pulte D. Expected long-term survival of patients diagnosed with multiple myeloma in 2006-2010. Haematologica. 2009;94:270–275. doi: 10.3324/haematol.13782. PubMed DOI PMC
Pulte D, et al. Trends in survival of multiple myeloma patients in Germany and the United States in the first decade of the 21st century. Br. J. Haematol. 2015;171:189–196. doi: 10.1111/bjh.13537. PubMed DOI
Usmani SZ, et al. Defining and treating high-risk multiple myeloma. Leukemia. 2015;29:2119–2125. doi: 10.1038/leu.2015.209. PubMed DOI
Zhan F, et al. Gene-expression signature of benign monoclonal gammopathy evident in multiple myeloma is linked to good prognosis. Blood. 2007;109:1692–1700. doi: 10.1182/blood-2006-07-037077. PubMed DOI PMC
Chapman MA, et al. Initial genome sequencing and analysis of multiple myeloma. Nature. 2011;471:467–472. doi: 10.1038/nature09837. PubMed DOI PMC
Egan JB, et al. Whole-genome sequencing of multiple myeloma from diagnosis to plasma cell leukemia reveals genomic initiating events, evolution, and clonal tides. Blood. 2012;120:1060–1066. doi: 10.1182/blood-2012-01-405977. PubMed DOI PMC
Lambert PC, et al. Estimating and modeling cure fractions in population-based cancer survival analysis. Biostatistics. 2007;8:576–594. doi: 10.1093/biostatistics/kxl030. PubMed DOI
Barlogie B, et al. Curing myeloma at last: defining criteria and providing the evidence. Blood. 2014;124:3043–3051. doi: 10.1182/blood-2014-07-552059. PubMed DOI PMC