BACKGROUND: Bipolar disorder (BD) is linked to circadian rhythm disruptions resulting in aberrant motor activity patterns. We aimed to explore whether motor activity alone, as assessed by longitudinal actigraphy, can be used to classify accurately BD patients and healthy controls (HCs) into their respective groups. METHODS: Ninety-day actigraphy records from 25 interepisode BD patients (ie, Montgomery-Asberg Depression Rating Scale (MADRS) and Young Mania Rating Scale (YMRS) < 15) and 25 sex- and age-matched HCs were used in order to identify latent actigraphic biomarkers capable of discriminating between BD patients and HCs. Mean values and time variations of a set of standard actigraphy features were analyzed and further validated using the random forest classifier. RESULTS: Using all actigraphy features, this method correctly assigned 88% (sensitivity = 85%, specificity = 91%) of BD patients and HCs to their respective group. The classification success may be confounded by differences in employment between BD patients and HCs. When motor activity features resistant to the employment status were used (the strongest feature being time variation of intradaily variability, Cohen's d = 1.33), 79% of the subjects (sensitivity = 76%, specificity = 81%) were correctly classified. CONCLUSION: A machine-learning actigraphy-based model was capable of distinguishing between interepisode BD patients and HCs solely on the basis of motor activity. The classification remained valid even when features influenced by employment status were omitted. The findings suggest that temporal variability of actigraphic parameters may provide discriminative power for differentiating between BD patients and HCs while being less affected by employment status.

Applied Neuroscience and Neuroimaging National Institute of Mental Health Klecany Czech Republic

Department of Child and Adolescent Psychiatry Charité Universitätsmedizin Berlin Berlin Germany

Department of Cybernetics Czech Technical University Prague Prague Czech Republic

Department of Psychiatry The Zucker Hillside Hospital Northwell Health Glen Oaks New York USA

MINDPAX Prague Czech Republic

The Feinstein Institute for Medical Research Center for Psychiatric Neuroscience Manhasset New York USA

Zucker School of Medicine at Hofstra Northwell Department of Psychiatry and Molecular Medicine Hempstead New York USA

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