Landscape predictors influencing livestock depredation by leopards in and around Annapurna Conservation Area, Nepal

. 2023 ; 11 () : e16516. [epub] 20231213

Jazyk angličtina Země Spojené státy americké Médium electronic-ecollection

Typ dokumentu časopisecké články, práce podpořená grantem

Perzistentní odkaz   https://www.medvik.cz/link/pmid38107575

Livestock depredation by leopards is a pervasive issue across many Asian and African range countries, particularly in and around protected areas. Developing effective conflict mitigation strategies requires understanding the landscape features influencing livestock depredation. In this study, we investigated predictors associated with livestock depredation by leopards using 274 cases of leopard attacks on livestock that occurred between 2017 and 2020 in the Annapurna Conservation Area, Nepal. We also examined how livestock predation by leopards varied depending on the species, season, and time. A generalized linear model with binary logistic regression was used to test the statistical significance of variables associated with the presence and absence of conflict sites. The results revealed that the area of forest, agricultural land, length of rivers, slope, proximity to settlements and protected areas, and elevation significantly predicted the probability of leopard attacks on livestock. We also observed a significant increase in the incidence of leopard predation on livestock with decreasing slopes and rising elevations. The areas near human settlements and the protected areas faced a higher risk of leopard predation. The incidence of leopard predation on livestock varied significantly depending on the livestock species, season, and time. Goats were the most highly predated livestock, followed by sheep, cow/ox, and buffalo. A total of 289.11 km2 (or around 5% of the research area) was deemed to be at high risk for leopard predation on livestock. This study's comprehensive understanding of human-leopard conflicts provides valuable insights for planning and implementing measures to reduce damage caused by leopard populations throughout their range.

Zobrazit více v PubMed

Abade L, Cusack J, Moll RJ, Strampelli P, Dickman AJ, Macdonald DW, Montgomery RA. Spatial variation in leopard (Panthera pardus) site use across a gradient of anthropogenic pressure in Tanzania’s Ruaha landscape. PLOS ONE. 2018;13(10):e0204370. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0204370. PubMed DOI PMC

Acharya KP, Paudel PK, Jnawali SR, Neupane PR, Koehl M. Can forest fragmentation and configuration work as indicators of human-wildlife conflict? Evidences from human death and injury by wildlife attacks in Nepal. Ecological Indicators. 2017;80:74–83. doi: 10.1016/j.ecolind.2017.04.037. DOI

Acharya KP, Paudel PK, Neupane PR, Köhl M. Human-wildlife conflicts in Nepal: patterns of human fatalities and injuries caused by large mammals. PLOS ONE. 2016;11(9):e0161717. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0161717. PubMed DOI PMC

Adhikari B, Baral K, Bhandari S, Szydlowski M, Kunwar RM, Panthi S, Neupane B, Koirala RK. Potential risk zone for anthropogenic mortality of carnivores in Gandaki Province, Nepal. Ecology and Evolution. 2022;12(1):e8491. doi: 10.1002/ece3.8491. PubMed DOI PMC

Ahmed RA, Prusty K, Jena J, Dave C, Das SK, Sahu HK, Rout SD. Prevailing human carnivore conflict in Kanha-Achanakmar corridor, Central India. World Journal of Zoology. 2012;7(2):158–164. doi: 10.5829/idosi.wjz.2012.7.2.6335. DOI

Aiello-Lammens ME, Boria RA, Radosavljevic A, Vilela B, Anderson RP. spThin: an R package for spatial thinning of species occurrence records for use in ecological niche models. Ecography. 2015;38(5):541–545. doi: 10.1111/ecog.01132. DOI

Akaike H. Information theory and an extension of the maximum likelihood principle. Proceedings of the 2nd international symposium on information; Budapest. 1973.

Akrim F, Mahmood T, Belant JL, Nadeem MS, Qasim S, Zangi IUD, Asadi MA. Livestock depredations by leopards in Pir Lasura National Park, Pakistan: characteristics, control and costs. Wildlife Biology. 2021;2021(1):1–7. doi: 10.2981/wlb.00782. DOI

Alaska Satellite Facility (ASF) 2021. https://asf.alaska.edu. [30 April 2022]. https://asf.alaska.edu

Allouche O, Tsoar A, Kadmon R. Assessing the accuracy of species distribution models: prevalence, kappa and the true skill statistic (TSS) Journal of Applied Ecology. 2006;43(6):1223–1232. doi: 10.1111/j.1365-2664.2006.01214.x. DOI

Athreya V, Odden M, Linnell JDC, Karanth KU. Translocation as a tool for mitigating conflict with leopards in human-dominated landscapes of India. Conservation Biology. 2011;25(1):133–141. doi: 10.1111/j.1523-1739.2010.01599.x. PubMed DOI

Baral K, Adhikari B, Bhandari S, Kunwar RM, Sharma HP, Aryal A, Ji W. Impact of climate change on distribution of common leopard (Panthera pardus) and its implication on conservation and conflict in Nepal. Heliyon. 2023;9(5):e12807. doi: 10.1016/j.heliyon.2023.e12807. PubMed DOI PMC

Baral K, Sharma HP, Rimal B, Thapa-Magar K, Bhattarai R, Kunwar RM, Aryal A, Ji W. Characterization and management of human-wildlife conflicts in mid-hills outside protected areas of Gandaki province, Nepal. PLOS ONE. 2021;16(11):e0260307. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0260307. PubMed DOI PMC

Barbet-Massin M, Jiguet F, Albert CH, Thuiller W. Selecting pseudo-absences for species distribution models: how, where and how many? Methods in Ecology and Evolution. 2012;3(2):327–338. doi: 10.1111/j.2041-210X.2011.00172.x. DOI

Barton K. MuMIn: multi-model inference. R Package Version 0.12.2/r18http://R-Forge.R-project.org/projects/mumin/ 2009

Barton K, Barton MK. MuMIn: multi-model inference. R package version 1.43.17. Version 1, 18https://CRAN.R-project.org/package=MuMIn 2020

Beattie K, Olson ER, Kissui B, Kirschbaum A, Kiffner C. Predicting livestock depredation risk by African lions (Panthera leo) in a multi-use area of northern Tanzania. European Journal of Wildlife Research. 2020;66:1–14. doi: 10.1007/s10344-019-1348-5. DOI

Bista A, Chanchani P, Subedi N, Bajracharya SB. The peri-urban leopards of Kathmandu: assessing determinants of presence and predation on domestic animals. Oryx. 2022;56(1):91–100.

Boomsma A. Regression diagnostics with R. Regrdiag R.tEx. Department of Statistics & Measurement Theory. University of Groningen, Groningen Netherlands; 2014. p. 22.

Broekhuis F, Cushman SA, Elliot NB. Identification of human—carnivore conflict hotspots to prioritize mitigation efforts. Ecology and Evolution. 2017;7:10630–10639. PubMed PMC

Burnham KP, Anderson DR. Kullback—Leibler information as a basis for strong inference in ecological studies. Wildlife Research. 2001;28:111–119. doi: 10.1071/WR99107. DOI

Chatterjee S, Hadi AS. Regression analysis by example. 5th edition Wiley; New York: 2013. p. 98.

Constant N. Doctoral dissertation. 2014. A socio-ecological approach towards understanding conflict between leopards (Panthera pardus) and humans in South Africa: implications for leopard conservation and farming livelihoods.

Constant NL, Bell S, Hill RA. The impacts, characterisation and management of human—leopard conflict in a multi-use land system in South Africa. Biodiversity and Conservation. 2015;24(12):2967–2989. doi: 10.1007/s10531-015-0989-2. DOI

Dalerum F, Selby LO, Pirk CW. Relationships between livestock damages and large carnivore densities in Sweden. Frontiers in Ecology and Evolution. 2020;7:507. doi: 10.3389/fevo.2019.00507. DOI

Dar NI, Minhas RA, Zaman Q, Linkie M. Predicting the patterns, perceptions and causes of human—carnivore conflict in and around Machiara National Park, Pakistan. Biological Conservation. 2009;142(10):2076–2082. doi: 10.1016/j.biocon.2009.04.003. DOI

Dheer A, Davidian E, Courtiol A, Bailey LD, Wauters J, Naman P, Shayo V, Höner OP. Diurnal pastoralism does not reduce juvenile recruitment nor elevate allostatic load in spotted hyenas. Journal of Animal Ecology. 2022;91(11):2289–2300. doi: 10.1111/1365-2656.13812. DOI

Dhungana R, Lamichhane BR, Savini T, Dhakal M, Poudel BS, Karki JB. Livestock depredation by leopards around Chitwan national park, Nepal. Mammalian Biology. 2019;96(1):7–13. doi: 10.1016/j.mambio.2019.03.006. DOI

DNPWC . Profiling of protected and human wildlife conflicts associated wild animals in Nepal. Department of National Parks and Wildlife Conservation; Kathmandu: 2017.

Elith J, Phillips SJ, Hastie T, Dudík M, Chee YE, Yates CJ. A statistical explanation of MaxEnt for ecologists. Diversity and Distributions. 2011;17(1):43–57. doi: 10.1111/j.1472-4642.2010.00725.x. DOI

ESRI . ArcGIS desktop: release 10.5. Environmental Systems Research Institute; Redlands, California: 2017.

ESRI Sentinel-2 10-meter land use/land cover. 2020. https://livingatlas.arcgis.com/landcover/ [22 May 2022]. https://livingatlas.arcgis.com/landcover/

Fernandes AAT, Figueiredo Filho DB, Rocha ECD, Nascimento WDS. Read this paper if you want to learn logistic regression. Revista de Sociologia e Politica. 2021;28:006. doi: 10.1590/1678-987320287406en. DOI

Fitzpatrick MC, Gotelli NJ, Ellison AM. MaxEnt versus MaxLike: empirical comparisons with ant species distributions. Ecosphere. 2013;4(5):1–15. doi: 10.1890/ES13-00066.1. DOI

Graham K, Beckerman AP, Thirgood S. Human—predator—prey conflicts: ecological correlates, prey losses and patterns of management. Biological Conservation. 2005;122(2):159–171. doi: 10.1016/j.biocon.2004.06.006. DOI

Hayward MW, Henschel P, O’Brien J, Hofmeyr M, Balme G, Kerley GI. Prey preferences of the leopard (Panthera pardus) Journal of Zoology. 2006;270(2):298–313. doi: 10.1111/j.1469-7998.2006.00139.x. DOI

Inskip C, Zimmermann A. Human-felid conflict: a review of patterns and priorities worldwide. Oryx. 2009;43(1):18–34. doi: 10.1017/S003060530899030X. DOI

Jacobson AP, Gerngross P, Lemeris Jr JR, Schoonover RF, Anco C, Breitenmoser-Würsten C, Durant SM, Farhadinia MS, Henschel P, Kamler JF, Laguardia A, Rostro-García S, Stein AB, Dollar L. Leopard (Panthera pardus) status, distribution, and the research efforts across its range. PeerJ. 2016;4:e1974. doi: 10.7717/peerj.1974. PubMed DOI PMC

Jnawali SR, Baral HS, Lee S, Acharya KP, Upadhyay GP, Pandey M, Shrestha R, Joshi D, Laminchhane BR, Griffiths J, Khatiwada AP, Subedi N, Amin R, compilers. The National Red List Series, Department of National Parks and Wildlife Conservation, Kathmandu, Nepalhttps://www.researchgate.net/publication/258516080_The_Status_of_Nepal_Mammals_The_National_Red_List_Series_Department_of_National_Parks_and_Wildlife_Conservation_Kathmandu_Nepal. [13 October 2023];The status of Nepal mammals. 2011

Kabir M, Ghoddousi A, Awan MS, Awan MN. Assessment of human—leopard conflict in Machiara National Park, Azad Jammu and Kashmir, Pakistan. European Journal of Wildlife Research. 2014;60:291–296. doi: 10.1007/s10344-013-0782-z. DOI

Kandel SR, Neupane B, Miya MS, Sadadev BM, Khatri ND, Dhami B. An emerging issue of human-leopard conflict in the human-dominated landscape of mid-hills: a case study from Tanahun District of Nepal. International Journal of Zoology. 2023;2023:5690289. doi: 10.1155/2023/5690289. DOI

Karanth KK, Gopalaswamy AM, Prasad PK, Dasgupta S. Patterns of human—wildlife conflicts and compensation: insights from Western Ghats protected areas. Biological Conservation. 2013;166:175–185. doi: 10.1016/j.biocon.2013.06.027. DOI

Karki A, Panthi S. Factors affecting livestock depredation by snow leopards (Panthera uncia) in the Himalayan region of Nepal. PeerJ. 2021;9:e11575. doi: 10.7717/peerj.11575. PubMed DOI PMC

Karki J, Rawat G. Special issues on biodiversity conservation efforts in Nepal. Department of National Parks and Wildlife Conservation; Kathmandu: 2014. Human-leopard conflict in Nepal: a case study from Baitadi District. DNPWC, 2014.

Koirala RK, Aryal A, Parajuli A, David A. Human-common leopard (Panthera pardus) conflict in lower belt of Annapurna Conservation Area, Nepal. Journal of Research in Conservation Biology. 2012;1:005–012.

Kshettry A, Vaidyanathan S, Athreya V. Diet selection of Leopards (Panthera pardus) in a human-use landscape in North-Eastern India. Tropical Conservation Science. 2018;11:1940082918764635. doi: 10.1177/1940082918764635. DOI

Lamichhane BR, Lamichhane S, Regmi R, Dhungana M, Thapa SK, Prasai A, Gurung A, Bhattarai S, Paudel RP, Subedi N. Leopard (Panthera pardus) occupancy in the Chure range of Nepal. Ecology and Evolution. 2021;11(20):13641–13660. doi: 10.1002/ece3.8105. PubMed DOI PMC

Lamichhane BR, Persoon GA, Leirs H, Poudel S, Subedi N, Pokheral CP, Bhattarai S, Thapaliya BP, de Iongh HH. Spatio-temporal patterns of attacks on human and economic losses from wildlife in Chitwan National Park, Nepal. PLOS ONE. 2018;13(4):e0195373. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0195373. PubMed DOI PMC

Lovari S, Ventimiglia M, Minder I. Food habits of two leopard species, competition, climate change and upper treeline: a way to the decrease of an endangered species? Ethology Ecology & Evolution. 2013;25(4):305–318. doi: 10.1080/03949370.2013.806362. DOI

Maclennan SD, Groom RJ, Macdonald DW, Frank LG. Evaluation of a compensation scheme to bring about pastoralist tolerance of lions. Biological Conservation. 2009;142(11):2419–2427. doi: 10.1016/j.biocon.2008.12.003. DOI

Mateo-Tomás P, Olea PP, Sánchez-Barbudo IS, Mateo R. Alleviating human—wildlife conflicts: identifying the causes and mapping the risk of illegal poisoning of wild fauna. Journal of Applied Ecology. 2012;49(2):376–385. doi: 10.1111/j.1365-2664.2012.02119.x. DOI

Michalski F, Boulhosa RLP, Faria A, Peres CA. Human—wildlife conflicts in a fragmented Amazonian Forest landscape: determinants of large felid depredation on livestock. Animal Conservation. 2006;9(2):179–188. doi: 10.1111/j.1469-1795.2006.00025.x. DOI

Miller JR. Mapping attack hotspots to mitigate human—carnivore conflict: approaches and applications of spatial predation risk modeling. Biodiversity and Conservation. 2015;24(12):2887–2911. doi: 10.1007/s10531-015-0993-6. DOI

MOALD Livestock statistics of Nepal (2019/2020): Hariharbhawan, Lalitpur, Nepal. 2021. https://www.dls.gov.np/downloadfiles/Livestock_Statistics_of_Nepal_2077_78_1659524236-1669717523.pdf https://www.dls.gov.np/downloadfiles/Livestock_Statistics_of_Nepal_2077_78_1659524236-1669717523.pdf

Naha D, Dash SK, Chettri A, Chaudhary P, Sonker G, Heurich M, Rawat GS, Sathyakumar S. Landscape predictors of human—leopard conflicts within multi-use areas of the Himalayan region. Scientific Reports. 2020;10(1):1–12. doi: 10.1038/s41598-020-67980-w. PubMed DOI PMC

Naha D, Sathyakumar S, Rawat GS. Understanding drivers of human-leopard conflicts in the Indian Himalayan region: spatio-temporal patterns of conflicts and perception of local communities towards conserving large carnivores. PLOS ONE. 2018;13(10):e0204528. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0204528. PubMed DOI PMC

NTNC (National Trust for Nature Conservation) NTNC: Khumaltar, Lalitpur, Nepalhttps://www.ntnc.org.np/sites/default/files/doc_publication/2019-10/NTNC%20Annual_Report%202018.pdf Annual report 2018. 2018

OCHA Nepal Nepal road network. Humanitarian Data Exchangehttps://data.humdata.org/dataset/nepal-watercourses-rivers. [28 March 2022];2021a

OCHA Nepal Road network for Nepal. Humanitarian Data Exchangehttps://data.humdata.org/dataset/nepal-road-network. [28 March 2022];2021b

OCHA Nepal Settlements in Nepal. Humanitarian Data Exchangehttps://data.humdata.org/dataset/settlements-in-nepal. [28 March 2022];2021c

Odden M, Athreya V, Rattan S, Linnell JD. Adaptable neighbours: movement patterns of GPS-collared leopards in human dominated landscapes in India. PLOS ONE. 2014;9(11):e112044. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0112044. PubMed DOI PMC

Odden M, Wegge P, Fredriksen T. Do tigers displace leopards? If so, why? Ecological Research. 2010;25(4):875–881. doi: 10.1007/s11284-010-0723-1. DOI

Phillips SJ, Anderson RP, Schapire RE. Maximum entropy modeling of species geographic distributions. Ecological Modelling. 2006;190(3–4):231–259. doi: 10.1016/j.ecolmodel.2005.03.026. DOI

Puri M, Srivathsa A, Karanth KK, Patel I, Kumar NS. The balancing act: maintaining leopard-wild prey equilibrium could offer economic benefits to people in a shared forest landscape of central India. Ecological Indicators. 2020;110:105931. doi: 10.1016/j.ecolind.2019.105931. DOI

Qamar QZ, Dar NI, Ali U, Minhas RA, Ayub J, Anwar M. Human—leopard conflict: an emerging issue of common leopard conservation in Machiara National Park, Azad Jammu and Kashmir, Pakistan. Pakistan Journal of Wildlife. 2010;1:50–56. doi: 10.3724/SP.J.1141.2010.01035. DOI

R Core Team . R Foundation for statistical Computing; Vienna: 2021.

Racine J. Rstudio: a platform-independent IDE for R and sweave. Journal of Applied Economics. 2012;27:167–172.

Ramesh T, Kalle R, Milda D, Gayathri V, Thanikodi M, Ashish K, Giordano AJ. Patterns of livestock predation risk by large carnivores in India’s Eastern and Western Ghats. Global Ecology and Conservation. 2020;24:e01366

Rather TA, Kumar S, Khan JA. Multi-scale habitat modelling and predicting change in the distribution of tiger and leopard using random forest algorithm. Scientific Reports. 2020;10(1):1–19. doi: 10.1038/s41598-020-68167-z. PubMed DOI PMC

Rostro-García S, Tharchen L, Abade L, Astaras C, Cushman SA, Macdonald DW. Scale dependence of felid predation risk: identifying predictors of livestock kills by tiger and leopard in Bhutan. Landscape Ecology. 2016;31(6):1277–1298. doi: 10.1007/s10980-015-0335-9. DOI

Sharma P, Chettri N, Uddin K, Wangchuk K, Joshi R, Tandin T, Pandey A, Gaira KS, Basnet K, Wangdi S, Dorji T. Mapping human-wildlife conflict hotspots in a transboundary landscape, Eastern Himalaya. Global Ecology and Conservation. 2020;24:e01284. doi: 10.1016/j.gecco.2020.e01284. DOI

Shehzad W, Nawaz MA, Pompanon F, Coissac E, Riaz T, Shah S, Taberlet P. Forest without prey: livestock sustain a leopard Panthera pardus population in Pakistan. Oryx. 2015;49(2):248–253. doi: 10.1017/S0030605313001026. DOI

Shrestha B, Khatri TB, Rana DB, Karki JB, Kindlmann P. Snow Leopards in Nepal: predator-prey system on the top of the world. Springer International Publishing; Cham: 2022. Snow leopard-human conflict and effectiveness of mitigation measures; pp. 177–201. DOI

Signorell A, Aho K, Alfons A, Anderegg N, Aragon T, Arppe A, Baddeley A, Barton K, Bolker B, Borchers HW. DescTools: tools for descriptive statistics (Version 0.99 28) https://CRAN.R-project.org/package=DescTools 2019

Sijapati RK, Sharma HP, Sharma S, Subedi JR, Belant JL. Livestock depredation by Leopards and Tigers near Bardia National Park, Nepal. Animals. 2021;11(7):1896. doi: 10.3390/ani11071896. PubMed DOI PMC

Sing T, Sander O, Beerenwinkel N, Lengauer T. ROCR: visualizing classifier performance in R. Bioinformatics. 2005;21(20):3940–3941. PubMed

Stein AB, Athreya V, Gerngross P, Balme G, Henschel P, Karanth U, Miquelle D, Rostro-Garcia S, Kamler JF, Laguardia A, Khorozyan I. Panthera pardus. The IUCN Red List of Threatened Species. 2016;2016:e.T15954A102421779. doi: 10.2305/IUCN.UK.2016-1.RLTS.T15954A50659089.en. DOI

Torres DF, Oliveira ES, Alves RR. Conflicts between humans and terrestrial vertebrates: a global review. Tropical Conservation Science. 2018;11:1940082918794084. doi: 10.1177/1940082918794084. DOI

Treves A, Karanth KU. Human-carnivore conflict and perspectives on carnivore management worldwide. Conservation Biology. 2003;17:1491–1499. doi: 10.1111/j.1523-1739.2003.00059.x. DOI

Treves A, Martin KA, Wydeven AP, Wiedenhoeft JE. Forecasting environmental hazards and the application of risk maps to predator attacks on livestock. BioScience. 2011;61(6):451–458. doi: 10.1525/bio.2011.61.6.7. DOI

Venumière-Lefebvre CC, Breck SW, Crooks KR. A systematic map of human-carnivore coexistence. Biological Conservation. 2022;268:109515. doi: 10.1016/j.biocon.2022.109515. DOI

Wickham H. Springer-Verlag; New York: 2016.

Wisz MS, Hijmans RJ, Li J, Peterson AT, Graham CH, Guisan A, NCEAS Predicting Species Distributions Working Group Effects of sample size on the performance of species distribution models. Diversity and Distributions. 2008;14(5):763–773. doi: 10.1111/j.1472-4642.2008.00482.x. DOI

Woodroffe R, Frank LG, Lindsey PA, Mole Ranah S, Romañach S. Livestock husbandry as a tool for carnivore conservation in Africa’s community rangelands: a case—control study. Biodiversity and Conservation. 2007;16(5):1245–1260. doi: 10.1007/s10531-006-9124-8. DOI

Yadav N, Areendran G, Sarma K, Raj K, Sahana M. Susceptibility assessment of human—leopard conflict in Aravalli landscape of Haryana using geospatial techniques. Modeling Earth Systems and Environment. 2020;7(3):1459–1473. doi: 10.1007/s40808-020-00858-y. DOI

Najít záznam

Citační ukazatele

Pouze přihlášení uživatelé

Možnosti archivace

Nahrávání dat ...