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A worldwide test of the predictive validity of ideal partner preference matching

. 2025 Jan ; 128 (1) : 123-146. [epub] 20241031

Language English Country United States Media print-electronic

Document type Journal Article

Grant support
Association Nationale de la Recherche et de la Technologie
HSE University; Basic Research Program
University of Wroclaw; IDN Being Human Lab
John Templeton Foundation
National Science Foundation
Australian Research Council
Japan Society for the Promotion of Science
Ministry of Science, Technological Development and Innovation of the Republic of Serbia
University of California, Davis
NPO EXCELES: Systemic Risk Institute
Sabanci University
Adam Mickiewicz University; Department of Psychology and Cognitive Science
VEGA
NIH HHS - United States

Ideal partner preferences (i.e., ratings of the desirability of attributes like attractiveness or intelligence) are the source of numerous foundational findings in the interdisciplinary literature on human mating. Recently, research on the predictive validity of ideal partner preference matching (i.e., Do people positively evaluate partners who match vs. mismatch their ideals?) has become mired in several problems. First, articles exhibit discrepant analytic and reporting practices. Second, different findings emerge across laboratories worldwide, perhaps because they sample different relationship contexts and/or populations. This registered report-partnered with the Psychological Science Accelerator-uses a highly powered design (N = 10,358) across 43 countries and 22 languages to estimate preference-matching effect sizes. The most rigorous tests revealed significant preference-matching effects in the whole sample and for partnered and single participants separately. The "corrected pattern metric" that collapses across 35 traits revealed a zero-order effect of β = .19 and an effect of β = .11 when included alongside a normative preference-matching metric. Specific traits in the "level metric" (interaction) tests revealed very small (average β = .04) effects. Effect sizes were similar for partnered participants who reported ideals before entering a relationship, and there was no consistent evidence that individual differences moderated any effects. Comparisons between stated and revealed preferences shed light on gender differences and similarities: For attractiveness, men's and (especially) women's stated preferences underestimated revealed preferences (i.e., they thought attractiveness was less important than it actually was). For earning potential, men's stated preferences underestimated-and women's stated preferences overestimated-revealed preferences. Implications for the literature on human mating are discussed. (PsycInfo Database Record (c) 2025 APA, all rights reserved).

Behavioral Decision Making Group University of California Los Angeles Anderson School of Management

Center for Sociocultural Research HSE University

Center for the Study of Language and Information Stanford University

Centre of Social and Psychological Sciences Slovak Academy of Sciences

College of Engineering Shibaura Institute of Technology

Departament of Social Psychology University of Granada

Departamento de Letras Vernaculas Universidade Federal de Sergipe

Departamento de Psicologia Universidade Federal de Sergipe

Department of Anthropology and Psychology Universidad de Sonora

Department of Clinical Psychology Faculty of Medicine and Health Sciences United Arab Emirates University

Department of Educational Psychology and Psychology of Health Pavol Jozef Safarik University

Department of Law Universidad de Sonora

Department of Philosophy Macquarie University

Department of Psychology and Cognitive Science Adam Mickiewicz University

Department of Psychology and Neuroscience Duke University

Department of Psychology and Psychotherapy Witten Herdecke University

Department of Psychology and Speech Language Pathology University of Turku

Department of Psychology Bilkent University

Department of Psychology Centre for Learning Leadership and Excellence Centre national de la recherche scientifique Universite de Toulouse

Department of Psychology Christ University

Department of Psychology Faculty of Arts Pavol Jozef Safarik University in Kosice

Department of Psychology Faculty of Philosophy Ss Cyril and Methodius University in Skopje

Department of Psychology Franklin and Marshall College

Department of Psychology Ithaca College

Department of Psychology Marmara University

Department of Psychology Northwestern University

Department of Psychology Redeemer's University

Department of Psychology Teesside University

Department of Psychology Toronto Metropolitan University

Department of Psychology Universidad de Sonora

Department of Psychology Universitas Islam Negeri Sunan Kalijaga

Department of Psychology University of California Davis

Department of Psychology University of Colorado

Department of Psychology University of Edinburgh

Department of Psychology University of Hong Kong

Department of Psychology University of Ibadan

Department of Psychology University of San Carlos

Department of Psychology University of the Philippines

Department of Psychology University of Toronto

Department of Psychology University of Utah

Department of Psychology University of Zadar

Department of Psychology Wellesley College

Department of Psychology Yonsei University

Department of Psychology York University

Department of Social and Organizational Psychology Iscte University Institute of Lisbon

Department of Social Psychology University of Kansas

Department of Social Science Faculty of Social Science and Humanities Tunku Abdul Rahman University of Management and Technology

Devision of Neuroinformatics in Function of Sustainable Development Macedonian Academy of Sciences and Arts

Faculty of Arts and Science Kyushu University

Faculty of Philosophy Department of Psychology University of Belgrade

Faculty of Philosophy Institute of Psychology Jagiellonian University

Faculty of Psychology Chulalongkorn University

Faculty of Psychology Universitas Indonesia

Graduate School of Human Environment Studies Kyushu University

Health and Social Sciences Cluster Singapore Institute of Technology

IDN Being Human Institute of Polish Studies University of Wroclaw

IDN Being Human Institute of Psychology University of Wroclaw

Institut de Psychologie Universite Paris Cite

Institute for Research and Development of Education Faculty of Education Charles University

Institute of Advanced Studies in Humanities and Social Sciences Beijing Normal University

Institute of Psychology Eotvos Lorand University

Institute of Psychology Jagiellonian University in Krakow

Institute of Psychology University of Wroclaw

Olomouc University Social Health Institute Palacky University Olomouc

Psychology Program Faculty of Arts and Social Sciences Sabanci University

School of Psychology Sport and Sensory Sciences Anglia Ruskin University

School of Psychology University of Chester

School of Psychology University of Queensland

Sloan School of Management Massachusetts Institute of Technology

Wellington Faculty of Health School of Health Victoria University of Wellington

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