Acute heart failure (AHF) is a common and severe condition with a poor prognosis. Its course is often complicated by worsening renal function (WRF), exacerbating the outcome. The population of AHF patients experiencing WRF is heterogenous, and some novel possibilities for its analysis have recently emerged. Clustering is a machine learning (ML) technique that divides the population into distinct subgroups based on the similarity of cases (patients). Given that, we decided to use clustering to find subgroups inside the AHF population that differ in terms of WRF occurrence. We evaluated data from the three hundred and twelve AHF patients hospitalized in our institution who had creatinine assessed four times during hospitalization. Eighty-six variables evaluated at admission were included in the analysis. The k-medoids algorithm was used for clustering, and the quality of the procedure was judged by the Davies-Bouldin index. Three clinically and prognostically different clusters were distinguished. The groups had significantly (p = 0.004) different incidences of WRF. Inside the AHF population, we successfully discovered that three groups varied in renal prognosis. Our results provide novel insight into the AHF and WRF interplay and can be valuable for future trial construction and more tailored treatment.

• Keywords
• acute heart failure, artificial intelligence, cardiorenal syndrome, clustering, machine learning,
• MeSH
• Acute Disease MeSH
• Creatinine MeSH
• Kidney physiology   MeSH
• Humans MeSH
• Heart Failure * MeSH
• Machine Learning MeSH
• Check Tag
• Humans MeSH
• Publication type
• Journal Article MeSH
• Research Support, Non-U.S. Gov't MeSH
• Names of Substances
• Creatinine MeSH

Heart failure (HF) is one of the leading causes of mortality and hospitalization worldwide. The accurate prediction of mortality and readmission risk provides crucial information for guiding decision making. Unfortunately, traditional predictive models reached modest accuracy in HF populations. We therefore aimed to present predictive models based on machine learning (ML) techniques in HF patients that were externally validated. We searched four databases and the reference lists of the included papers to identify studies in which HF patient data were used to create a predictive model. Literature screening was conducted in Academic Search Ultimate, ERIC, Health Source Nursing/Academic Edition and MEDLINE. The protocol of the current systematic review was registered in the PROSPERO database with the registration number CRD42022344855. We considered all types of outcomes: mortality, rehospitalization, response to treatment and medication adherence. The area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) was used as the comparator parameter. The literature search yielded 1649 studies, of which 9 were included in the final analysis. The AUCs for the machine learning models ranged from 0.6494 to 0.913 in independent datasets, whereas the AUCs for statistical predictive scores ranged from 0.622 to 0.806. Our study showed an increasing number of ML predictive models concerning HF populations, although external validation remains infrequent. However, our findings revealed that ML approaches can outperform conventional risk scores and may play important role in HF management.

• Keywords
• artificial intelligence, deep learning, heart failure, machine learning, predictive model, systematic review,
• Publication type
• Journal Article MeSH
• Review MeSH