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Modelling driver propensity for traffic accidents: a comparison of multiple regression analysis and fuzzy approach
M. Čubranić-Dobrodolac, L. Švadlenka, S. Čičević, M. Dobrodolac
Jazyk angličtina Země Velká Británie
Typ dokumentu časopisecké články
- MeSH
- agrese MeSH
- bezpečnost MeSH
- dopravní nehody * MeSH
- dospělí MeSH
- fuzzy logika MeSH
- lidé středního věku MeSH
- lidé MeSH
- mladiství MeSH
- mladý dospělý MeSH
- postoj MeSH
- průzkumy a dotazníky MeSH
- psychologické modely * MeSH
- regresní analýza MeSH
- řízení motorových vozidel psychologie MeSH
- Check Tag
- dospělí MeSH
- lidé středního věku MeSH
- lidé MeSH
- mladiství MeSH
- mladý dospělý MeSH
- mužské pohlaví MeSH
- ženské pohlaví MeSH
- Publikační typ
- časopisecké články MeSH
This research proposes an assessment and decision support model to use when a driver should be examined about their propensity for traffic accidents, based on an estimation of the driver's psychological traits. The proposed model was tested on a sample of 305 drivers. Each participant completed four psychological tests: the Barratt Impulsiveness Scale (BIS-11), the Aggressive Driving Behaviour Questionnaire (ADBQ), the Manchester Driver Attitude Questionnaire (DAQ) and the Questionnaire for Self-assessment of Driving Ability. In addition, participants completed an extensive demographic and driving survey. Various fuzzy inference systems were tested and each was defined using the well-known Wang-Mendel method for rule-base definition based on empirical data. For this purpose, a programming code was designed and utilized. Based on the obtained results, it was determined which combination of the considered psychological tests provides the best prediction of a driver's propensity for traffic accidents. The best of the considered fuzzy inference systems might be used as a decision support tool in various situations, such as in recruitment procedures for professional drivers. The validity of the proposed fuzzy approach was confirmed as its implementation provided better results than from statistics, in this case multiple regression analysis.
Faculty of Transport and Traffic Engineering University of Belgrade Belgrade Serbia
Faculty of Transport Engineering University of Pardubice Pardubice Czech Republic
Citace poskytuje Crossref.org
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