BACKGROUND: Colorectal cancer (CRC) is a common, fatal cancer. Identifying subgroups who may benefit more from intervention is of critical public health importance. Previous studies have assessed multiplicative interaction between genetic risk scores and environmental factors, but few have assessed additive interaction, the relevant public health measure. METHODS: Using resources from CRC consortia, including 45,247 CRC cases and 52,671 controls, we assessed multiplicative and additive interaction (relative excess risk due to interaction, RERI) using logistic regression between 13 harmonized environmental factors and genetic risk score, including 141 variants associated with CRC risk. RESULTS: There was no evidence of multiplicative interaction between environmental factors and genetic risk score. There was additive interaction where, for individuals with high genetic susceptibility, either heavy drinking (RERI = 0.24, 95% confidence interval [CI] = 0.13, 0.36), ever smoking (0.11 [0.05, 0.16]), high body mass index (female 0.09 [0.05, 0.13], male 0.10 [0.05, 0.14]), or high red meat intake (highest versus lowest quartile 0.18 [0.09, 0.27]) was associated with excess CRC risk greater than that for individuals with average genetic susceptibility. Conversely, we estimate those with high genetic susceptibility may benefit more from reducing CRC risk with aspirin/nonsteroidal anti-inflammatory drugs use (-0.16 [-0.20, -0.11]) or higher intake of fruit, fiber, or calcium (highest quartile versus lowest quartile -0.12 [-0.18, -0.050]; -0.16 [-0.23, -0.09]; -0.11 [-0.18, -0.05], respectively) than those with average genetic susceptibility. CONCLUSIONS: Additive interaction is important to assess for identifying subgroups who may benefit from intervention. The subgroups identified in this study may help inform precision CRC prevention.
- MeSH
- dieta MeSH
- dospělí MeSH
- genetická predispozice k nemoci * MeSH
- index tělesné hmotnosti MeSH
- interakce genů a prostředí * MeSH
- jednonukleotidový polymorfismus MeSH
- kolorektální nádory * genetika epidemiologie MeSH
- kouření škodlivé účinky MeSH
- lidé středního věku MeSH
- lidé MeSH
- logistické modely MeSH
- pití alkoholu MeSH
- rizikové faktory MeSH
- senioři MeSH
- studie případů a kontrol MeSH
- Check Tag
- dospělí MeSH
- lidé středního věku MeSH
- lidé MeSH
- mužské pohlaví MeSH
- senioři MeSH
- ženské pohlaví MeSH
- Publikační typ
- časopisecké články MeSH
BACKGROUND: This study investigates the association between frailty and mortality in Eastern European populations, which remains largely unexplored compared with Western Europe. The aim is to assess the risk of all-cause and cardiovascular mortality associated with varying levels of frailty. METHODS: A prospective multicentre cohort study was conducted, involving random population samples from the Czech Republic, Poland and Lithuania. The baseline survey (2002-2005) included 26 746 individuals aged 45-69 years, with an average follow-up of 13 years. Frailty was measured using a Comprehensive Geriatric Assessment (CGA)-based Frailty Index (FI), calculating the number of deficits in each domain. Cox proportional regression models and inverse probability weighting (IPW) were employed to account for risk factor differences among the frailty groups: robust, prefrail, mild, moderate and severe. RESULTS: The study included 14 287 people, among whom 891 were frail, with a total of 2402 deaths.Compared with non-frail persons, those with mild (IPW HR 2.06, 95% CI 1.60 to 2.66) and severe (IPW HR 2.71, 95% CI 1.45 to 5.07) frailty had more than twofold elevated risk of all-cause mortality. For cardiovascular mortality, the corresponding HRs were (IPW HR 3.05, 95% CI 2.14 to 4.35) and (IPW HR 3.88, 95% CI 1.95 to 7.74). Men exhibited a higher mortality risk at all frailty levels only in unweighted analysis. Country-specific differences were not significant. CONCLUSIONS: A CGA-based FI is an independent predictor of all-cause and cardiovascular mortality, with even mild frailty increasing the risk. Implementing frailty assessments can improve health risk prediction in older adults from Eastern Europe.
- MeSH
- geriatrické hodnocení * MeSH
- kardiovaskulární nemoci * mortalita MeSH
- křehkost * mortalita MeSH
- křehký senior * statistika a číselné údaje MeSH
- lidé středního věku MeSH
- lidé MeSH
- příčina smrti MeSH
- proporcionální rizikové modely MeSH
- prospektivní studie MeSH
- rizikové faktory MeSH
- senioři MeSH
- Check Tag
- lidé středního věku MeSH
- lidé MeSH
- mužské pohlaví MeSH
- senioři MeSH
- ženské pohlaví MeSH
- Publikační typ
- časopisecké články MeSH
- multicentrická studie MeSH
- Geografické názvy
- Česká republika MeSH
- Litva MeSH
- Polsko MeSH
- východní Evropa MeSH
BACKGROUND: We aimed to evaluate the predictors of sustainability of biologic drugs for paediatric patients with Crohn's disease (CD). METHODS: The Czech National Prospective Registry of Biologic and Targeted Therapy of Inflammatory Bowel Disease (CREdIT) was used to identify the biologic treatment courses in paediatric patients with CD. Mixed-effects Cox models and propensity score analyses were employed to evaluate predictors of treatment sustainability. RESULTS: Among the 558 observations of 473 patients, 264 were treated with adalimumab (47%), 240 with infliximab (43%), 41 with ustekinumab (7%), and 13 with vedolizumab (2%). Multivariable analysis revealed higher discontinuation risk with infliximab compared to adalimumab (HR = 0.600, 95%CI 0.389-0.926), both overall and in first-line treatment (HR = 0.302, 95%CI 0.103-0.890). Infliximab versus adalimumab was associated with shorter time to escalation (HR = 0.094, 95%CI 0.043-0.203). Propensity-score analysis demonstrated lower sustainability of infliximab (HR = 0.563, 95%CI 1.159-2.725). The time since diagnosis to treatment initiation (HR = 0.852, 95%CI 0.781-0.926) was the most important predictor. Baseline immunosuppressive therapy prolonged sustainability with infliximab (HR = 2.899, 95%CI 1.311-6.410). CONCLUSIONS: Given the results suggesting shorter sustainability, the need for earlier intensification and thus higher drug exposure, and the greater need for immunosuppression with infliximab than with adalimumab, the choice of these drugs cannot be considered completely equitable. IMPACT: Our study identified predictors of sustainability of biologic treatment in paediatric patients with Crohn's disease, including adalimumab (versus infliximab), early initiation of biologic treatment, and normalised baseline haemoglobin levels. Infliximab treatment was associated with earlier intensification, higher drug exposure, and a greater need for immunosuppression. Parents and patients should be fully informed of the disadvantages of intravenous infliximab versus adalimumab during the decision-making process. This study emphasises the importance of not delaying the initiation of biologic therapy in paediatric patients with Crohn's disease.
- MeSH
- adalimumab * terapeutické užití MeSH
- biologické přípravky terapeutické užití MeSH
- Crohnova nemoc * farmakoterapie MeSH
- dítě MeSH
- humanizované monoklonální protilátky terapeutické užití MeSH
- infliximab * terapeutické užití MeSH
- lidé MeSH
- mladiství MeSH
- proporcionální rizikové modely MeSH
- prospektivní studie MeSH
- registrace * MeSH
- tendenční skóre MeSH
- ustekinumab terapeutické užití MeSH
- výsledek terapie MeSH
- Check Tag
- dítě MeSH
- lidé MeSH
- mladiství MeSH
- mužské pohlaví MeSH
- ženské pohlaví MeSH
- Publikační typ
- časopisecké články MeSH
Pochopení vztahu mezi senzomotorickými proměnnými a exerkiny, které ovlivňují funkci mozku a kognici, nám umožňuje hlouběji porozumět biologickému procesu stárnutí. Hlavním cílem této studie bylo zjistit, jak silně jsou mozkový neurotrofický faktor (brain-derived neurotrophic factor, BDNF), irisin, svalová hmota a svalová síla asociovány s výsledky testů vybraných kognitivních funkcí u starších žen a jak dobře je predikují. Padesát sedm starších žen (průměrný věk 70,4 ± 4,1 roku) absolvovalo baterii neuropsychologických testů, měření izometrické dynamometrie a bioelektrické impedance. Hladiny v krevním séru sledovaných exerkinů byly stanoveny enzymatickým imunosorbentním testem (ELISA). Pro testování predikcí byly využity hierarchické vícenásobné regresní modely. Odhadli jsme, že rozptyl 46,1 % v krátkodobé paměti byl zapříčiněn hladinami BDNF v séru, přičemž druhým statisticky významným prediktorem byl věk (beta = –0,22; p = 0,030). Síla dolních končetin (lower limb strength, LLS) prokázala významnou prediktivní sílu jak u paměti – bezprostřední vybavení (beta = 0,39; p = 0,004), tak u paměti – oddálené vybavení (beta = 0,45; p = 0,001). Hladiny BDNF v séru byly významným prediktorem u oddáleného vybavení (beta = 0,29; p = 0,048). Přidání hladin BDNF do modelu prokázalo významné zvýšení jeho prediktivní síly o přibližně 5,6 % (p = 0,048) u paměti – oddálené vybavení. Index kosterní svalové hmoty (skeletal muscle index, SMI) a úroveň vzdělání byly významnými prediktory mentální flexibility. Byla zjištěna silná pozitivní asociace mezi hladinami BDNF, irisinem, svalovou silou a kognitivní funkcí, přičemž irisin a svalová síla jsou silnými prediktory hladin BDNF u starších žen. Studie byla realizována s podporou grantu Univerzity Karlovy – PRIMUS/19/HUM/012, Specifického vysokoškolského výzkumu SVV 260599, projektu COOPERATIO a Grantové agentury UK číslo grantu 268321. Korespondenční adresa: PhDr. Veronika Holá Katedra gymnastiky a úpolových sportů FTVS UK José Martího 269/31 162 52 Praha 6-Veleslavín e-mail: veronika.hola@ftvs.cuni.cz
Understanding the relationship between sensorimotor variables and exerkines related to brain function and cognition may help better understand biological ageing. The main aim of this study was to determine how strongly brain-derived neurotrophic factor (BDNF), irisin, muscle mass and muscle strength are associated and predict scores on selected cognitive domain tests in older women. Fifty seven older women (mean age 70.4 ± 4.1 years) underwent a battery of cognitive and psychological tests and measurements of isometric dynamometry and bioelectrical impedance. Serum exerkines levels were measured by enzyme-linked immunosorbent assay (ELISA). Hierarchical multiple regression models were used to test the predictions. We estimated that 46.1% of the variance in short-term memory was accounted for by serum BDNF levels, with age being the second statistically significant predictor (Beta = -0.22; p = 0.030). Lower limb strength (LLS) showed significant predictive power in both immediate (Beta = 0.39; p = 0.004) and delayed memory (Beta = 0.45; p = 0.001), serum BDNF levels were a significant predictor in delayed memory (Beta = 0.29; p = 0.048). Adding serum BDNF levels to the model showed a significant increase in predictive power of approximately 5.6% (p = 0.048) in delayed memory. Skeletal muscle index (SMI) and education level were significant predictors of mental flexibility. A strong positive association between BDNF levels, irisin, muscle strength, and cognitive function was found, with irisin and muscle strength being strong predictors of BDNF levels in older women.
- Klíčová slova
- irisin,
- MeSH
- fibronektinová doména typu III fyziologie MeSH
- kognice fyziologie MeSH
- kognitivní stárnutí * fyziologie MeSH
- lidé MeSH
- mozkový neurotrofický faktor krev MeSH
- neuropsychologické testy * statistika a číselné údaje MeSH
- paměť fyziologie MeSH
- prognóza MeSH
- průřezové studie MeSH
- regresní analýza MeSH
- senioři MeSH
- svalová atrofie etiologie MeSH
- svalová síla fyziologie MeSH
- Check Tag
- lidé MeSH
- senioři MeSH
- ženské pohlaví MeSH
- Publikační typ
- práce podpořená grantem MeSH
OBJECTIVE: Age-at-death estimation is usually done manually by experts. As such, manual estimation is subjective and greatly depends on the past experience and proficiency of the expert. This becomes even more critical if experts need to evaluate individuals with unknown population affinity or with affinity that they are not familiar with. The purpose of this study is to design a novel age-at-death estimation method allowing for automatic evaluation on computers, thus eliminating the human factor. METHODS: We used a traditional machine-learning approach with explicit feature extraction. First, we identified and described the features that are relevant for age-at-death estimation. Then, we created a multi-linear regression model combining these features. Finally, we analysed the model performance in terms of Mean Absolute Error (MAE), Mean Bias Error (MBE), Slope of Residuals (SoR) and Root Mean Squared Error (RMSE). RESULTS: The main result of this study is a population-independent method of estimating an individual's age-at-death using the acetabulum of the pelvis. Apart from data acquisition, the whole procedure of pre-processing, feature extraction and age estimation is fully automated and implemented as a computer program. This program is a part of a freely available web-based software tool called CoxAGE3D, which is available at https://coxage3d.fit.cvut.cz/. Based on our dataset, the MAE of the presented method is about 10.7 years. In addition, five population-specific models for Thai, Lithuanian, Portuguese, Greek and Swiss populations are also given. The MAEs for these populations are 9.6, 9.8, 10.8, 10.5 and 9.2 years, respectively. Our age-at-death estimation method is suitable for individuals with unknown population affinity and provides acceptable accuracy. The age estimation error cannot be completely eliminated, because it is a consequence of the variability of the ageing process of different individuals not only across different populations but also within a certain population.
- MeSH
- acetabulum * diagnostické zobrazování MeSH
- dospělí MeSH
- lidé středního věku MeSH
- lidé MeSH
- lineární modely MeSH
- mladý dospělý MeSH
- senioři nad 80 let MeSH
- senioři MeSH
- software * MeSH
- soudní antropologie * metody MeSH
- strojové učení * MeSH
- určení kostního věku * metody MeSH
- zobrazování trojrozměrné * MeSH
- Check Tag
- dospělí MeSH
- lidé středního věku MeSH
- lidé MeSH
- mladý dospělý MeSH
- mužské pohlaví MeSH
- senioři nad 80 let MeSH
- senioři MeSH
- ženské pohlaví MeSH
- Publikační typ
- časopisecké články MeSH
The aim of this study was to develop and validate methods for the determination of vitamins B2, B9, E and A in serum using liquid chromatography with mass spectrometry (MS) detection. Vitamin analysis was performed using an ultra performance liquid chromatography combined with tandem MS. The compounds were separated on a BEH C18 RP column (2.1 × 100 mm, 1.7 μm) using a gradient elution with an analysis time of 10 min. Sample preparation included protein precipitation with ethanol. The concentration range in human serum was as follows: riboflavin 5-1000 nmol/L, folic acid 2.5-250 nmol/L, α-tocopherol 0.5-100 μmol/L and all-trans-retinol 25-2500 nmol/L. Accuracy and precision were validated according to Food and Drug Administration guidelines, with coefficients of variation ranging from 3.1-11.7% and recoveries from 94.4-107.5%. Routine monitoring of the complex range of vitamins in bariatric medicine is still not common. This is despite the fact that patients are at risk for glitch deficits, especially of a neurological nature. An analytical method that allows for the complex measurement of both water-soluble and fat-soluble vitamins is important and necessary for the clinical monitoring of bariatric patients. The method we have described could benefit both clinical practice and nutritional research.
- MeSH
- alfa-tokoferol * krev MeSH
- bariatrická chirurgie MeSH
- chromatografie kapalinová metody MeSH
- kyselina listová * krev MeSH
- lidé MeSH
- limita detekce MeSH
- lineární modely MeSH
- reprodukovatelnost výsledků MeSH
- riboflavin * krev MeSH
- tandemová hmotnostní spektrometrie * metody MeSH
- vitamin A * krev MeSH
- vysokoúčinná kapalinová chromatografie metody MeSH
- Check Tag
- lidé MeSH
- Publikační typ
- časopisecké články MeSH
Cíl: Automaticky předpovídat stabilitu aterosklerotického plátu v karotidě ze standardních transverzálních ultrazvukových obrazů v B-modu za použití hlubokého učení. Spolehlivý prediktor by snížil potřebu klinických kontrol i farmakologické či chirurgické léčby. Metody: Automaticky byla lokalizována oblast zájmu obsahující karotidu. Adversariální metoda segmentace byla natrénována na kombinaci malého kompletně anotovaného datasetu a většího slabě anotovaného datasetu. Multikriteriální regrese s automatickou adaptací vah byla použita k predikci série klinicky relevantních atributů, vč. nárůstu tloušťky plátu během 3 let. Výsledky: Současnou šíři plátu bylo možno odhadnout s vysokou korelací (ρ = 0,32) a velmi vysokou statistickou signifikancí. Odhadovaný budoucí nárůst šíře plátu byl korelován méně (ρ = 0,22), ale stále statisticky významně (p < 0,01). Korelace mezi automatickým a expertním hodnocením echogenicity, hladkosti a kalcifikací byla ještě nižší. Závěr: Potvrdili jsme závislost mezi vzhledem plátu v ultrazvukovém obraze a pravděpodobností jeho budoucího růstu, ale je příliš slabá, než aby byla využitelná v klinické praxi jako jediný prediktor stability plátu.
Aim: To automatically predict the stability of carotid artery plaque from standard B-mode transversal ultrasound images using deep learning. A reliable predictor would reduce the need for follow-up examination and pharmacological and surgical treatment. Methods: A region of interest containing the carotid artery was automatically localized. An adversarial segmentation method was trained on a combination of a small pixelwise annotated dataset and a larger weakly annotated dataset. A multicriterion regression with automatic weight adaptation was applied to predict a series of clinically relevant attributes, including the plaque width increase over 3 years. Results: The current plaque width could be estimated with a high correlation (ρ = 0.32) and a very high statistical significance. The estimated future increase of the plaque width was correlated less (ρ = 0.22) but statistically significantly (P < 0.01). The correlation between automatic and expert assessments of echogenicity, smoothness and calcification was even smaller. Conclusion: We confirmed a relationship between the plaque appearance in ultrasound and the probability of its future growth, but it is too weak to be used in clinical practice as the sole predictor of the plaque stability.
- MeSH
- algoritmy MeSH
- aterosklerotický plát * diagnostické zobrazování patologie MeSH
- deep learning MeSH
- lidé MeSH
- počítačové metodologie MeSH
- prognóza MeSH
- regresní analýza MeSH
- statistika jako téma MeSH
- ultrasonografie karotid * statistika a číselné údaje MeSH
- Check Tag
- lidé MeSH
- Publikační typ
- klinická studie MeSH
- práce podpořená grantem MeSH
MOTIVATION: The association between weather conditions and stroke incidence has been a subject of interest for several years, yet the findings from various studies remain inconsistent. Additionally, predictive modelling in this context has been infrequent. This study explores the relationship of extremely high ischaemic stroke incidence and meteorological factors within the Slovak population. Furthermore, it aims to construct forecasting models of extremely high number of strokes. METHODS: Over a five-year period, a total of 52,036 cases of ischemic stroke were documented. Days exhibiting a notable surge in ischemic stroke occurrences (surpassing the 90th percentile of historical records) were identified as extreme cases. These cases were then scrutinized alongside daily meteorological parameters spanning from 2015 to 2019. To create forecasts for the occurrence of these extreme cases one day in advance, three distinct methods were employed: Logistic regression, Random Forest for Time Series, and Croston's method. RESULTS: For each of the analyzed stroke centers, the cross-correlations between instances of extremely high stroke numbers and meteorological factors yielded negligible results. Predictive performance achieved by forecasts generated through multivariate logistic regression and Random Forest for time series analysis, which incorporated meteorological data, was on par with that of Croston's method. Notably, Croston's method relies solely on the stroke time series data. All three forecasting methods exhibited limited predictive accuracy. CONCLUSIONS: The task of predicting days characterized by an exceptionally high number of strokes proved to be challenging across all three explored methods. The inclusion of meteorological parameters did not yield substantive improvements in forecasting accuracy.
- MeSH
- incidence MeSH
- ischemická cévní mozková příhoda * epidemiologie MeSH
- lidé MeSH
- logistické modely MeSH
- meteorologické pojmy MeSH
- počasí * MeSH
- předpověď * metody MeSH
- senioři MeSH
- Check Tag
- lidé MeSH
- mužské pohlaví MeSH
- senioři MeSH
- ženské pohlaví MeSH
- Publikační typ
- časopisecké články MeSH
- Geografické názvy
- Slovenská republika MeSH
BACKGROUND: There is a lack of data on the long-term effect of nintedanib on survival in specific groups of idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis (IPF) patients with different phenotypes. We investigated the outcomes of nintedanib therapy in an observational study of a large multicentre real-world cohort of IPF patients with various initial characteristics. METHODS: The analysis included IPF patients treated with nintedanib (NIN) and IPF patients not receiving antifibrotic treatment (NAF) enrolled for the EMPIRE registry in 2015-2020. The patients were stratified according to their initial FVC predicted, dyspnoea, UIP pattern and age. All-cause mortality and annual rate of FVC decline were the main endpoints. Cox proportional hazards model for survival assessment and linear mixed-effects model for FVC decline modelling were used. RESULTS: A total of 869 NIN patients and 691 NAF patients were eligible for the analysis. The annual FVC decline rate was significantly different (adjusted values -0.053 l/yr vs -0.122 l/yr; p = 0.001). The adjusted hazard ratio (HR) for mortality was 0.40 (95 % CI 0.3 to 0.53, p < 0.001). The most significant effect of nintedanib was demonstrated in patients with impaired lung function, i.e., with an FVC predicted to be less than 80 % and a NYHA II to IV. Nintedanib therapy also reduced the difference in survival between men and women. CONCLUSIONS: Modelling confirmed that NIN therapy reduced differences in OS between patients with better and worse initial conditions and prognosis. Our results indicate that NIN is particularly beneficial for patients with advanced IPF and more severe phenotypes. TRIAL REGISTRATION: EMPIRE was registered as a non-interventional post-registration study at the State Institute for Drug Control of the Czech Republic under ID 1412080000 on December 8, 2014.
- MeSH
- antifibrotické látky terapeutické užití MeSH
- časové faktory MeSH
- fenotyp MeSH
- idiopatická plicní fibróza * farmakoterapie mortalita patofyziologie MeSH
- indoly * terapeutické užití MeSH
- lidé středního věku MeSH
- lidé MeSH
- proporcionální rizikové modely MeSH
- registrace MeSH
- retrospektivní studie MeSH
- senioři nad 80 let MeSH
- senioři MeSH
- vitální kapacita MeSH
- výsledek terapie MeSH
- Check Tag
- lidé středního věku MeSH
- lidé MeSH
- mužské pohlaví MeSH
- senioři nad 80 let MeSH
- senioři MeSH
- ženské pohlaví MeSH
- Publikační typ
- časopisecké články MeSH
- multicentrická studie MeSH
- pozorovací studie MeSH
OBJECTIVES: To externally and prospectively validate the International Ovarian Tumor Analysis (IOTA) Simple Rules (SRs), Logistic Regression model 2 (LR2) and Assessment of Different NEoplasias in the adneXa (ADNEX) model in a Portuguese population, comparing these approaches with subjective assessment and the risk-of-malignancy index (RMI), as well as with each other. This study also aimed to retrospectively validate the IOTA two-step strategy, using modified benign simple descriptors (MBDs) followed by the ADNEX model in cases in which MBDs were not applicable. METHODS: This was a prospective multicenter diagnostic accuracy study conducted between January 2016 and December 2021 of consecutive patients with an ultrasound diagnosis of at least one adnexal tumor, who underwent surgery at one of three tertiary referral centers in Lisbon, Portugal. All ultrasound assessments were performed by Level-II or -III sonologists with IOTA certification. Patient clinical data and serum CA 125 levels were collected from hospital databases. Each adnexal mass was classified as benign or malignant using subjective assessment, RMI, IOTA SRs, LR2 and the ADNEX model (with and without CA 125). The reference standard was histopathological diagnosis. In the second phase, all adnexal tumors were classified retrospectively using the two-step strategy (MBDs + ADNEX). Sensitivity, specificity, positive and negative predictive values, positive and negative likelihood ratios and overall accuracy were determined for all methods. Receiver-operating-characteristics curves were constructed and corresponding areas under the curve (AUC) were determined for RMI, LR2, the ADNEX model and the two-step strategy. The ADNEX model calibration plots were constructed using locally estimated scatterplot smoothing (LOESS). RESULTS: Of the 571 patients included in the study, 428 had benign disease and 143 had malignant disease (prevalence of malignancy, 25.0%), of which 42 had borderline ovarian tumor, 93 had primary invasive adnexal cancer and eight had metastatic tumors in the adnexa. Subjective assessment had an overall sensitivity of 97.9% and a specificity of 83.6% for distinguishing between benign and malignant lesions. RMI showed high specificity (95.6%) but very low sensitivity (58.7%), with an AUC of 0.913. The IOTA SRs were applicable in 80.0% of patients, with a sensitivity of 94.8% and specificity of 98.6%. The IOTA LR2 had a sensitivity of 84.6%, specificity of 86.9% and an AUC of 0.939, at a malignancy risk cut-off of 10%. At the same cut-off, the sensitivity, specificity and AUC for the ADNEX model with vs without CA 125 were 95.8% vs 98.6%, 82.5% vs 79.7% and 0.962 vs 0.960, respectively. The ADNEX model gave heterogeneous results for distinguishing between benign masses and different subtypes of malignancy, with the highest AUC (0.991) for discriminating benign masses from primary invasive adnexal cancer Stages II-IV, and the lowest AUC (0.696) for discriminating primary invasive adnexal cancer Stage I from metastatic lesion in the adnexa. The calibration plot suggested underestimation of the risk by the ADNEX model compared with the observed proportion of malignancy. The MBDs were applicable in 26.3% (150/571) of cases, of which none was malignant. The two-step strategy using the ADNEX model in the second step only, with and without CA 125, had AUCs of 0.964 and 0.961, respectively, which was similar to applying the ADNEX model in all patients. CONCLUSIONS: The IOTA methods showed good-to-excellent performance in the Portuguese population, outperforming RMI. The ADNEX model was superior to other methods in terms of accuracy, but interpretation of its ability to distinguish between malignant subtypes was limited by sample size and large differences in the prevalence of tumor subtypes. The IOTA MBDs are reliable in identifying benign disease. The two-step strategy comprising application of MBDs followed by the ADNEX model if MBDs are not applicable, is suitable for daily clinical practice, circumventing the need to calculate the risk of malignancy in all patients. © 2024 International Society of Ultrasound in Obstetrics and Gynecology.
- MeSH
- antigen CA-125 krev MeSH
- diferenciální diagnóza MeSH
- dospělí MeSH
- lidé středního věku MeSH
- lidé MeSH
- logistické modely MeSH
- nádory vaječníků * diagnostické zobrazování patologie klasifikace krev MeSH
- nemoci děložních adnex * diagnostické zobrazování MeSH
- prediktivní hodnota testů MeSH
- prospektivní studie MeSH
- reprodukovatelnost výsledků MeSH
- retrospektivní studie MeSH
- ROC křivka MeSH
- senioři MeSH
- senzitivita a specificita MeSH
- ultrasonografie * metody MeSH
- Check Tag
- dospělí MeSH
- lidé středního věku MeSH
- lidé MeSH
- senioři MeSH
- ženské pohlaví MeSH
- Publikační typ
- časopisecké články MeSH
- multicentrická studie MeSH
- validační studie MeSH
- Geografické názvy
- Portugalsko MeSH