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The burden of heat-related mortality attributable to recent human-induced climate change
AM. Vicedo-Cabrera, N. Scovronick, F. Sera, D. Royé, R. Schneider, A. Tobias, C. Astrom, Y. Guo, Y. Honda, DM. Hondula, R. Abrutzky, S. Tong, M. de Sousa Zanotti Stagliorio Coelho, PHN. Saldiva, E. Lavigne, PM. Correa, NV. Ortega, H. Kan, S....
Jazyk angličtina Země Velká Británie
Typ dokumentu časopisecké články
Grantová podpora
MR/R013349/1
Medical Research Council - United Kingdom
P30 ES019776
NIEHS NIH HHS - United States
- Publikační typ
- časopisecké články MeSH
Climate change affects human health; however, there have been no large-scale, systematic efforts to quantify the heat-related human health impacts that have already occurred due to climate change. Here, we use empirical data from 732 locations in 43 countries to estimate the mortality burdens associated with the additional heat exposure that has resulted from recent human-induced warming, during the period 1991-2018. Across all study countries, we find that 37.0% (range 20.5-76.3%) of warm-season heat-related deaths can be attributed to anthropogenic climate change and that increased mortality is evident on every continent. Burdens varied geographically but were of the order of dozens to hundreds of deaths per year in many locations. Our findings support the urgent need for more ambitious mitigation and adaptation strategies to minimize the public health impacts of climate change.
Air Health Science Division Health Canada Ottawa Ontario Canada
Center for Environmental and Respiratory Health Research University of Oulu Oulu Finland
Center for Global Health School of Public Health Nanjing Medical University Nanjing China
Centre for Statistical Methodology London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine London UK
CIBER de Epidemiología y Salud Pública Madrid Spain
Department of Earth Sciences University of Torino Turin Italy
Department of Enviromental Health Instituto Nacional de Saúde Dr Ricardo Jorge Porto Portugal
Department of Environmental Engineering Graduate School of Engineering Kyoto University Kyoto Japan
Department of Environmental Health National Institute of Public Health Cuernavaca Morelos Mexico
Department of Environmental Health University of São Paulo São Paulo Brazil
Department of Epidemiology Instituto Nacional de Saúde Dr Ricardo Jorge Lisbon Portugal
Department of Epidemiology Lazio Regional Health Service Rome Italy
Department of Geography University of Santiago de Compostela Santiago de Compostela Spain
Department of Physical Chemical and Natural Systems Universidad Pablo de Olavide Seville Spain
Department of Preventive Medicine School of Medicine University of the Republic Montevideo Uruguay
Department of Public Health and Clinical Medicine Umeå University Umeå Sweden
Department of Public Health Universidad de los Andes Santiago Chile
Department of Statistics and Computational Research Universitat de Valencia Valencia Spain
EPIUnit Instituto de Saúde Pública Universidade do Porto Porto Portugal
European Centre for Medium Range Weather Forecast Reading UK
Faculty of Environmental Sciences Czech University of Life Sciences Prague Czech Republic
Faculty of Geography and Environmental Sciences Hakim Sabzevari University Sabzevar Iran
Faculty of Geography Babes Bolay University Cluj Napoca Romania
Faculty of Health and Sport Sciences University of Tsukuba Tsukuba Japan
Faculty of Medicine ArqFuturo INSPER University of São Paulo São Paulo Brazil
Finnish Meteorological Institute Helsinki Finland
Institute for Environment Health and Societies Brunel University London London UK
Institute of Atmospheric Physics of the Czech Academy of Sciences Prague Czech Republic
Institute of Family Medicine and Public Health University of Tartu Tartu Estonia
Institute of Social and Preventive Medicine University of Bern Bern Switzerland
National Institute of Environmental Health Science National Health Research Institutes Zhunan Taiwan
Norwegian Institute of Public Health Oslo Norway
Oeschger Center for Climate Change Research University of Bern Bern Switzerland
Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research Potsdam Germany
School of Epidemiology and Public Health University of Ottawa Ottawa Ontario Canada
School of Geographical Sciences and Urban Planning Arizona State University Tempe AZ USA
School of Physics Technological University Dublin Dublin Ireland
School of Public Health Fudan University Shanghai China
School of Tropical Medicine and Global Health Nagasaki University Nagasaki Japan
Shanghai Children's Medical Center Shanghai Jiao Tong University School of Medicine Shanghai China
Swiss Tropical and Public Health Institute Basel Switzerland
Citace poskytuje Crossref.org
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- $a The burden of heat-related mortality attributable to recent human-induced climate change / $c AM. Vicedo-Cabrera, N. Scovronick, F. Sera, D. Royé, R. Schneider, A. Tobias, C. Astrom, Y. Guo, Y. Honda, DM. Hondula, R. Abrutzky, S. Tong, M. de Sousa Zanotti Stagliorio Coelho, PHN. Saldiva, E. Lavigne, PM. Correa, NV. Ortega, H. Kan, S. Osorio, J. Kyselý, A. Urban, H. Orru, E. Indermitte, JJK. Jaakkola, N. Ryti, M. Pascal, A. Schneider, K. Katsouyanni, E. Samoli, F. Mayvaneh, A. Entezari, P. Goodman, A. Zeka, P. Michelozzi, F. de'Donato, M. Hashizume, B. Alahmad, MH. Diaz, C. De La Cruz Valencia, A. Overcenco, D. Houthuijs, C. Ameling, S. Rao, FD. Ruscio, G. Carrasco-Escobar, X. Seposo, S. Silva, J. Madureira, IH. Holobaca, S. Fratianni, F. Acquaotta, H. Kim, W. Lee, C. Iniguez, B. Forsberg, MS. Ragettli, YLL. Guo, BY. Chen, S. Li, B. Armstrong, A. Aleman, A. Zanobetti, J. Schwartz, TN. Dang, DV. Dung, N. Gillett, A. Haines, M. Mengel, V. Huber, A. Gasparrini
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- $a Climate change affects human health; however, there have been no large-scale, systematic efforts to quantify the heat-related human health impacts that have already occurred due to climate change. Here, we use empirical data from 732 locations in 43 countries to estimate the mortality burdens associated with the additional heat exposure that has resulted from recent human-induced warming, during the period 1991-2018. Across all study countries, we find that 37.0% (range 20.5-76.3%) of warm-season heat-related deaths can be attributed to anthropogenic climate change and that increased mortality is evident on every continent. Burdens varied geographically but were of the order of dozens to hundreds of deaths per year in many locations. Our findings support the urgent need for more ambitious mitigation and adaptation strategies to minimize the public health impacts of climate change.
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