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The burden of heat-related mortality attributable to recent human-induced climate change

AM. Vicedo-Cabrera, N. Scovronick, F. Sera, D. Royé, R. Schneider, A. Tobias, C. Astrom, Y. Guo, Y. Honda, DM. Hondula, R. Abrutzky, S. Tong, M. de Sousa Zanotti Stagliorio Coelho, PHN. Saldiva, E. Lavigne, PM. Correa, NV. Ortega, H. Kan, S....

. 2021 ; 11 (6) : 492-500. [pub] 20210531

Jazyk angličtina Země Velká Británie

Typ dokumentu časopisecké články

Perzistentní odkaz   https://www.medvik.cz/link/bmc21024631

Grantová podpora
MR/R013349/1 Medical Research Council - United Kingdom
P30 ES019776 NIEHS NIH HHS - United States

Climate change affects human health; however, there have been no large-scale, systematic efforts to quantify the heat-related human health impacts that have already occurred due to climate change. Here, we use empirical data from 732 locations in 43 countries to estimate the mortality burdens associated with the additional heat exposure that has resulted from recent human-induced warming, during the period 1991-2018. Across all study countries, we find that 37.0% (range 20.5-76.3%) of warm-season heat-related deaths can be attributed to anthropogenic climate change and that increased mortality is evident on every continent. Burdens varied geographically but were of the order of dozens to hundreds of deaths per year in many locations. Our findings support the urgent need for more ambitious mitigation and adaptation strategies to minimize the public health impacts of climate change.

Air Health Science Division Health Canada Ottawa Ontario Canada

Canadian Centre for Climate Modelling and Analysis Environment and Climate Change Canada Victoria British Colombia Canada

Center for Environmental and Respiratory Health Research University of Oulu Oulu Finland

Center for Global Health School of Public Health Nanjing Medical University Nanjing China

Centre for Statistical Methodology London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine London UK

Centre for Sustainability and Environmental Health National Institute for Public Health and the Environment Bilthoven the Netherlands

CIBER de Epidemiología y Salud Pública Madrid Spain

Department of Earth Sciences University of Torino Turin Italy

Department of Enviromental Health Instituto Nacional de Saúde Dr Ricardo Jorge Porto Portugal

Department of Environmental Engineering Graduate School of Engineering Kyoto University Kyoto Japan

Department of Environmental Health Faculty of Public Health University of Medicine and Pharmacy at Ho Chi Minh City Ho Chi Minh City Vietnam

Department of Environmental Health Harvard T H Chan School of Public Health Harvard University Boston MA USA

Department of Environmental Health National Institute of Public Health Cuernavaca Morelos Mexico

Department of Environmental Health University of São Paulo São Paulo Brazil

Department of Epidemiology and Preventive Medicine School of Public Health and Preventive Medicine Monash University Melbourne Victoria Australia

Department of Epidemiology Instituto Nacional de Saúde Dr Ricardo Jorge Lisbon Portugal

Department of Epidemiology Lazio Regional Health Service Rome Italy

Department of Geography University of Santiago de Compostela Santiago de Compostela Spain

Department of Global Health Policy School of International Health Graduate School of Medicine The University of Tokyo Tokyo Japan

Department of Hygiene Epidemiology and Medical Statistics School of Medicine National and Kapodistrian University of Athens Athens Greece

Department of Physical Chemical and Natural Systems Universidad Pablo de Olavide Seville Spain

Department of Preventive Medicine School of Medicine University of the Republic Montevideo Uruguay

Department of Public Health and Clinical Medicine Umeå University Umeå Sweden

Department of Public Health Environments and Society London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine London UK

Department of Public Health Universidad de los Andes Santiago Chile

Department of Statistics and Computational Research Universitat de Valencia Valencia Spain

Department of Statistics Computer Science and Applications 'G Parenti' University of Florence Florence Italy

Environmental and Occupational Medicine and Institute of Environmental and Occupational Health Sciences National Taiwan University and NTU Hospital Taipei Taiwan

EPIUnit Instituto de Saúde Pública Universidade do Porto Porto Portugal

European Centre for Medium Range Weather Forecast Reading UK

Facultad de Ciencias Sociales Instituto de Investigaciones Gino Germani Universidad de Buenos Aires Buenos Aires Argentina

Faculty of Environmental Sciences Czech University of Life Sciences Prague Czech Republic

Faculty of Geography and Environmental Sciences Hakim Sabzevari University Sabzevar Iran

Faculty of Geography Babes Bolay University Cluj Napoca Romania

Faculty of Health and Sport Sciences University of Tsukuba Tsukuba Japan

Faculty of Medicine ArqFuturo INSPER University of São Paulo São Paulo Brazil

Finnish Meteorological Institute Helsinki Finland

Gangarosa Department of Environmental Health Rollins School of Public Health Emory University Atlanta GA USA

Graduate School of Public Health and Institute of Health and Environment Seoul National University Seoul Republic of Korea

Health Innovation Laboratory Institute of Tropical Medicine 'Alexander von Humboldt' Universidad Peruana Cayetano Heredia Lima Peru

Institute for Environment Health and Societies Brunel University London London UK

Institute of Atmospheric Physics of the Czech Academy of Sciences Prague Czech Republic

Institute of Environmental Assessment and Water Research Spanish Council for Scientific Research Barcelona Spain

Institute of Epidemiology Helmholtz Zentrum München German Research Center for Environmental Health Neuherberg Germany

Institute of Family Medicine and Public Health University of Tartu Tartu Estonia

Institute of Social and Preventive Medicine University of Bern Bern Switzerland

Laboratory of Management in Science and Public Health National Agency for Public Health of the Ministry of Health Chisinau Republic of Moldova

MRC PHE Centre for Environment and Health Environmental Research Group School of Public Health Imperial College London London UK

National Institute of Environmental Health Science National Health Research Institutes Zhunan Taiwan

Norwegian Institute of Public Health Oslo Norway

Oeschger Center for Climate Change Research University of Bern Bern Switzerland

Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research Potsdam Germany

Santé Publique France Department of Environmental Health French National Public Health Agency Saint Maurice France

School of Epidemiology and Public Health University of Ottawa Ottawa Ontario Canada

School of Geographical Sciences and Urban Planning Arizona State University Tempe AZ USA

School of Physics Technological University Dublin Dublin Ireland

School of Public Health and Social Work Queensland University of Technology Brisbane Queensland Australia

School of Public Health Fudan University Shanghai China

School of Public Health Institute of Environment and Population Health Anhui Medical University Hefei China

School of Tropical Medicine and Global Health Nagasaki University Nagasaki Japan

Shanghai Children's Medical Center Shanghai Jiao Tong University School of Medicine Shanghai China

Swiss Tropical and Public Health Institute Basel Switzerland

The Centre on Climate Change and Planetary Health London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine London UK

University of Basel Basel Switzerland

Φ Lab European Space Agency Frascati Italy

Citace poskytuje Crossref.org

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$a The burden of heat-related mortality attributable to recent human-induced climate change / $c AM. Vicedo-Cabrera, N. Scovronick, F. Sera, D. Royé, R. Schneider, A. Tobias, C. Astrom, Y. Guo, Y. Honda, DM. Hondula, R. Abrutzky, S. Tong, M. de Sousa Zanotti Stagliorio Coelho, PHN. Saldiva, E. Lavigne, PM. Correa, NV. Ortega, H. Kan, S. Osorio, J. Kyselý, A. Urban, H. Orru, E. Indermitte, JJK. Jaakkola, N. Ryti, M. Pascal, A. Schneider, K. Katsouyanni, E. Samoli, F. Mayvaneh, A. Entezari, P. Goodman, A. Zeka, P. Michelozzi, F. de'Donato, M. Hashizume, B. Alahmad, MH. Diaz, C. De La Cruz Valencia, A. Overcenco, D. Houthuijs, C. Ameling, S. Rao, FD. Ruscio, G. Carrasco-Escobar, X. Seposo, S. Silva, J. Madureira, IH. Holobaca, S. Fratianni, F. Acquaotta, H. Kim, W. Lee, C. Iniguez, B. Forsberg, MS. Ragettli, YLL. Guo, BY. Chen, S. Li, B. Armstrong, A. Aleman, A. Zanobetti, J. Schwartz, TN. Dang, DV. Dung, N. Gillett, A. Haines, M. Mengel, V. Huber, A. Gasparrini
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$a Climate change affects human health; however, there have been no large-scale, systematic efforts to quantify the heat-related human health impacts that have already occurred due to climate change. Here, we use empirical data from 732 locations in 43 countries to estimate the mortality burdens associated with the additional heat exposure that has resulted from recent human-induced warming, during the period 1991-2018. Across all study countries, we find that 37.0% (range 20.5-76.3%) of warm-season heat-related deaths can be attributed to anthropogenic climate change and that increased mortality is evident on every continent. Burdens varied geographically but were of the order of dozens to hundreds of deaths per year in many locations. Our findings support the urgent need for more ambitious mitigation and adaptation strategies to minimize the public health impacts of climate change.
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