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Recurrent Stroke With Rivaroxaban Compared With Aspirin According to Predictors of Atrial Fibrillation: Secondary Analysis of the NAVIGATE ESUS Randomized Clinical Trial

. 2019 Jul 01 ; 76 (7) : 764-773.

Language English Country United States Media print

Document type Comparative Study, Journal Article, Randomized Controlled Trial, Research Support, Non-U.S. Gov't

IMPORTANCE: The NAVIGATE ESUS randomized clinical trial found that 15 mg of rivaroxaban per day does not reduce stroke compared with aspirin in patients with embolic stroke of undetermined source (ESUS); however, it substantially reduces stroke risk in patients with atrial fibrillation (AF). OBJECTIVE: To analyze whether rivaroxaban is associated with a reduction of recurrent stroke among patients with ESUS who have an increased risk of AF. DESIGN, SETTING, AND PARTICIPANTS: Participants were stratified by predictors of AF, including left atrial diameter, frequency of premature atrial contractions, and HAVOC score, a validated scheme using clinical features. Treatment interactions with these predictors were assessed. Participants were enrolled between December 2014 and September 2017, and analysis began March 2018. INTERVENTION: Rivaroxaban treatment vs aspirin. MAIN OUTCOMES AND MEASURES: Risk of ischemic stroke. RESULTS: Among 7112 patients with a mean (SD) age of 67 (9.8) years, the mean (SD) HAVOC score was 2.6 (1.8), the mean (SD) left atrial diameter was 3.8 (1.4) cm (n = 4022), and the median (interquartile range) daily frequency of premature atrial contractions was 48 (13-222). Detection of AF during follow-up increased for each tertile of HAVOC score: 2.3% (score, 0-2), 3.0% (score, 3), and 5.8% (score, >3); however, neither tertiles of the HAVOC score nor premature atrial contractions frequency impacted the association of rivaroxaban with recurrent ischemic stroke (P for interaction = .67 and .96, respectively). Atrial fibrillation annual incidence increased for each tertile of left atrial diameter (2.0%, 3.6%, and 5.2%) and for each tertile of premature atrial contractions frequency (1.3%, 2.9%, and 7.0%). Among the predefined subgroup of patients with a left atrial diameter of more than 4.6 cm (9% of overall population), the risk of ischemic stroke was lower among the rivaroxaban group (1.7% per year) compared with the aspirin group (6.5% per year) (hazard ratio, 0.26; 95% CI, 0.07-0.94; P for interaction = .02). CONCLUSIONS AND RELEVANCE: The HAVOC score, left atrial diameter, and premature atrial contraction frequency predicted subsequent clinical AF. Rivaroxaban was associated with a reduced risk of recurrent stroke among patients with ESUS and moderate or severe left atrial enlargement; however, this needs to be independently confirmed before influencing clinical practice.

2nd Department of Neurology Institute of Psychiatry and Neurology Warsaw Poland

Bayer AG Wuppertal Germany

Bayer US LLC Pharmaceuticals Clinical Development Thrombosis Whippany New Jersey

Beijing Tiantan Hospital Capital Medical University Beijing China

Department of Clinical Neurosciences Radiology and Community Health Sciences University of Calgary Foothills Medical Centre Calgary Alberta Canada

Department of Human Neurosciences Sapienza University of Rome Rome Italy

Department of Internal Medicine University Hospital Basel Basel Switzerland

Department of Medicine University of Alberta Edmonton Alberta Canada

Department of Medicine University of Thesally Larissa Greece

Department of Medicine University of Toronto Toronto Ontario Canada

Department of Neurology Institute of Psychiatry and Neurology Warsaw Poland

Department of Neurology OHSU VA Portland Health Care System Portland Oregon

Department of Neurology Universitätsklinikum Würzburg Würzburg Germany

Department of Neurology University of Pennsylvania Philadelphia

Department of Pharmacology Medical University of Warsaw Warsaw Poland

Division of Cardiology Hamilton Health Sciences Population Health Research Institute Department of Medicine McMaster University Hamilton Ontario Canada

Division of Neurology and Hurvitz Brain Sciences Program Sunnybrook Health Sciences Centre and Sunnybrook Research Institute Toronto Ontario Canada

Electrophysiology Section Cardiovascular Division University of Pennsylvania Cardiology Section Philadelphia VA Medical Center Philadelphia

Instituto Nacional de Neurologia y Neurocirugia Mexico D F Mexico City Mexico

International Clinical Research Center and Neurology Department St Anne's University Hospital and Masaryk University Brno Czech Republic

International University of Health and Welfare Sanno Hospital and Sanno Medical Center Tokyo Japan

Klinik für Neurologie Charité Universitätsmedizin Berlin Berlin Germany

McMaster University Population Health Research Institute Department of Medicine Hamilton Ontario Canada

Neurology Department Centro Hospitalar e Universitário de Coimbra Coimbra Portugal

Population Health Research Institute Hamilton Health Sciences Hamilton Ontario Canada

Unitat d'Ictus Servei de Neurologia Hospital Universitari Vall d'Hebrón Barcelona Spain

UWA Medical School University of Western Australia Sir Charles Gairdner Hospital Perth Australia

Vall d'Hebron Stroke Unit Hospital Universitari Vall d'Hebron Barcelona Spain

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