-
Something wrong with this record ?
Scale-dependent climatic drivers of human epidemics in ancient China
H. Tian, C. Yan, L. Xu, U. Büntgen, NC. Stenseth, Z. Zhang,
Language English Country United States
Document type Historical Article, Journal Article, Research Support, Non-U.S. Gov't
NLK
Free Medical Journals
from 1915 to 6 months ago
Freely Accessible Science Journals
from 1915 to 6 months ago
PubMed Central
from 1915 to 6 months ago
Europe PubMed Central
from 1915 to 6 months ago
Open Access Digital Library
from 1915-01-15
Open Access Digital Library
from 1915-01-01
- MeSH
- History, Ancient MeSH
- History, Medieval MeSH
- Epidemics history MeSH
- Communicable Diseases epidemiology history MeSH
- Disasters history MeSH
- Climate Change MeSH
- Humans MeSH
- Prevalence MeSH
- Check Tag
- History, Ancient MeSH
- History, Medieval MeSH
- Humans MeSH
- Publication type
- Journal Article MeSH
- Historical Article MeSH
- Research Support, Non-U.S. Gov't MeSH
- Geographicals
- China epidemiology MeSH
A wide range of climate change-induced effects have been implicated in the prevalence of infectious diseases. Disentangling causes and consequences, however, remains particularly challenging at historical time scales, for which the quality and quantity of most of the available natural proxy archives and written documentary sources often decline. Here, we reconstruct the spatiotemporal occurrence patterns of human epidemics for large parts of China and most of the last two millennia. Cold and dry climate conditions indirectly increased the prevalence of epidemics through the influences of locusts and famines. Our results further reveal that low-frequency, long-term temperature trends mainly contributed to negative associations with epidemics, while positive associations of epidemics with droughts, floods, locusts, and famines mainly coincided with both higher and lower frequency temperature variations. Nevertheless, unstable relationships between human epidemics and temperature changes were observed on relatively smaller time scales. Our study suggests that an intertwined, direct, and indirect array of biological, ecological, and societal responses to different aspects of past climatic changes strongly depended on the frequency domain and study period chosen.
References provided by Crossref.org
- 000
- 00000naa a2200000 a 4500
- 001
- bmc18024504
- 003
- CZ-PrNML
- 005
- 20180710092723.0
- 007
- ta
- 008
- 180709s2017 xxu f 000 0|eng||
- 009
- AR
- 024 7_
- $a 10.1073/pnas.1706470114 $2 doi
- 035 __
- $a (PubMed)29109246
- 040 __
- $a ABA008 $b cze $d ABA008 $e AACR2
- 041 0_
- $a eng
- 044 __
- $a xxu
- 100 1_
- $a Tian, Huidong $u State Key Laboratory of Integrated Management of Pest Insects and Rodents in Agriculture, Institute of Zoology, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing 100101, China.
- 245 10
- $a Scale-dependent climatic drivers of human epidemics in ancient China / $c H. Tian, C. Yan, L. Xu, U. Büntgen, NC. Stenseth, Z. Zhang,
- 520 9_
- $a A wide range of climate change-induced effects have been implicated in the prevalence of infectious diseases. Disentangling causes and consequences, however, remains particularly challenging at historical time scales, for which the quality and quantity of most of the available natural proxy archives and written documentary sources often decline. Here, we reconstruct the spatiotemporal occurrence patterns of human epidemics for large parts of China and most of the last two millennia. Cold and dry climate conditions indirectly increased the prevalence of epidemics through the influences of locusts and famines. Our results further reveal that low-frequency, long-term temperature trends mainly contributed to negative associations with epidemics, while positive associations of epidemics with droughts, floods, locusts, and famines mainly coincided with both higher and lower frequency temperature variations. Nevertheless, unstable relationships between human epidemics and temperature changes were observed on relatively smaller time scales. Our study suggests that an intertwined, direct, and indirect array of biological, ecological, and societal responses to different aspects of past climatic changes strongly depended on the frequency domain and study period chosen.
- 650 _2
- $a Čína $x epidemiologie $7 D002681
- 650 _2
- $a klimatické změny $7 D057231
- 650 _2
- $a infekční nemoci $x epidemiologie $x dějiny $7 D003141
- 650 _2
- $a katastrofy $x dějiny $7 D004190
- 650 _2
- $a epidemie $x dějiny $7 D058872
- 650 _2
- $a dějiny starověku $7 D049690
- 650 _2
- $a dějiny středověku $7 D049691
- 650 _2
- $a lidé $7 D006801
- 650 _2
- $a prevalence $7 D015995
- 655 _2
- $a historické články $7 D016456
- 655 _2
- $a časopisecké články $7 D016428
- 655 _2
- $a práce podpořená grantem $7 D013485
- 700 1_
- $a Yan, Chuan $u State Key Laboratory of Integrated Management of Pest Insects and Rodents in Agriculture, Institute of Zoology, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing 100101, China.
- 700 1_
- $a Xu, Lei $u State Key Laboratory of Integrated Management of Pest Insects and Rodents in Agriculture, Institute of Zoology, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing 100101, China. Centre for Ecological and Evolutionary Synthesis, Department of Biosciences, University of Oslo, N-0316 Oslo, Norway.
- 700 1_
- $a Büntgen, Ulf $u Department of Geography, University of Cambridge, CB2 3EN Cambridge, United Kingdom. Swiss Federal Research Institute for Forest, Snow, and Landscape, 8903 Birmensdorf, Switzerland. CzechGlobe, Global Change Research Institute of the Czech Academy of Sciences, 60300 Brno, Czech Republic. Department of Geography, Masaryk University, 61137 Brno, Czech Republic.
- 700 1_
- $a Stenseth, Nils C $u Centre for Ecological and Evolutionary Synthesis, Department of Biosciences, University of Oslo, N-0316 Oslo, Norway; n.c.stenseth@ibv.uio.no zhangzb@ioz.ac.cn.
- 700 1_
- $a Zhang, Zhibin $u State Key Laboratory of Integrated Management of Pest Insects and Rodents in Agriculture, Institute of Zoology, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing 100101, China; n.c.stenseth@ibv.uio.no zhangzb@ioz.ac.cn.
- 773 0_
- $w MED00010472 $t Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America $x 1091-6490 $g Roč. 114, č. 49 (2017), s. 12970-12975
- 856 41
- $u https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/29109246 $y Pubmed
- 910 __
- $a ABA008 $b sig $c sign $y a $z 0
- 990 __
- $a 20180709 $b ABA008
- 991 __
- $a 20180710093012 $b ABA008
- 999 __
- $a ok $b bmc $g 1316635 $s 1021425
- BAS __
- $a 3
- BAS __
- $a PreBMC
- BMC __
- $a 2017 $b 114 $c 49 $d 12970-12975 $e 20171106 $i 1091-6490 $m Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America $n Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A $x MED00010472
- LZP __
- $a Pubmed-20180709
