Rotation-based schedules in elementary schools to prevent COVID-19 spread: a simulation study
Jazyk angličtina Země Velká Británie, Anglie Médium electronic
Typ dokumentu časopisecké články, práce podpořená grantem
Grantová podpora
TL04000282
Technology Agency of the Czech Republic
PubMed
37932281
PubMed Central
PMC10628146
DOI
10.1038/s41598-023-45788-8
PII: 10.1038/s41598-023-45788-8
Knihovny.cz E-zdroje
- MeSH
- COVID-19 * MeSH
- dítě MeSH
- epidemický výskyt choroby MeSH
- lidé MeSH
- pandemie prevence a kontrola MeSH
- průzkumy a dotazníky MeSH
- školy MeSH
- Check Tag
- dítě MeSH
- lidé MeSH
- Publikační typ
- časopisecké články MeSH
- práce podpořená grantem MeSH
Rotations of schoolchildren were considered as a non-pharmacological intervention in the COVID-19 pandemic. This study investigates the impact of different rotation and testing schedules.We built an agent-based model of interactions among pupils and teachers based on a survey in an elementary school in Prague, Czechia. This model contains 624 schoolchildren and 55 teachers and about 27 thousands social contacts in 10 layers. The layers reflect different types of contacts (classroom, cafeteria, etc.) in the survey. On this multi-graph structure we run a modified SEIR model of covid-19 infection. The parameters of the model are calibrated on data from the outbreak in the Czech Republic in spring 2020. Weekly rotations of in-class and distance learning are an effective preventative measure in schools reducing the spread of covid-19 by 75-81% . Antigen testing twice a week or PCR once a week significantly reduces infections even when using tests with a lower sensitivity. The structure of social contacts between pupils and teachers strongly influences the transmission. While the density of contact graphs for older pupils is 1.5 times higher than for younger pupils, the teachers' network is an order of magnitude denser. Teachers moreover act as bridges between groups of children, responsible for 14-18% of infections in the secondary school compared to 8-11% in the primary school. Weekly rotations with regular testing are a highly effective non-pharmacological intervention for the prevention of covid-19 spread in schools and a way to keep schools open during an epidemic.
CERGE EI Politických vězňů 7 11121 Praha 1 Czech Republic
New Media Studies Faculty of Arts Charles University Na Příkopě 29 110 00 Praha 1 Czech Republic
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