Most cited article - PubMed ID 38740883
Optimization of off-grid hybrid renewable energy systems for cost-effective and reliable power supply in Gaita Selassie Ethiopia
The growing integration of renewable energy sources into grid-connected microgrids has created new challenges in power generation forecasting and energy management. This paper explores the use of advanced machine learning algorithms, specifically Support Vector Regression (SVR), to enhance the efficiency and reliability of these systems. The proposed SVR algorithm leverages comprehensive historical energy production data, detailed weather patterns, and dynamic grid conditions to accurately forecast power generation. Our model demonstrated significantly lower error metrics compared to traditional linear regression models, achieving a Mean Squared Error of 2.002 for solar PV and 3.059 for wind power forecasting. The Mean Absolute Error was reduced to 0.547 for solar PV and 0.825 for wind scenarios, and the Root Mean Squared Error (RMSE) was 1.415 for solar PV and 1.749 for wind power, showcasing the model's superior accuracy. Enhanced predictive accuracy directly contributes to optimized resource allocation, enabling more precise control of energy generation schedules and reducing the reliance on external power sources. The application of our SVR model resulted in an 8.4% reduction in overall operating costs, highlighting its effectiveness in improving energy management efficiency. Furthermore, the system's ability to predict fluctuations in energy output allowed for adaptive real-time energy management, reducing grid stress and enhancing system stability. This approach led to a 10% improvement in the balance between supply and demand, a 15% reduction in peak load demand, and a 12% increase in the utilization of renewable energy sources. Our approach enhances grid stability by better balancing supply and demand, mitigating the variability and intermittency of renewable energy sources. These advancements promote a more sustainable integration of renewable energy into the microgrid, contributing to a cleaner, more resilient, and efficient energy infrastructure. The findings of this research provide valuable insights into the development of intelligent energy systems capable of adapting to changing conditions, paving the way for future innovations in energy management. Additionally, this work underscores the potential of machine learning to revolutionize energy management practices by providing more accurate, reliable, and cost-effective solutions for integrating renewable energy into existing grid infrastructures.
- Keywords
- Artificial intelligence, Cognitive science, Distributed generation, Energy management, Microgrid, Optimization, Predictive modeling, Renewable energy, Support vector regression,
- Publication type
- Journal Article MeSH
Researchers are increasingly focusing on renewable energy due to its high reliability, energy independence, efficiency, and environmental benefits. This paper introduces a novel multi-objective framework for the short-term scheduling of microgrids (MGs), which addresses the conflicting objectives of minimizing operating expenses and reducing pollution emissions. The core contribution is the development of the Chaotic Self-Adaptive Sine Cosine Algorithm (CSASCA). This algorithm generates Pareto optimal solutions simultaneously, effectively balancing cost reduction and emission mitigation. The problem is formulated as a complex multi-objective optimization task with goals of cost reduction and environmental protection. To enhance decision-making within the algorithm, fuzzy logic is incorporated. The performance of CSASCA is evaluated across three scenarios: (1) PV and wind units operating at full power, (2) all units operating within specified limits with unrestricted utility power exchange, and (3) microgrid operation using only non-zero-emission energy sources. This third scenario highlights the algorithm's efficacy in a challenging context not covered in prior research. Simulation results from these scenarios are compared with traditional Sine Cosine Algorithm (SCA) and other recent optimization methods using three test examples. The innovation of CSASCA lies in its chaotic self-adaptive mechanisms, which significantly enhance optimization performance. The integration of these mechanisms results in superior solutions for operation cost, emissions, and execution time. Specifically, CSASCA achieves optimal values of 590.45 €ct for cost and 337.28 kg for emissions in the first scenario, 98.203 €ct for cost and 406.204 kg for emissions in the second scenario, and 95.38 €ct for cost and 982.173 kg for emissions in the third scenario. Overall, CSASCA outperforms traditional SCA by offering enhanced exploration, improved convergence, effective constraint handling, and reduced parameter sensitivity, making it a powerful tool for solving multi-objective optimization problems like microgrid scheduling.
