BACKGROUND: Subtle, prognostically important ECG features may not be apparent to physicians. In the course of supervised machine learning, thousands of ECG features are identified. These are not limited to conventional ECG parameters and morphology. We aimed to investigate whether neural network-derived ECG features could be used to predict future cardiovascular disease and mortality and have phenotypic and genotypic associations. METHODS: We extracted 5120 neural network-derived ECG features from an artificial intelligence-enabled ECG model trained for 6 simple diagnoses and applied unsupervised machine learning to identify 3 phenogroups. Using the identified phenogroups, we externally validated our findings in 5 diverse cohorts from the United States, Brazil, and the United Kingdom. Data were collected between 2000 and 2023. RESULTS: In total, 1 808 584 patients were included in this study. In the derivation cohort, the 3 phenogroups had significantly different mortality profiles. After adjusting for known covariates, phenogroup B had a 20% increase in long-term mortality compared with phenogroup A (hazard ratio, 1.20 [95% CI, 1.17-1.23]; P<0.0001; phenogroup A mortality, 2.2%; phenogroup B mortality, 6.1%). In univariate analyses, we found phenogroup B had a significantly greater risk of mortality in all cohorts (log-rank P<0.01 in all 5 cohorts). Phenome-wide association study showed phenogroup B had a higher rate of future atrial fibrillation (odds ratio, 2.89; P<0.00001), ventricular tachycardia (odds ratio, 2.00; P<0.00001), ischemic heart disease (odds ratio, 1.44; P<0.00001), and cardiomyopathy (odds ratio, 2.04; P<0.00001). A single-trait genome-wide association study yielded 4 loci. SCN10A, SCN5A, and CAV1 have roles in cardiac conduction and arrhythmia. ARHGAP24 does not have a clear cardiac role and may be a novel target. CONCLUSIONS: Neural network-derived ECG features can be used to predict all-cause mortality and future cardiovascular diseases. We have identified biologically plausible and novel phenotypic and genotypic associations that describe mechanisms for the increased risk identified.

• MeSH
• časové faktory MeSH
• elektrokardiografie * MeSH
• fenotyp * MeSH
• hodnocení rizik MeSH
• kardiovaskulární nemoci diagnóza   mortalita   genetika   patofyziologie   MeSH
• lidé středního věku MeSH
• lidé MeSH
• neuronové sítě (počítačové) * MeSH
• prediktivní hodnota testů * MeSH
• prognóza MeSH
• reprodukovatelnost výsledků MeSH
• rizikové faktory MeSH
• senioři MeSH
• srdeční frekvence MeSH
• strojové učení bez učitele MeSH
• Check Tag
• lidé středního věku MeSH
• lidé MeSH
• mužské pohlaví MeSH
• senioři MeSH
• ženské pohlaví MeSH
• Publikační typ
• časopisecké články MeSH
• multicentrická studie MeSH
• Geografické názvy
• Spojené státy americké MeSH