OBJECTIVE: The objective of this study is to evaluate whether adding oral glucocorticoids to immunosuppressive therapy improves skin scores and ensures safety in patients with early diffuse cutaneous systemic sclerosis (dcSSc). METHODS: We performed an emulated randomized trial comparing the changes from baseline to 12 ± 3 months of the modified Rodnan skin score (mRSS: primary outcome) in patients with early dcSSc receiving either oral glucocorticoids (≤20 mg/day prednisone equivalent) combined with immunosuppression (treated) or immunosuppression alone (controls), using data from the European Scleroderma Trials and Research Group. Secondary end points were the difference occurrence of progressive skin or lung fibrosis and scleroderma renal crisis. Matching propensity score was used to adjust for baseline imbalance between groups. RESULTS: We matched 208 patients (mean age 49 years; 33% male; 59% anti-Scl70), 104 in each treatment group, obtaining comparable characteristics at baseline. In the treated group, patients received a median prednisone dose of 5 mg/day. Mean mRSS change at 12 ± 3 months was similar in the two groups (decrease of 2.7 [95% confidence interval {95% CI} 1.4-4.0] in treated vs 3.1 [95% CI 1.9-4.4] in control, P = 0.64). Similar results were observed in patients with shorter disease duration (≤ 24 months) or with mRSS ≤22. There was no between-group difference for all prespecified secondary outcomes. A case of scleroderma renal crisis occurred in both groups. CONCLUSION: We did not find any significant benefit of adding low-dose oral glucocorticoids to immunosuppression for skin fibrosis, and at this dosage, glucocorticoid did not increase the risk of scleroderma renal crisis.

• MeSH
• Administration, Oral MeSH
• Databases, Factual MeSH
• Scleroderma, Diffuse * drug therapy   pathology   diagnosis   MeSH
• Adult MeSH
• Fibrosis MeSH
• Glucocorticoids * administration & dosage   adverse effects   MeSH
• Immunosuppressive Agents * administration & dosage   adverse effects   MeSH
• Drug Therapy, Combination MeSH
• Skin * pathology   drug effects   MeSH
• Middle Aged MeSH
• Humans MeSH
• Prednisone * administration & dosage   adverse effects   MeSH
• Treatment Outcome MeSH
• Check Tag
• Adult MeSH
• Middle Aged MeSH
• Humans MeSH
• Male MeSH
• Female MeSH
• Publication type
• Journal Article MeSH
• Randomized Controlled Trial MeSH
• Geographicals
• Europe MeSH

BACKGROUND: Immune checkpoint inhibitors (ICIs) are an important therapeutic pillar in metastatic urothelial carcinoma (mUC). The occurrence of immune-related adverse events (irAEs) appears to be associated with improved outcomes in observational studies. However, these associations are likely affected by immortal time bias and do not represent causal effects. The aim of this study was to assess the effect of irAEs on outcomes while correcting for immortal time bias, using target trial emulation (TTE). METHODS: TTE was contrasted to adjusted naïve and time-updated Cox models. We performed a multi-institutional retrospective study involving mUC patients under ICI. The primary objective was to assess the impact of irAEs on progression-free survival (PFS) and overall survival (OS). Secondary endpoints included the influence of irAEs on objective response rates (ORRs) to ICI and the influence of systemic corticosteroids on outcomes. RESULTS: Among 335 patients (median age: 69 yrs), 69.6% received ICI in the second line or further lines. During a median follow-up of 21.1 months, 122 (36.4%) patients developed irAEs of any grade (grade ≥ 3: 14.9%). Hazard ratios (HRs) for PFS ranged from 0.37 for naïve adjusted Cox model to 0.88 (95% confidence interval (CI), 0.59-1.30) with time-updated covariates, and from 0.41 to 1.10 (95% CI, 0.69-1.75) for OS. TTE accounting for immortal time bias yielded a HR of 1.02 (95% CI, 0.72-1.44) for PFS, and 0.90 (95% CI, 0.62-1.30) for OS. In contrast to the naïve Cox model (HR = 2.26, 95% CI 1.26-4.05), the presence of irAEs was no longer a predictive factor for improved ORR in time-updated Cox models (HR = 1.27, 95% CI 0.68-2.36) and TTE (HR = 1.43, 95% CI 0.89-2.29). In patients with irAEs, systemic corticosteroids did not negatively impact survival. CONCLUSION: Using TTE, we were able to show that the occurrence of irAEs is no longer associated with better survival or improved response rates to ICI in mUC patients, in contrast to the naïve analysis. These findings demonstrate that TTE is a suitable formal framework to avoid immortal time bias in studies with time-dependent non-interventional exposures.

• MeSH
• Immune Checkpoint Inhibitors * adverse effects   therapeutic use   MeSH
• Carcinoma, Transitional Cell drug therapy   mortality   immunology   MeSH
• Middle Aged MeSH
• Humans MeSH
• Neoplasm Metastasis MeSH
• Urinary Bladder Neoplasms drug therapy   mortality   immunology   pathology   MeSH
• Drug-Related Side Effects and Adverse Reactions etiology   MeSH
• Retrospective Studies MeSH
• Aged, 80 and over MeSH
• Aged MeSH
• Urologic Neoplasms drug therapy   mortality   immunology   pathology   MeSH
• Check Tag
• Middle Aged MeSH
• Humans MeSH
• Male MeSH
• Aged, 80 and over MeSH
• Aged MeSH
• Female MeSH
• Publication type
• Journal Article MeSH
• Multicenter Study MeSH

BACKGROUND: To mimic as closely as possible a randomised controlled trial (RCT) and calibrate the real-world evidence (RWE) studies against a known treatment effect would be helpful to understand if RWE can support causal conclusions in selected circumstances. The aim was to emulate the TRANSFORMS trial comparing Fingolimod (FTY) versus intramuscular interferon β-1a (IFN) using observational data. METHODS: We extracted from the MSBase registry all the patients with relapsing-remitting multiple sclerosis (RRMS) collected in the period 2011-2021 who received IFN or FTY (0.5 mg) and with the same inclusion and exclusion criteria of the TRANSFORMS RCT. The primary endpoint was the annualised relapse rate (ARR) over 12 months. Patients were 1:1 propensity-score (PS) matched. Relapse-rate ratio (RR) was calculated by mean of a negative binomial regression. RESULTS: A total of 4376 patients with RRMS (1140 in IFN and 3236 in FTY) were selected. After PS, 856 patients in each group were matched. The ARR was 0.45 in IFN and 0.25 in FTY with a significant difference between the two groups (RR: 0.55, 95% CI: 0.45 to 0.68; p<0.001). The result of the emulation was very similar and fell within the 95% CI of that observed in the RCT (RR: 0.49, 95% CI: 0.37 to 0.64; p<0.001) with a standardised difference of 0.66 (p=0.51). CONCLUSIONS: By applying the same inclusion and exclusion criteria used in the RCT and employing appropriate methodology, we successfully replicated the RCT results with only minor discrepancies. Also, even if the confounding bias cannot be fully eliminated, conducting a rigorous target trial emulation could still yield valuable insights for comparative effectiveness research.

• MeSH
• Adult MeSH
• Fingolimod Hydrochloride * therapeutic use   MeSH
• Immunosuppressive Agents therapeutic use   MeSH
• Interferon beta-1a * therapeutic use   MeSH
• Middle Aged MeSH
• Humans MeSH
• Randomized Controlled Trials as Topic * MeSH
• Registries * MeSH
• Multiple Sclerosis, Relapsing-Remitting * drug therapy   MeSH
• Treatment Outcome MeSH
• Check Tag
• Adult MeSH
• Middle Aged MeSH
• Humans MeSH
• Male MeSH
• Female MeSH
• Publication type
• Journal Article MeSH

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVES: The median kidney transplant half-life is 10-15 years. Because of the scarcity of donor organs and immunologic sensitization of candidates for retransplantation, there is a need for quantitative information on if and when a second transplantation is no longer associated with a lower risk of mortality compared with waitlisted patients treated by dialysis. Therefore, we investigated the association of time on waiting list with patient survival in patients who received a second transplantation versus remaining on the waiting list. DESIGN, SETTING, PARTICIPANTS, & MEASUREMENTS: In this retrospective study using target trial emulation, we analyzed data of 2346 patients from the Austrian Dialysis and Transplant Registry and Eurotransplant with a failed first graft, aged over 18 years, and waitlisted for a second kidney transplantation in Austria during the years 1980-2019. The differences in restricted mean survival time and hazard ratios for all-cause mortality comparing the treatment strategies "retransplant" versus "remain waitlisted with maintenance dialysis" are reported for different waiting times after first graft loss. RESULTS: Second kidney transplantation showed a longer restricted mean survival time at 10 years of follow-up compared with remaining on the waiting list (5.8 life months gained; 95% confidence interval, 0.9 to 11.1). This survival difference was diminished in patients with longer waiting time after loss of the first allograft; restricted mean survival time differences at 10 years were 8.0 (95% confidence interval, 1.9 to 14.0) and 0.1 life months gained (95% confidence interval, -14.3 to 15.2) for patients with waiting time for retransplantation of <1 and 8 years, respectively. CONCLUSIONS: Second kidney transplant is associated with patient survival compared with remaining waitlisted and treatment by dialysis, but the survival difference diminishes with longer waiting time.

• MeSH
• Time Factors MeSH
• Kidney Failure, Chronic mortality   surgery   MeSH
• Adult MeSH
• Middle Aged MeSH
• Humans MeSH
• Survival Rate MeSH
• Retreatment statistics & numerical data   MeSH
• Retrospective Studies MeSH
• Waiting Lists * MeSH
• Kidney Transplantation statistics & numerical data   MeSH
• Check Tag
• Adult MeSH
• Middle Aged MeSH
• Humans MeSH
• Male MeSH
• Female MeSH
• Publication type
• Journal Article MeSH
• Research Support, Non-U.S. Gov't MeSH