Most cited article - PubMed ID 27053635
Combining clinical and magnetic resonance imaging markers enhances prediction of 12-year disability in multiple sclerosis
BACKGROUND: In a retrospective multicentre cohort study, we explored the association between brain atrophy and multiple sclerosis (MS) disability using different MRI scanners and protocols at multiple sites. METHODS: Relapse-onset MS patients were included if they had two clinical MRIs 12 months apart and ≥2 Expanded Disability Status Scale (EDSS) scores. Percentage brain volume change (PBVC), percentage grey matter change (PGMC), fluid-attenuated inversion recovery (FLAIR) lesion volume change, whole brain volume (BV), grey matter volume (GMV), FLAIR lesion volume and T1 hypointense lesion volume were assessed by icobrain. Disability was measured by EDSS scores and 6-month confirmed disability progression (CDP). RESULTS: Of the 260 relapse-onset MS patients included, 204 (78%) MRI pairs were performed in the same scanner and 56 (22%) pairs were from different scanners. 93% of patients were on treatment and mean PBVC was -0.26% (±0.52). During the median follow-up of 2.8 years from the second MRI, median EDSS change was 0.0 and 12% patients experienced 6-month CDP. Cross-sectional BV and GMV at the later MRI showed a trend for association with CDP (HR 0.99; 95% CI 0.98 to 1.00; p=0.06). Only BV at the later MRI was associated with EDSS score (β -0.03, SE 0.01, p<0.001) and the rate of EDSS change over time (β -0.001, SE 0.0003, p=0.02). There was no association between longitudinal PBVC or PGMC and CDP or EDSS (p>0.05). CONCLUSION: In this highly treated MS cohort with low disability accrual, only cross-sectional BV showed an association with future EDSS scores, while no MRI metric predicted 6-month CDP. These findings highlight the limitations of current clinical MRI measures in predicting disability worsening in real-world settings.
- Keywords
- MRI, MULTIPLE SCLEROSIS,
- Publication type
- Journal Article MeSH
The clinical course of multiple sclerosis (MS) is highly variable among patients, thus creating important challenges for the neurologist to appropriately treat and monitor patient progress. Despite some patients having apparently similar symptom severity at MS disease onset, their prognoses may differ greatly. To this end, we believe that a proactive disposition on the part of the neurologist to identify prognostic "red flags" early in the disease course can lead to much better long-term outcomes for the patient in terms of reduced disability and improved quality of life. Here, we present a prognosis tool in the form of a checklist of clinical, imaging and biomarker parameters which, based on consensus in the literature and on our own clinical experiences, we have established to be associated with poorer or improved clinical outcomes. The neurologist is encouraged to use this tool to identify the presence or absence of specific variables in individual patients at disease onset and thereby implement sufficiently effective treatment strategies that appropriately address the likely prognosis for each patient.
- Keywords
- biomarkers, clinical parameters, evoked potentials, magnetic resonance imaging (MRI), multiple sclerosis, optical coherence tomography, prognosis, treatment,
- MeSH
- Biomarkers MeSH
- Quality of Life MeSH
- Humans MeSH
- Magnetic Resonance Imaging methods MeSH
- Prognosis MeSH
- Recurrence MeSH
- Multiple Sclerosis * diagnosis MeSH
- Check Tag
- Humans MeSH
- Publication type
- Journal Article MeSH
- Research Support, Non-U.S. Gov't MeSH
- Review MeSH
- Names of Substances
- Biomarkers MeSH
At two meetings of a Central European board of multiple sclerosis (MS) experts in 2018 and 2019 factors influencing daily treatment choices in MS, especially practice guidelines, biomarkers and burden of disease, were discussed. The heterogeneity of MS and the complexity of the available treatment options call for informed treatment choices. However, evidence from clinical trials is generally lacking, particularly regarding sequencing, switches and escalation of drugs. Also, there is a need to identify patients who require highly efficacious treatment from the onset of their disease to prevent deterioration. The recently published European Committee for the Treatment and Research in Multiple Sclerosis/European Academy of Neurology clinical practice guidelines on pharmacological management of MS cover aspects such as treatment efficacy, response criteria, strategies to address suboptimal response and safety concerns and are based on expert consensus statements. However, the recommendations constitute an excellent framework that should be adapted to local regulations, MS center capacities and infrastructure. Further, available and emerging biomarkers for treatment guidance were discussed. Magnetic resonance imaging parameters are deemed most reliable at present, even though complex assessment including clinical evaluation and laboratory parameters besides imaging is necessary in clinical routine. Neurofilament-light chain levels appear to represent the current most promising non-imaging biomarker. Other immunological data, including issues of immunosenescence, will play an increasingly important role for future treatment algorithms. Cognitive impairment has been recognized as a major contribution to MS disease burden. Regular evaluation of cognitive function is recommended in MS patients, although no specific disease-modifying treatment has been defined to date. Finally, systematic documentation of real-life data is recognized as a great opportunity to tackle unresolved daily routine challenges, such as use of sequential therapies, but requires joint efforts across clinics, governments and pharmaceutical companies.
- Keywords
- biomarkers, burden of disease, cognitive dysfunction, magnetic resonance imaging, multiple sclerosis, neurofilament,
- Publication type
- Journal Article MeSH
- Review MeSH
BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE: Disappearance of T2 lesions into CSF spaces is frequently observed in patients with MS. Our aim was to investigate temporal changes of cumulative atrophied brain T2 lesion volume and 10-year confirmed disability progression. MATERIALS AND METHODS: We studied 176 patients with relapsing-remitting MS who underwent MR imaging at baseline, 6 months, and then yearly for 10 years. Occurrence of new/enlarging T2 lesions, changes in T2 lesion volume, and whole-brain, cortical and ventricle volumes were assessed yearly between baseline and 10 years. Atrophied T2 lesion volume was calculated by combining baseline lesion masks with follow-up CSF partial volume maps. Ten-year confirmed disability progression was confirmed after 48 weeks. ANCOVA detected MR imaging outcome differences in stable (n = 76) and confirmed disability progression (n = 100) groups at different time points; hierarchic regression determined the unique additive variance explained by atrophied T2 lesion volume regarding the association with confirmed disability progression, in addition to other MR imaging metrics. Cox regression investigated the association of early MR imaging outcome changes and time to development of confirmed disability progression. RESULTS: The separation of stable-versus-confirmed disability progression groups became significant even in the first 6 months for atrophied T2 lesion volume (140% difference, Cohen d = 0.54, P = .004) and remained significant across all time points (P ≤ .007). The hierarchic model, including all other MR imaging outcomes during 10 years predicting confirmed disability progression, improved significantly after adding atrophied T2 lesion volume (R 2 = 0.27, R 2 change 0.11, P = .009). In Cox regression, atrophied T2 lesion volume in 0-6 months (hazard ratio = 4.23, P = .04) and 0-12 months (hazard ratio = 2.41, P = .022) was the only significant MR imaging predictor of time to confirmed disability progression. CONCLUSIONS: Atrophied T2 lesion volume is a robust and early marker of disability progression in relapsing-remitting MS.
- MeSH
- Atrophy diagnostic imaging pathology MeSH
- Adult MeSH
- Middle Aged MeSH
- Humans MeSH
- Magnetic Resonance Imaging methods MeSH
- Brain diagnostic imaging pathology MeSH
- Follow-Up Studies MeSH
- Disease Progression MeSH
- Recurrence MeSH
- Multiple Sclerosis, Relapsing-Remitting diagnostic imaging pathology MeSH
- Check Tag
- Adult MeSH
- Middle Aged MeSH
- Humans MeSH
- Male MeSH
- Female MeSH
- Publication type
- Journal Article MeSH
- Research Support, Non-U.S. Gov't MeSH
OBJECTIVE: To investigate whether the strength of the association between magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) metrics and cognitive outcomes differs between various multiple sclerosis subpopulations. METHODS: A total of 1052 patients were included in this large cross-sectional study. Brain MRI (T1 and T2 lesion volume and brain parenchymal fraction) and neuropsychological assessment (Brief International Cognitive Assessment for Multiple Sclerosis and Paced Auditory Serial Addition Test) were performed. RESULTS: Weak correlations between cognitive domains and MRI measures were observed in younger patients (age≤30 years; absolute Spearman's rho = 0.05-0.21), with short disease duration (<2 years; rho = 0.01-0.21), low Expanded Disability Status Scale [EDSS] (≤1.5; rho = 0.08-0.18), low T2 lesion volume (lowest quartile; <0.59 mL; rho = 0.01-0.20), and high brain parenchymal fraction (highest quartile; >86.66; rho = 0.01-0.16). Stronger correlations between cognitive domains and MRI measures were observed in older patients (age>50 years; rho = 0.24-0.50), with longer disease duration (>15 years; rho = 0.26-0.53), higher EDSS (≥5.0; rho = 0.23-0.39), greater T2 lesion volume (highest quartile; >5.33 mL; rho = 0.16-0.32), and lower brain parenchymal fraction (lowest quartile; <83.71; rho = 0.13-0.46). The majority of these observed results were confirmed by significant interactions (P ≤ 0.01) using continuous variables. INTERPRETATION: The association between structural brain damage and functional cognitive impairment is substantially weaker in multiple sclerosis patients with a low disease burden. Therefore, disease stage should be taken into consideration when interpreting associations between structural and cognitive measures in clinical trials, research studies, and clinical practice.
- Publication type
- Journal Article MeSH
BACKGROUND: Although Fingolimod (FGD) and Natalizumab (NTZ) appear to be effective in relapsing-remitting multiple sclerosis (RRMS), they have never been directly compared in a randomized clinical trial (RCT). METHODS AND FINDINGS: We evaluated the comparative efficacy of FGD vs. NTZ using a meta-analytical approach. Data from placebo-controlled RCTs was used for indirect comparisons and observational data was utilized for head-to-head comparisons. We identified 3 RCTs (2498 patients) and 5 observational studies (2576 patients). NTZ was associated with a greater reduction in the 2-year annualized relapse rate (ARR; SMDindirect = -0.24;95% CI: from -0.44 to -0.04; p = 0.005) and with the probability of no disease activity at 2 years (ORindirect:1.82, 95% CI: from 1.05 to 3.15) compared to FGD, while no differences between the two therapies were found in the proportion of patients who remained relapse-free (ORindirect = 1.20;95% CI: from 0.84 to 1.71) and those with disability progression (ORindirect = 0.76;95% CI: from 0.48 to 1.21) at 2 years. In the analysis of observational data, we found no significant differences between NTZ and FGD in the 2-year ARR (SMD = -0.05; 95% CI: from -0.26 to 0.16), and 2-year disability progression (OR:1.08;95% CI: from 0.77 to 1.52). However, NTZ-treated patients were more likely to remain relapse-free at 2-years compared to FGD (OR: 2.19;95% CI: from 1.15 to 4.18; p = z0.020). CONCLUSIONS: Indirect analyses of RCT data and head-to-head comparisons of observational findings indicate that NTZ may be more effective than FGD in terms of disease activity reduction in patients with RRMS. However, head-to-head RCTs are required to independently confirm this preliminary observation.
- Publication type
- Journal Article MeSH