Approximate Bayesian Computation
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The crucial steps in biological invasions, related to the shaping of genetic architecture and the current evolution of adaptations to a novel environment, usually occur in small populations during the phases of introduction and establishment. However, these processes are difficult to track in nature due to invasion lag, large geographic and temporal scales compared with human observation capabilities, the frequent depletion of genetic variance, admixture and other phenomena. In this study, we compared genetic and historical evidence related to the invasion of the West European hedgehog to New Zealand to infer details about the introduction and establishment. Historical information indicates that the species was initially established on the South Island. A molecular assay of populations from Great Britain and New Zealand using mitochondrial sequences and nuclear microsatellite loci was performed based on a set of analyses including approximate Bayesian computation, a powerful approach for disentangling complex population demographies. According to these analyses, the population of the North Island was most similar to that of the native area and showed greatest reduction in genetic variation caused by founder demography and/or drift. This evidence indicated the location of the establishment phase. The hypothesis was corroborated by data on climate and urbanization. We discuss the contrasting results obtained by the molecular and historical approaches in the light of their different explanatory power and the possible biases influencing the description of particular aspects of invasions, and we advocate the integration of the two types of approaches in invasion biology.
- Klíčová slova
- Erinaceus europaeus, New Zealand, approximate Bayesian computation, biological invasion, establishment, invasion lag,
- MeSH
- Bayesova věta MeSH
- hustota populace MeSH
- ježkovití genetika fyziologie MeSH
- lidé MeSH
- mikrosatelitní repetice genetika MeSH
- mitochondriální DNA genetika MeSH
- molekulární sekvence - údaje MeSH
- populační genetika * MeSH
- zavlečené druhy MeSH
- zvířata MeSH
- Check Tag
- lidé MeSH
- zvířata MeSH
- Publikační typ
- časopisecké články MeSH
- Geografické názvy
- Nový Zéland MeSH
- Názvy látek
- mitochondriální DNA MeSH
Sparse, incomplete and inappropriate historical records of invasive species often hamper invasive species management interventions. Population genetic analyses of invaders might provide a suitable context for the identification of their source populations and possible introduction routes. Here, we describe the population genetics of Heracleum persicum Desf. ex Fisch and trace its route of introduction into Europe. Microsatellite markers revealed a significantly higher genetic diversity of H. persicum in its native range, and the loss of diversity in the introduced range may be attributed to a recent genetic bottleneck. Bayesian cluster analysis on regional levels identified three and two genetic clusters in the native and the introduced ranges, respectively. A global structure analysis revealed two worldwide distinct genetic groups: one primarily in Iran and Denmark, the other primarily in Norway. There were also varying degrees of admixture in England, Sweden, Finland and Latvia. Approximate Bayesian computation indicated two independent introductions of H. persicum from Iran to Europe: the first one in Denmark and the second one in England. Finland was subsequently colonized by English populations. In contrast to the contemporary hypothesis of English origin of Norwegian populations, we found Finland to be a more likely source for Norwegian populations, a scenario supported by higher estimated historical migration from Finland to Norway. Genetic diversity per se is not a primary determinant of invasiveness in H. persicum. Our results indicate that, due to either pre-adaptations or rapid local adaptations, introduced populations may have acquired invasiveness after subsequent introductions, once a suitable environment was encountered.
- Klíčová slova
- approximate Bayesian computation, biodiversity, genetic variation, giant hogweeds, invasive alien species, population genetics,
- MeSH
- Bayesova věta MeSH
- bolševník genetika MeSH
- DNA rostlinná genetika MeSH
- genetická variace * MeSH
- genotyp MeSH
- mikrosatelitní repetice MeSH
- populační genetika * MeSH
- sekvenční analýza DNA MeSH
- shluková analýza MeSH
- vazebná nerovnováha MeSH
- zavlečené druhy * MeSH
- Publikační typ
- časopisecké články MeSH
- práce podpořená grantem MeSH
- Geografické názvy
- Evropa MeSH
- Názvy látek
- DNA rostlinná MeSH
Environmental sources of infection can play a primary role in shaping epidemiological dynamics; however, the relative impact of environmental transmission on host-pathogen systems is rarely estimated. We developed and fit a spatially explicit model of African swine fever virus (ASFV) in wild boar to estimate what proportion of carcass-based transmission is contributing to the low-level persistence of ASFV in Eastern European wild boar. Our model was developed based on ecological insight and data from field studies of ASFV and wild boar in Eastern Poland. We predicted that carcass-based transmission would play a substantial role in persistence, especially in low-density host populations where contact rates are low. By fitting the model to outbreak data using approximate Bayesian computation, we inferred that between 53% and 66% of transmission events were carcass-based that is, transmitted through contact of a live host with a contaminated carcass. Model fitting and sensitivity analyses showed that the frequency of carcass-based transmission increased with decreasing host density, suggesting that management policies should emphasize the removal of carcasses and consider how reductions in host densities may drive carcass-based transmission. Sensitivity analyses also demonstrated that carcass-based transmission is necessary for the autonomous persistence of ASFV under realistic parameters. Autonomous persistence through direct transmission alone required high host densities; otherwise re-introduction of virus periodically was required for persistence when direct transmission probabilities were moderately high. We quantify the relative role of different persistence mechanisms for a low-prevalence disease using readily collected ecological data and viral surveillance data. Understanding how the frequency of different transmission mechanisms vary across host densities can help identify optimal management strategies across changing ecological conditions.
- Klíčová slova
- African swine fever, approximate Bayesian computation, carcass, environmental transmission, persistence, spatial model, transmission, wild boar,
- Publikační typ
- časopisecké články MeSH
Understanding the invasive potential of species outside their native range is one of the most pressing questions in applied evolutionary and ecological research. Admixture of genotypes of invasive species from multiple sources has been implicated in successful invasions, by generating novel genetic combinations that facilitate rapid adaptation to new environments. Alternatively, adaptive evolution on standing genetic variation, exposed by phenotypic plasticity and selected by genetic accommodation, can facilitate invasion success. We investigated the population genetic structure of an Asian freshwater mussel with a parasitic dispersal stage, Sinanodonta woodiana, which has been present in Europe since 1979 but which has expanded rapidly in the last decade. Data from a mitochondrial marker and nuclear microsatellites have suggested that all European populations of S. woodiana originate from the River Yangtze basin in China. Only a single haplotype was detected in Europe, in contrast to substantial mitochondrial diversity in native Asian populations. Analysis of microsatellite markers indicated intensive gene flow and confirmed a lower genetic diversity of European populations compared to those from the Yangtze basin, though that difference was not large. Using an Approximate Bayesian Modelling approach, we identified two areas as the probable source of the spread of S. woodiana in Europe, which matched historical records for its establishment. Their populations originated from a single colonization event. Our data do not support alternative explanations for the rapid recent spread of S. woodiana; recent arrival of a novel (cold-tolerant) genotype or continuous propagule pressure. Instead, in situ adaptation, facilitated by repeated admixture, appears to drive the ongoing expansion of S. woodiana. We discuss management consequences of our results.
- Klíčová slova
- Anodonta woodiana, approximate Bayesian computation, biological invasion, introduction history, invasion genetics, population genetics, unionid mussel,
- Publikační typ
- časopisecké články MeSH
We reconstructed the historical pattern of postglacial biogeographic range expansion of the boreal tree species Alnus incana in Europe. To assess population genetic structure and diversity, we performed a combined analysis of nuclear microsatellite loci and chloroplast DNA sequences (65 populations, 1004 individuals). Analysis of haplotype and microsatellite diversity revealed that southeastern refugial populations situated in the Carpathians and the Balkan Peninsula did not spread north and cannot be considered as important source populations for postglacial recolonization of Europe; populations in Eastern Europe did not establish Fennoscandian populations; populations in Fennoscandia and Eastern Europe have no unique genetic cluster, but represent a mix with a predominant cluster typical for Central Europe; and that colonization of Fennoscandia and Eastern Europe took place from Central Europe. Our findings highlight the importance of an effective refugium in Central Europe located outside classical southern refugia confirming the existence of northern refugia for boreal trees in Europe. The postglacial range expansion of A. incana did not follow the model established for Picea abies. Fennoscandian populations are not derived from Eastern European ones, but from Central European ones.
- Klíčová slova
- Alnus, approximate Bayesian computation (ABC), cpDNA, microsatellite, phylogeography, population structure, postglacial migration,
- MeSH
- Bayesova věta MeSH
- DNA chloroplastová genetika MeSH
- fylogeografie MeSH
- genetická variace MeSH
- haplotypy MeSH
- mikrosatelitní repetice genetika MeSH
- olše genetika MeSH
- populační genetika * MeSH
- stromy MeSH
- Publikační typ
- časopisecké články MeSH
- práce podpořená grantem MeSH
- Názvy látek
- DNA chloroplastová MeSH
The characterization of the largest worldwide representative data set of apricot (Prunus armeniaca L.) germplasm was performed using molecular markers. Genetic diversity and structure of the cultivated apricot genetic resources were analyzed to decipher the history of diffusion of this species around the world. A common set of 25 microsatellite markers was used for genotyping a total of 890 apricot accessions in different collections from the center of origin to the more recent regions of apricot culture. Using a Bayesian model-based clustering approach, the apricot genotypes can be structured into five different genetic clusters (FST = 0.174), correlated with the geographical regions of origin of the accessions. Accessions from China and Central Asia were clustered together and exhibited the highest levels of diversity, confirming an origin in this region. A loss of genetic diversity was observed from the center of origin to both western and eastern zones of recent apricot culture. Altogether, our results revealed that apricot spread from China and Central Asia, defined as the center of origin, following three major diffusion routes with a decreasing gradient of genetic variation in each geographical group. The identification of specific alleles outside the center of origin confirmed the existence of different secondary apricot diversification centers. The present work provides more understanding of the worldwide history of apricot species diffusion as well as the field of conservation of the available genetic resources. Data have been used to define an apricot core collection based on molecular marker diversity which will be useful for further identification of genomic regions associated with commercially important horticultural traits through genome-wide association studies to sustain apricot breeding programs.
- Klíčová slova
- Approximate Bayesian Computation, Prunus armeniaca L., SSR markers, apricot, core collection, diversity pattern, history of diffusion, population structure,
- Publikační typ
- časopisecké články MeSH
Genetic admixture is supposed to be an important trigger of species expansions because it can create the potential for selection of genotypes suitable for new climatic conditions. Up until now, however, no continent-wide population genetic study has performed a detailed reconstruction of admixture events during natural species expansions. To fill this gap, we analysed the postglacial history of Alnus glutinosa, a keystone species of European swamp habitats, across its entire distribution range using two molecular markers, cpDNA and nuclear microsatellites. CpDNA revealed multiple southern refugia located in the Iberian, Apennine, Balkan and Anatolian Peninsulas, Corsica and North Africa. Analysis of microsatellites variation revealed three main directions of postglacial expansion: (i) from the northern part of the Iberian Peninsula to Western and Central Europe and subsequently to the British Isles, (ii) from the Apennine Peninsula to the Alps and (iii) from the eastern part of the Balkan Peninsula to the Carpathians followed by expansion towards the Northern European plains. This challenges the classical paradigm that most European populations originated from refugial areas in the Carpathians. It has been shown that colonizing lineages have met several times and formed secondary contact zones with unexpectedly high population genetic diversity in Central Europe and Scandinavia. On the contrary, limited genetic admixture in southern refugial areas of A. glutinosa renders rear-edge populations in the Mediterranean region more vulnerable to extinction due to climate change.
- Klíčová slova
- Approximate Bayesian computation, black alder, climate change, ice ages, phylogeography, temperate tree,
- MeSH
- Bayesova věta MeSH
- DNA chloroplastová genetika MeSH
- DNA rostlinná genetika MeSH
- genetická variace * MeSH
- klimatické změny * MeSH
- mikrosatelitní repetice MeSH
- modely genetické MeSH
- molekulární evoluce MeSH
- molekulární sekvence - údaje MeSH
- olše genetika MeSH
- populační genetika * MeSH
- refugium * MeSH
- sekvenční analýza DNA MeSH
- Publikační typ
- časopisecké články MeSH
- práce podpořená grantem MeSH
- Geografické názvy
- Evropa MeSH
- Názvy látek
- DNA chloroplastová MeSH
- DNA rostlinná MeSH
Current species distributions at high latitudes are the product of expansion from glacial refugia into previously uninhabitable areas at the end of the last glaciation. The traditional view of postglacial colonization is that southern populations expanded their ranges into unoccupied northern territories. Recent findings on mitochondrial DNA (mtDNA) of British small mammals have challenged this simple colonization scenario by demonstrating a more complex genetic turnover in Britain during the Pleistocene-Holocene transition where one mtDNA clade of each species was replaced by another mtDNA clade of the same species. Here, we provide evidence from one of those small mammals, the bank vole (Clethrionomys glareolus), that the replacement was genome-wide. Using more than 10 000 autosomal SNPs we found that similar to mtDNA, bank vole genomes in Britain form two (north and south) clusters which admix. Therefore, the genome of the original postglacial colonists (the northern cluster) was probably replaced by another wave of migration from a different continental European population (the southern cluster), and we gained support for this by modelling with approximate Bayesian computation. This finding emphasizes the importance of analysis of genome-wide diversity within species under changing climate in creating opportunities for sophisticated testing of population history scenarios.
- Klíčová slova
- Clethrionomys glareolus, Myodes glareolus, approximate Bayesian computation, genome admixture, postglacial colonization, single-nucleotide polymorphism,
- MeSH
- Arvicolinae genetika fyziologie MeSH
- fylogeneze MeSH
- genom * MeSH
- jednonukleotidový polymorfismus * MeSH
- migrace zvířat * MeSH
- rozšíření zvířat * MeSH
- sekvenční analýza DNA MeSH
- zvířata MeSH
- Check Tag
- zvířata MeSH
- Publikační typ
- časopisecké články MeSH
- práce podpořená grantem MeSH
- Geografické názvy
- Anglie MeSH
- Skotsko MeSH
- Wales MeSH
Fossils provide important insight into our understanding of phylogenetic history by serving as calibration points for divergence time estimation. However, uncertainties in the fossil record due to parallel evolution and convergent evolution can critically affect estimates of node ages. Here, we compare and contrast estimates of phylogenetic divergence with geologic and fossil history for two freshwater snail genera of the family Viviparidae in East Asia (Cipangopaludina and Margarya). Cipangopaludina species are commonly widely distributed species in East Asia, but extant Margarya species are endemic to the ancient lakes in Yunnan, China. According to some previous studies, parallel evolution or convergent evolution of shell morphology has occurred in the family several times which may affect divergence time estimation using fossil records. In this study, we used SNP data derived from ddRAD-seq loci to investigate population demographic history of both genera. Our results show a common pattern of lake endemic lineages diversifying from widely distributed lineages in the Miocene, and multiple colonization to a single ancient lake occurred in the Pleistocene. Our results indicate substantial incongruence among estimated phylogenomic divergence times, some fossil records, and formation ages of ancient lakes. These findings suggest some fossil records may be misidentified in these groups and highlight the need to carefully evaluate geological evidence and fossil records when using these for divergence time estimation.
- Klíčová slova
- Ancient lakes, Approximate Bayesian computation, Population genetics, Viviparidae,
- MeSH
- fylogeneze MeSH
- hlemýždi * MeSH
- jezera MeSH
- zkameněliny * MeSH
- zvířata MeSH
- Check Tag
- zvířata MeSH
- Publikační typ
- časopisecké články MeSH
- Geografické názvy
- Čína MeSH
- Dálný východ MeSH
Quaternary climatic oscillations profoundly impacted temperate biodiversity. For many diverse yet undersampled areas, however, the consequences of this impact are still poorly known. In Europe, particular uncertainty surrounds the role of Balkans, a major hotspot of European diversity, in postglacial recolonization of more northerly areas, and the Carpathians, a debatable candidate for a northern 'cryptic' glacial refugium. Using genome-wide SNPs and microsatellites, we examined how the interplay of historical processes and niche shifts structured genetic diversity of diploid Arabidopsis arenosa, a little-known member of the plant model genus that occupies a wide niche range from sea level to alpine peaks across eastern temperate Europe. While the northern Balkans hosted one isolated endemic lineage, most of the genetic diversity was concentrated further north in the Pannonian Basin and the Carpathians, where it likely survived the last glaciation in northern refugia. Finally, a distinct postglacial environment in northern Europe was colonized by populations of admixed origin from the two Carpathian lineages. Niche differentiation along altitude-related bioclimatic gradients was the main trend in the phylogeny of A. arenosa. The most prominent niche shifts, however, characterized genetically only slightly divergent populations that expanded into narrowly defined alpine and northern coastal postglacial environments. Our study highlights the role of eastern central European mountains not only as refugia for unique temperate diversity but also sources for postglacial expansion into novel high-altitude and high-latitude niches. Knowledge of distinct genetic substructure of diploid A. arenosa also opens new opportunities for follow-up studies of this emerging model of evolutionary biology.
- Klíčová slova
- Arabidopsis, RADseq, approximate Bayesian computation, niche differentiation, phylogeography,
- MeSH
- Arabidopsis genetika MeSH
- ekosystém MeSH
- fylogeneze MeSH
- jednonukleotidový polymorfismus MeSH
- mikrosatelitní repetice MeSH
- populační genetika * MeSH
- refugium * MeSH
- Publikační typ
- časopisecké články MeSH
- Geografické názvy
- Balkánský poloostrov MeSH
- východní Evropa MeSH