Identification of the heart model parameters
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PURPOSE: The purposes of this study are to identify the strongest clinical parameters in relation to in-hospital mortality, which are available in the earliest phase of the hospitalization of patients, and to create an easy tool for the early identification of patients at risk. MATERIALS AND METHODS: The classification and regression tree analysis was applied to data from the Acute Heart Failure Database-Main registry comprising patients admitted to specialized cardiology centers with all syndromes of acute heart failure. The classification model was built on derivation cohort (n = 2543) and evaluated on validation cohort (n = 1387). RESULTS: The classification tree stratifies patients according to the presence of cardiogenic shock (CS), the level of creatinine, and the systolic blood pressure (SBP) at admission into the 5 risk groups with in-hospital mortality ranging from 2.8% to 66.2%. Patients without CS and creatinine level of 155 μmol/L or less were classified into very-low-risk group; patients without CS, creatinine level greater than 155 μmol/L, and SBP greater than 103 mm Hg, into low-risk group, whereas patients without CS, creatinine level greater than 155 μmol/L, and SBP of 103 mm Hg or lower, into intermediate-risk group. The high-risk group patients had CS and creatinine of 140 μmol/L or less; patients with CS and creatinine level greater than 140 μmol/L belong to very-high-risk group. The area under receiver operating characteristic curve was 0.823 and 0.832, and the value of Brier's score was estimated on level 0.091 and 0.084, for the derivation and the validation cohort, respectively. CONCLUSIONS: The presented classification model effectively stratified patients with all syndromes of acute heart failure into in-hospital mortality risk groups and might be of advantage for clinical practice.
- MeSH
- hodnocení rizik metody MeSH
- lidé středního věku MeSH
- lidé MeSH
- mortalita v nemocnicích * MeSH
- registrace MeSH
- rizikové faktory MeSH
- senioři nad 80 let MeSH
- senioři MeSH
- srdeční selhání klasifikace mortalita MeSH
- statistické modely * MeSH
- Check Tag
- lidé středního věku MeSH
- lidé MeSH
- mužské pohlaví MeSH
- senioři nad 80 let MeSH
- senioři MeSH
- ženské pohlaví MeSH
- Publikační typ
- časopisecké články MeSH
- práce podpořená grantem MeSH
The paper presents the results of the development of the cardio-forecasting technology, which introduces a new method to monitor the state of human-operator, which is characteristic for the given production conditions and for individual operators, to predict the moment of exhaustion of his/her working capacity. The work aims to demonstrate the unique, distinctive features of the cardio-forecasting technology for predicting an individual limit of his/her working capacity for each person. A unique methodology for predicting individually for each person the moment when he/she reaches the limit of his/her working capacity is based on a spectral analysis of a human phonocardiogram in order to isolate the frequency component located at the heart contraction frequency. The trend of the amplitude of this component is approximated by its model; consequently, the coefficients of the trend model are determined. They include the operator's operating time until his/her working capacity is exhausted. A methodology for predicting the moment when he/she reaches the limit of his/her working capacity for each person individually and assessment based on this degree of criticality of their condition will be realized as a software application for smartphones using the Android operating system.
- Klíčová slova
- cardiogram, identification of model parameters, individual limit of working capacity, model coefficients, trend model, trend of heart rate amplitude,
- MeSH
- lidé MeSH
- monitorování fyziologických funkcí * MeSH
- předpověď * MeSH
- srdce fyziologie MeSH
- Check Tag
- lidé MeSH
- mužské pohlaví MeSH
- ženské pohlaví MeSH
- Publikační typ
- časopisecké články MeSH
- práce podpořená grantem MeSH
BACKGROUND: According to guidelines, the prognosis of patients with chronic heart failure can be predicted by determining the levels of natriuretic peptides, the NYHA classification and comorbidities. The aim our work was to develop a prognostic score in chronic heart failure patients that would take account of patients' comorbidities, NYHA and NT-proBNP levels. METHODS AND RESULTS: A total of 1,088 patients with chronic heart failure with reduced ejection fraction (HFrEF) (LVEF<40%) and mid-range EF (HFmrEF) (LVEF 40-49%) were enrolled consecutively. Two-year all-cause mortality, heart transplantation and/or LVAD implantation were defined as the primary endpoint (EP). The occurrence of EP was 14.9% and grew with higher NYHA, namely 4.9% (NYHA I), 11.4% (NYHA II) and 27.8% (NYHA III-IV) (p<0.001). The occurrence of EP was 3%, 10% and 15-37% in patients with NT-proBNP levels ≤125 ng/L, 126-1000 ng/L and >1000 ng/L respectively. Discrimination abilities of NYHA and NT-proBNP were AUC 0.670 (p<0.001) and AUC 0.722 (p<0.001) respectively. The predictive value of the developed clinical model, which took account of older age, advanced heart failure (NYHA III+IV), anaemia, hyponatraemia, hyperuricaemia and being on a higher dose of furosemide (>40 mg daily) (AUC 0.773; p<0.001) was increased by adding the NT-proBNP level (AUC 0.790). CONCLUSION: The use of prediction models in patients with chronic heart failure, namely those taking account of natriuretic peptides, should become a standard in routine clinical practice. It might contribute to a better identification of a high-risk group of patients in which more intense treatment needs to be considered, such as heart transplantation or LVAD implantation.
- MeSH
- biologické markery krev MeSH
- chronická nemoc MeSH
- lidé středního věku MeSH
- lidé MeSH
- logistické modely MeSH
- natriuretický peptid typu B krev MeSH
- peptidové fragmenty krev MeSH
- plocha pod křivkou MeSH
- prognóza MeSH
- registrace MeSH
- ROC křivka MeSH
- senioři MeSH
- srdeční selhání klasifikace diagnóza patofyziologie MeSH
- tepový objem fyziologie MeSH
- transplantace srdce MeSH
- Check Tag
- lidé středního věku MeSH
- lidé MeSH
- mužské pohlaví MeSH
- senioři MeSH
- ženské pohlaví MeSH
- Publikační typ
- časopisecké články MeSH
- práce podpořená grantem MeSH
- Názvy látek
- biologické markery MeSH
- natriuretický peptid typu B MeSH
- peptidové fragmenty MeSH
- pro-brain natriuretic peptide (1-76) MeSH Prohlížeč
A novel model for the coupling between ventricular repolarisation and heart rate (QT/RR) is presented. It is based upon a transfer function (TRF) formalism that describes the static and dynamic properties of this coupling, i.e., the behaviour after a sudden change in heart rate. Different TRF models were analysed by comparing their capability to describe experimental data collected from 19 healthy volunteers using several RR stimulation protocols: (i) rest with deep breathing at 0.1 Hz; (ii) tilt with controlled breathing at 0.1 and 0.33 Hz; and (iii) cycling. A search for the best TRF led to unambiguous identification of a three-parameter model as the most suitable descriptor of QT/RR coupling. Compared with established static models (linear or power-law), our model predictions are substantially closer to the experimental results, with errors approximately 50% smaller. The shape of the frequency and step responses of the TRF presented is essentially the same for all subjects and protocols. Moreover, each TRF may be uniquely identified by three parameters obtained from the step response, which are believed to be of physiological relevance: (i) gain for slow RR variability; (ii) gain for fast RR variability; and (iii) time during which QT attains 90% of its steady-state value. The TRF successfully describes the behaviour of the RR control following an abrupt change in RR interval, and its parameters may offer a tool for detecting pharmacologically induced changes, particularly those leading to increased arrhythmogenic risk.
- MeSH
- funkce levé komory srdeční fyziologie MeSH
- lidé MeSH
- modely kardiovaskulární * MeSH
- počítačová simulace MeSH
- převodní systém srdeční fyziologie MeSH
- srdce - funkce komor * MeSH
- srdeční frekvence fyziologie MeSH
- Check Tag
- lidé MeSH
- Publikační typ
- časopisecké články MeSH
- práce podpořená grantem MeSH
Cardiovascular diseases represent an economic burden for health systems accounting for substantial morbidity and mortality worldwide. Despite timely and costly efforts in drug development, the cardiovascular safety and efficacy of the drugs are not always fully achieved. These lead to the drugs' withdrawal with adverse cardiac effects from the market or in the late stages of drug development. There is a growing need for a cost-effective drug screening assay to rapidly detect potential acute drug cardiotoxicity. The Langendorff isolated heart perfusion technique, which provides cardiac hemodynamic parameters (e.g., contractile function and heart rate), has become a powerful approach in the early drug discovery phase to overcome drawbacks in the drug candidate's identification. However, traditional ex vivo retrograde heart perfusion methods consume a large volume of perfusate, which increases the cost and limits compound screening. An elegant and cost-effective alternative mode for ex vivo retrograde heart perfusion is the constant-flow with a recirculating circuit (CFCC), which allows assessment of cardiac function using a reduced perfusion volume while limiting adverse effects on the heart. Here, we provide evidence for cardiac parameters stability over time in this mode. Next, we demonstrate that our recycled ex vivo perfusion system and the traditional open one yield similar outputs on cardiac function under basal conditions and upon ?-adrenergic stimulation with isoproterenol. Subsequently, we validate the proof of concept of therapeutic agent screening using this efficient method. ?-blocker (i.e., propranolol) infusion in closed circulation countered the positive effects induced by isoproterenol stimulation on cardiac function. Keywords: Drug development, Drug screening, Cardiovascular safety, Langendorff method, Closed circulation.
- MeSH
- isoprenalin farmakologie MeSH
- krysa rodu Rattus MeSH
- perfuze * metody MeSH
- preklinické hodnocení léčiv metody MeSH
- preparace izolovaného srdce * metody MeSH
- srdce * účinky léků fyziologie MeSH
- srdeční frekvence účinky léků MeSH
- zvířata MeSH
- Check Tag
- krysa rodu Rattus MeSH
- mužské pohlaví MeSH
- zvířata MeSH
- Publikační typ
- časopisecké články MeSH
- Názvy látek
- isoprenalin MeSH
BACKGROUND: The identification of high-risk heart failure (HF) patients makes it possible to intensify their treatment. Our aim was to determine the prognostic value of a newly developed, high-sensitivity troponin I assay (Atellica®, Siemens Healthcare Diagnostics) for patients with HF with reduced ejection fraction (HFrEF; LVEF < 40%) and HF with mid-range EF (HFmrEF) (LVEF 40%-49%). METHODS AND RESULTS: A total of 520 patients with HFrEF and HFmrEF were enrolled in this study. Two-year all-cause mortality, heart transplantation, and/or left ventricular assist device implantation were defined as the primary endpoints (EP). A logistic regression analysis was used for the identification of predictors and development of multivariable models. The EP occurred in 14% of the patients, and these patients had higher NT-proBNP (1,950 vs. 518 ng/l; p < 0.001) and hs-cTnI (34 vs. 17 ng/l, p < 0.001) levels. C-statistics demonstrated that the optimal cut-off value for the hs-cTnI level was 17 ng/l (AUC 0.658, p < 0.001). Described by the AUC, the discriminatory power of the multivariable model (NYHA > II, NT-proBNP, hs-cTnI and urea) was 0.823 (p < 0.001). Including heart failure hospitalization as the component of the combined secondary endpoint leads to a diminished predictive power of increased hs-cTnI. CONCLUSION: hs-cTnI levels ≥ 17 ng/l represent an independent increased risk of an adverse prognosis for patients with HFrEF and HFmrEF. Determining a patient's hs-cTnI level adds prognostic value to NT-proBNP and clinical parameters.
- MeSH
- lidé středního věku MeSH
- lidé MeSH
- míra přežití MeSH
- modely kardiovaskulární * MeSH
- následné studie MeSH
- natriuretický peptid typu B krev MeSH
- peptidové fragmenty krev MeSH
- podpůrné srdeční systémy MeSH
- přežití bez známek nemoci MeSH
- senioři nad 80 let MeSH
- senioři MeSH
- srdeční selhání * krev mortalita patofyziologie MeSH
- tepový objem * MeSH
- transplantace srdce MeSH
- troponin I krev MeSH
- Check Tag
- lidé středního věku MeSH
- lidé MeSH
- mužské pohlaví MeSH
- senioři nad 80 let MeSH
- senioři MeSH
- ženské pohlaví MeSH
- Publikační typ
- časopisecké články MeSH
- klinické zkoušky MeSH
- práce podpořená grantem MeSH
- Názvy látek
- natriuretický peptid typu B MeSH
- peptidové fragmenty MeSH
- pro-brain natriuretic peptide (1-76) MeSH Prohlížeč
- troponin I MeSH
BACKGROUND: Data on the clinical significance of iron deficiency (ID) in patients with myocardial infarction (MI) are conflicting. This may be related to the use of various ID criteria. We aimed to compare the association of different ID criteria with all-cause mortality after MI. METHODS: Consecutive patients hospitalized for their first MI at a large tertiary heart center were included. We evaluated the association of different iron metabolism parameters measured on the first day after hospital admission with all-cause mortality. RESULTS: From the 1,156 patients included (aged 64±12 years, 25 % women), 194 (16.8 %) patients died during the median follow-up of 3.4 years. After multivariate adjustment, iron level ≤13 µmol/L (HR 1.67, 95 % CI 1.19-2.34) and the combination of iron level ≤12.8 µmol/L and soluble transferrin receptor (sTfR) ≥3 mg/L (HR 2.56, 95 % CI 1.64-3.99) termed as PragueID criteria were associated with increased mortality risk and had additional predictive value to the GRACE score. Compared to the model including iron level, the addition of sTfR improved risk stratification (net reclassification improvement 0.61, 95 % CI 0.52-0.69) by reclassifying patients into a higher-risk group. No association between ferritin level and mortality was found. 51 % of patients had low iron levels, and 58 % fulfilled the PragueID criteria. CONCLUSION: Iron deficiency is common among patients with the first MI. The PragueID criteria based on iron and soluble transferrin receptor levels provide the best prediction of mortality and should be evaluated in future interventional studies for the identification of patients potentially benefiting from intravenous iron therapy.
- Klíčová slova
- Criteria, Iron deficiency, Mortality, Myocardial infarction, Outcomes,
- MeSH
- anemie z nedostatku železa * mortalita MeSH
- deficit železa MeSH
- ferritiny krev MeSH
- hospitalizace MeSH
- infarkt myokardu * mortalita MeSH
- lidé středního věku MeSH
- lidé MeSH
- multivariační analýza MeSH
- příčina smrti MeSH
- proporcionální rizikové modely MeSH
- receptory transferinu krev MeSH
- rizikové faktory MeSH
- senioři MeSH
- železo * krev MeSH
- Check Tag
- lidé středního věku MeSH
- lidé MeSH
- mužské pohlaví MeSH
- senioři MeSH
- ženské pohlaví MeSH
- Publikační typ
- časopisecké články MeSH
- Názvy látek
- ferritiny MeSH
- receptory transferinu MeSH
- železo * MeSH
BACKGROUND Determination of prognosis based on ischemia detection, using single‑photon emission computed tomography myocardial perfusion imaging (SPECT‑MPI), can be challenging in patients with multiple affected coronary arteries. AIMS The aim of the study was to examine the outcomes of SPECT‑MPI combined with the coronary artery calcium score (CACS) to identify predictors of adverse cardiac events (ACEs) in patients for whom ischemia detection may be difficult using SPECT‑MPI. METHODS The study group included 195 patients with a history of chronic kidney disease, suspected ischemic cardiomyopathy, or left bundle branch block. All patients underwent SPECT‑MPI and CACS evaluation. During the follow‑up, ACEs were recorded. Perfusion and functional parameters as well as the CACS were analyzed to find the predictors of ACEs. RESULTS The ACEs were recorded in 58 individuals (29.7%) and were significantly associated with ischemia (P <0.001), abnormal functional parameters (P = 0.04), and higher CACSs (P <0.001). The optimal cutoff value of the CACS to predict an ACE was 530. Cox proportional hazards models revealed that age, mild and severe ischemia, functional abnormalities, and a CACS of 530 or higher were significant predictors of ACEs. In the subgroup of individuals without ischemia, a CACS of 530 or higher was significantly associated with poor outcome, while we recorded only 3 ACEs in these patients when the CACS was lower than 530. CONCLUSIONS The addition of the CACS to SPECT‑MPI improves the identification of patients at higher risk for ACEs, even in individuals for whom SPECT‑MPI is challenging.
- MeSH
- chronické selhání ledvin komplikace MeSH
- ischemická choroba srdeční komplikace diagnóza diagnostické zobrazování MeSH
- jednofotonová emisní výpočetní tomografie MeSH
- koronární cévy diagnostické zobrazování MeSH
- lidé středního věku MeSH
- lidé MeSH
- multidetektorová počítačová tomografie * MeSH
- prognóza MeSH
- proporcionální rizikové modely MeSH
- senioři MeSH
- vaskulární kalcifikace komplikace diagnóza diagnostické zobrazování MeSH
- zobrazování myokardiální perfuze * MeSH
- Check Tag
- lidé středního věku MeSH
- lidé MeSH
- mužské pohlaví MeSH
- senioři MeSH
- ženské pohlaví MeSH
- Publikační typ
- časopisecké články MeSH
BACKGROUND: Multiple sclerosis (MS) begins with an acute clinical attack (clinically isolated syndrome) in approximately 85% of patients. The conversion rate from clinically isolated syndrome to multiple sclerosis has been documented at 30% to 82% in previous studies. When an individual presents for evaluation after a single episode of inflammation of the CNS, several decisions regarding follow-up in subsequent years need to be made, including that of whether or not to start a therapy. There is, therefore, an emerging need to identify the predictive factors that anticipate conversion from CIS to MS. METHODS: This paper presents a single-center prospective longitudinal study aimed at identification of the most powerful independent predictors for conversion from CIS to MS, utilizing the 2010 McDonald MS criteria and focusing on selected demographic, clinical, radiographical (magnetic resonance imaging - MRI), cerebrospinal fluid (predominantly oligoclonal bands - OCB) and electrophysiological parameters (multimodal sensory and motor-evoked potentials - EP). Two independent outcomes meeting MS criteria are evaluated: development of second clinical relapse (clinically definite multiple sclerosis) and progression in magnetic resonance imaging (based on new MRI T2 brain and/or spinal cord lesions). CIS patients were followed clinically and MRI was repeated at one and two years within the course of a follow-up period of at least 24 months (median 27, range 24-36 months). RESULTS: Of the 64 CIS patients enrolled who completed at least a 2-year follow-up period (42 women and 22 men, median age 36.5, range 22-66 years), 45 (70.3%) (29 women and 16 men, median age 38; range 22-66 years) fulfilled the 2010 McDonald criteria for MS by dissemination in space (DIS) and time (DIT) over the follow-up period. Twenty-nine CIS patients converted to MS through a clinically symptomatic attack, and 16 CIS patients developed new T2 lesions on MRI, while 19 patients without progression remained stable as CIS. Confirmed among potential predictors for the conversion of CIS patients to MS were increased (>10) baseline MRI T2-hyperintense lesions (odds ratio (OR) 3.107, p = 0.046), OCB positivity (OR 5.958, p = 0.003) and subclinical EP abnormality (OR 14.400, p = 0.003). Multivariate statistical models (logistic regression and Cox proportional hazards regression models) confirmed these parameters as independent predictors of high sensitivity (84%) and acceptable specificity (63%). CONCLUSION: In addition to accepted predictors for the conversion of CIS to MS (i.e. baseline MRI T2 lesion load and OCB positivity), already implemented in current diagnostic criteria for MS, this study demonstrates, in addition, the high predictive value of subclinical multimodal evoked potential abnormalities.
- Klíčová slova
- Clinically isolated syndrome, Evoked potentials, Magnetic resonance, Multiple sclerosis, Oligoclonal bands,
- MeSH
- demyelinizační nemoci * diagnostické zobrazování epidemiologie MeSH
- dospělí MeSH
- lidé středního věku MeSH
- lidé MeSH
- longitudinální studie MeSH
- magnetická rezonanční tomografie MeSH
- mladý dospělý MeSH
- následné studie MeSH
- oligoklonální proužky MeSH
- progrese nemoci MeSH
- prospektivní studie MeSH
- roztroušená skleróza * diagnostické zobrazování epidemiologie MeSH
- senioři MeSH
- Check Tag
- dospělí MeSH
- lidé středního věku MeSH
- lidé MeSH
- mladý dospělý MeSH
- mužské pohlaví MeSH
- senioři MeSH
- ženské pohlaví MeSH
- Publikační typ
- časopisecké články MeSH
- Názvy látek
- oligoklonální proužky MeSH
BACKGROUND AND AIMS: Risk stratification of sudden cardiac death after myocardial infarction and prevention by defibrillator rely on left ventricular ejection fraction (LVEF). Improved risk stratification across the whole LVEF range is required for decision-making on defibrillator implantation. METHODS: The analysis pooled 20 data sets with 140 204 post-myocardial infarction patients containing information on demographics, medical history, clinical characteristics, biomarkers, electrocardiography, echocardiography, and cardiac magnetic resonance imaging. Separate analyses were performed in patients (i) carrying a primary prevention cardioverter-defibrillator with LVEF ≤ 35% [implantable cardioverter-defibrillator (ICD) patients], (ii) without cardioverter-defibrillator with LVEF ≤ 35% (non-ICD patients ≤ 35%), and (iii) without cardioverter-defibrillator with LVEF > 35% (non-ICD patients >35%). Primary outcome was sudden cardiac death or, in defibrillator carriers, appropriate defibrillator therapy. Using a competing risk framework and systematic internal-external cross-validation, a model using LVEF only, a multivariable flexible parametric survival model, and a multivariable random forest survival model were developed and externally validated. Predictive performance was assessed by random effect meta-analysis. RESULTS: There were 1326 primary outcomes in 7543 ICD patients, 1193 in 25 058 non-ICD patients ≤35%, and 1567 in 107 603 non-ICD patients >35% during mean follow-up of 30.0, 46.5, and 57.6 months, respectively. In these three subgroups, LVEF poorly predicted sudden cardiac death (c-statistics between 0.50 and 0.56). Considering additional parameters did not improve calibration and discrimination, and model generalizability was poor. CONCLUSIONS: More accurate risk stratification for sudden cardiac death and identification of low-risk individuals with severely reduced LVEF or of high-risk individuals with preserved LVEF was not feasible, neither using LVEF nor using other predictors.
- Klíčová slova
- Implantable cardioverter-defibrillator, Myocardial infarction, Primary prevention, Sudden cardiac death,
- MeSH
- defibrilátory implantabilní * MeSH
- elektrokardiografie MeSH
- hodnocení rizik metody MeSH
- infarkt myokardu * mortalita komplikace MeSH
- lidé MeSH
- náhlá srdeční smrt * prevence a kontrola epidemiologie etiologie MeSH
- tepový objem * fyziologie MeSH
- Check Tag
- lidé MeSH
- Publikační typ
- časopisecké články MeSH
- metaanalýza MeSH