Old World megadroughts and pluvials during the Common Era
Status PubMed-not-MEDLINE Jazyk angličtina Země Spojené státy americké Médium electronic-ecollection
Typ dokumentu časopisecké články
PubMed
26601136
PubMed Central
PMC4640589
DOI
10.1126/sciadv.1500561
PII: 1500561
Knihovny.cz E-zdroje
- Klíčová slova
- Mediterranean drying, climate change, dendroclimatology, drought atlas, greenhouse gas forcing, megadrought, tree-ring reconstruction,
- Publikační typ
- časopisecké články MeSH
Climate model projections suggest widespread drying in the Mediterranean Basin and wetting in Fennoscandia in the coming decades largely as a consequence of greenhouse gas forcing of climate. To place these and other "Old World" climate projections into historical perspective based on more complete estimates of natural hydroclimatic variability, we have developed the "Old World Drought Atlas" (OWDA), a set of year-to-year maps of tree-ring reconstructed summer wetness and dryness over Europe and the Mediterranean Basin during the Common Era. The OWDA matches historical accounts of severe drought and wetness with a spatial completeness not previously available. In addition, megadroughts reconstructed over north-central Europe in the 11th and mid-15th centuries reinforce other evidence from North America and Asia that droughts were more severe, extensive, and prolonged over Northern Hemisphere land areas before the 20th century, with an inadequate understanding of their causes. The OWDA provides new data to determine the causes of Old World drought and wetness and attribute past climate variability to forced and/or internal variability.
Bavarian State Department for Cultural Heritage Thierhaupten 86672 Germany
Biotechnical Faculty University of Ljubljana Ljubljana SI 1000 Slovenia
Climatic Research Unit University of East Anglia Norwich NR4 7TJ UK
Cornell Tree Ring Laboratory Cornell University Ithaca NY 14853 USA
DeLaWi Tree Ring Analyses Windeck D 51570 Germany
Dendrology Department University of Forestry Sophia 1756 Bulgaria
Department of Earth Sciences Gothenburg University Gothenburg SE 405 Sweden
Department of Ecology University of Barcelona Barcelona 08028 Spain
Department of Forest Ecology Czech University of Life Sciences Prague 16521 Czech Republic
Department of Geography Johannes Gutenberg University Mainz 55099 Germany
Department of Physical Geography Stockholm University Stockholm SE 106 Sweden
Ecoclimatology Technische Universität München Freising 85354 Germany
Environmental Research and Education Mistelbach 95511 Germany
Faculty of Forestry Istanbul University Bahcekoy Sariyer 34473 Istanbul Turkey
Faculty of Forestry University of Applied Sciences Weihenstephan Triesdorf Freising 85354 Germany
Flanders Heritage Agency Brussels 1210 Belgium
Forest Research and Management Institute Calea Bucovinei Campulung Moldovenesc 725100 Romania
German Archaeological Institute Berlin 14195 Germany
Institut für Geographie Universität Innsbruck Innsbruck A 6020 Austria
Institute for Forest Growth University of Freiburg Freiburg 79106 Germany
Jahrringlabor Hofmann Nürtingen 72622 Germany
Labor Dendron Basel 4057 Switzerland
Laboratory of Tree Ring Research University of Arizona Tucson AZ 85721 USA
Lamont Doherty Earth Observatory of Columbia University Palisades NY 10964 USA
Moravian Dendro Labor Brno 61600 Czech Republic
National Museum of Denmark Copenhagen DK 1220 Denmark
Natural Resources Institute Finland Rovaniemi FI 96301 Finland
Navarino Environmental Observatory Messinia 24001 Greece
NTNU University Museum Norwegian University of Science and Technology Trondheim 7012 Norway
Oxford Dendrochronology Laboratory Oxford University Oxford RG4 7TX UK
Paleoecology Center Queens University Belfast BT7 1NN Northern Ireland
Royal Netherlands Meteorological Institute De Bilt 3730 Netherlands
School of Geography and Geosciences University of St Andrews St Andrews KY16 9AL Scotland
Slovenian Forestry Institute Ljubljana SI 1000 Slovenia
Swiss Federal Research Institute WSL Birmensdorf 8903 Switzerland
Technische Universität Dresden Tharandt D 01737 Germany
TeSAF Department Università degli Studi di Padova Agripolis Legnaro 1 35020 Italy
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