A Technological Scenario for a Healthier, More Equitable and Sustainable Europe in 2040: Citizen Perceptions and Policy Implications

. 2019 Dec 28 ; 17 (1) : . [epub] 20191228

Jazyk angličtina Země Švýcarsko Médium electronic

Typ dokumentu časopisecké články, práce podpořená grantem

Perzistentní odkaz   https://www.medvik.cz/link/pmid31905640

This article aims at exploring, understanding and comparing European citizens' insights and perceptions towards "My life between realities", a positive future scenario which depicts a narrative of reaching healthier, more equitable and sustainable societies by 2040 with the support of technology and technological solutions. It responds to the need for gathering and incorporating more citizen insights into future policy developments and strategic actions to tackle the global challenge of unsustainable development. Citizens of five European countries-the Czech Republic, Germany, North Macedonia, Spain and the United Kingdom-have been consulted through focus groups. The exercise has uncovered citizens' preferences and attitudes towards four main lifestyle areas; namely, green spaces, energy efficient housing, active mobility and (food) consumption. The technological attributes of the scenario led to citizens expressing diametrically opposed and critical perceptions and attitudes. Given the prospects of technology in driving sustainable development, based on these insights, policy recommendations for the better integration and acceptance of technological advances by the public are discussed herein.

Zobrazit více v PubMed

United Nations Development Programme (UNDP) Human Development Report 2016. United Nations; New York, NY, USA: 2016.

Elliot A.J. An Introduction to Sustainable Development. 3rd ed. Routledge; New York, NY, USA: 2006.

United Nations Environment Programme (UNEP) Sustainable Consumption and Production. United Nations Environment Programme; Nairobi, Kenya: 2015.

Gereffi G., Lee J. Why the world suddenly cares about global supply chains. J. Supply Chain Manag. 2012;48:24–32. doi: 10.1111/j.1745-493X.2012.03271.x. DOI

World Commission on Environment and Development (WCED) Our Common Future—Brundtland Report. United Nations; San Francisco, CA, USA: Oxford University Press; Oxford, UK: 1987.

Barnes P. Capitalism 3.0. A Guide to Reclaiming the Commons. 1st ed. Berret-Koehler; San Francisco, CA, USA: 2006.

IPCC . In: Climate Change 2014: Synthesis Report. Core Writing TeamPachauri R.K., Meyer L.A., editors. IPCC; Geneva, Switzerland: 2014. Contribution of Working Groups I, II and III to the Fifth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change.

Akenji L., Chen H. A Framework for Shaping Sustainable Lifestyles: Determinants and Strategies. United Nations Environment Programme; Nairobi, Kenya: 2016.

European Union (EU) Raw Material Scoreboard 2018. Publication Office of the European Union; Luxembourg: 2018.

European Environment Agency (EEA) Ecological Footprint of European Countries. [(accessed on 19 November 2019)];2019 Available online: https://www.eea.europa.eu/data-and-maps/indicators/ecological-footprint-of-european-countries-1/assessment.

Global Footprint Network Has Humanity’s Ecological Footprint Reached Its Peak? [(accessed on 20 December 2019)];2018 Available online: https://www.footprintnetwork.org/2018/04/09/has_humanitys_ecological_footprint_reached_its_peak/

Organization for Economic Co-Operation and Development (OECD) European Union (EU) Health at a Glance: Europe 2018: State of Health in the EU Cycle. OECD Publishing; Paris, France: 2018.

European Union (EU) State of Health in Europe. Companion Report 2017. Publication Office of the European Union; Luxembourg: 2017.

Eurostat Population Structure and Ageing. [(accessed on 19 November 2019)];2019 Available online: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/statistics-explained/index.php/Population_structure_and_ageing#The_share_of_elderly_people_continues_to_increase.

European Union (EU) The 2018 Ageing Report: Economic and Budgetary Projections for the EU Member States (2016–2070) Publication Office of the European Union; Luxembourg: 2018. European Economy Institutional Papers.

Organisation for Economic Co-Operation and Development (OECD) Understanding the Socio-Economic Divide in Europe, Background Report. OECD; Paris, France: 2017. Proceedings of OECD Centre for Opportunity and Equality (COPE); Understanding the Socio-Economic Divide in Europe, Paris, France, 26.01.2017.

Stiglitz E.J. The price of inequality: How today’s divided society endangers our future. Sustain. Humanit. Sustain. Nat. Our Responsib. 2014;41:1–21.

Staatsen B., van der Vliet N., Kruize H., Hall L., Morris G., Bell R., Stegeman I. Exploring Triple-Win Solutions for Living, Moving and Consuming That Encourage Behavior Change, Protect The Environment, Promote Health and Health Equity. INHERIT; 2017.

Allen N.L., Christie P.G. The emergence of personalized health technology. J. Med. Internet Res. 2016;18:e99. doi: 10.2196/jmir.5357. PubMed DOI PMC

Eurostat Living Condition in Europe—Poverty and Social Exclusion. [(accessed on 19 November 2019)];2019 Available online: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/statistics-explained/index.php?title=Living_conditions_in_Europe_-_poverty_and_social_exclusion.

Drexhage J., Murphy D. Sustainable Development: From Brundtland to Rio 2012. Background Paper Prepared for Consideration by the High Level Panel on Global Sustainability at Its First Meeting 19 September 2010. United Nations; New York, NY, USA: 2010.

United Nations (UN) The Sustainable Development Goals Report 2017. United Nations; New York, NY, USA: 2017.

Momete D.C. Saferational approach to a valid sustainable development. Procedia Econ. Financ. 2014;8:497–504.

International Institute for Sustainable Development . Sustainable Development Timeline. International Institute for Sustainable Development; Winnipeg, MB, Canada: 2012.

Serrat O. World Sustainable Development Timeline. Asia Development Bank; Manila, Philippines: 2012.

Marcucci A., Panos A., Kypreos S., Fragkos P. Probabilistic assessment of realizing the 1.5 °C climate target. Appl. Energy. 2019;239:239–251. doi: 10.1016/j.apenergy.2019.01.190. DOI

TWI 2050—The World in 2050 . The Digital Revolution and Sustainable Development: Opportunities and Challenges. International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis (IIASA); Laxenburg, Austria: 2019.

Ellen MacArthur Foundation . Artificial Intelligence and the Circular Economy—AI as a Tool to Accelerate the Transition. Ellen MacArthur Foundation; Cowes, UK: 2019.

Majumder S., Deen J.M. Smartphones sensors for health monitoring and diagnosis. Sensors. 2019;19:2164. doi: 10.3390/s19092164. PubMed DOI PMC

Ienca M., Ferretti A., Hurst S., Puhan M., Lovis C., Vayena E. Considerations for ethics review of big data health research: A scoping review. PLoS ONE. 2018;13:e0204937. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0204937. PubMed DOI PMC

European Union (EU) Special Eurobarometer 460. Directorate-General for Communication; Brussels, Belgium: 2017. Attitudes towards the impact of digitization and automation on daily life.

Winfield F.T.A., Jirotka M. Ethical governance is essential to building trust in robotics and artificial intelligence systems. Philos. Trans. R. Soc. A Math. Phys. Eng. Sci. 2018;376:20180085. doi: 10.1098/rsta.2018.0085. PubMed DOI PMC

World Economic Forum (WEF) Reimagining Policy-Making in the Fourth Industrial Revolution. World Economic Forum; Geneva, Switzerland: 2017. Agile governance.

SPREAD 2050 . SPREAD Sustainable Lifestyles 2050. ECN, Lund University and CSCP; Wuppertal, Germany: 2011. Scenario for sustainable lifestyles 2050: From global champions to local loops.

Jousilahti J., Koponen J., Koskinen M., Leppänen J., Lätti R., Mokka R., Neuvonen A., Nuutinen J., Suikkanen H. Work 2040: Scenarios for the Future of Work. Demos; Helsinki, Finland: 2017.

Pérez-Soba M., Paterson J., Metzger J.M., Gramberger M., Houtkamp J., Jensen A., Murray-Rust D., Verkerk P. Sketching sustainable land use in Europe by 2040: A multi-stakeholder participatory approach to elicit cross-sectoral visions. Reg. Environ. Chang. 2016;18:775–787. doi: 10.1007/s10113-018-1297-7. DOI

Verschuuren M., Hilderink B.M.H., Von A.A.R. The Dutch public health foresight study 2018: An example of a comprehensive foresight exercise. Eur. J. Public Health. 2019 doi: 10.1093/eurpub/ckz200. PubMed DOI

Guillen-Hanson G., Strube R., Xhelili A. Four Future Scenarios of a Healthier, More Equitable and Sustainable Europe in 2040. INHERIT, CSCP; Wuppertal, Germany: 2018. Reaching the triple-win.

Neiner A.J., Howze E.H., Greaney L.M. Using scenario planning in public health: Anticipating alternative futures. Health Promot. Pract. 2004;5:69–79. doi: 10.1177/1524839903257692. PubMed DOI

Ringland G. Managing for the Future. 1st ed. John Wiley & Sons Ltd.; New Jersey, NY, USA: 1998. Scenario building.

Fahey L., Randal M.R. Learning from the Future: Competitive Foresight Scenarios. 1st ed. John Wiley & Sons Ltd.; New Jersey, NY, USA: 1997.

European Foresight Platform (EFP) Scenario Method. [(accessed on 25 November 2019)]; Available online: http://www.foresight-platform.eu/community/forlearn/how-to-do-foresight/methods/scenario/

Heijden v.d.K. Scenarios. The Art of strategic Conversation. 1st ed. John Wiley & Sons Ltd.; New Jersey, NY, USA: 1996.

Quist J., Vergragt P. Past and future of backcasting: The shift to stakeholder participation and a proposal for a methodological framework. Futures. 2006;3:1027–1045. doi: 10.1016/j.futures.2006.02.010. DOI

Guillen-Hanson G., Strube R., Xhelili A., Liseri M. Impactful Trends in Europe towards 2040. INHERIT, CSCP; Wuppertal, Germany: 2017.

Powell A.R., Single M.H. Focus groups. Int. J. Qual. Health Care. 1996;8:499–504. doi: 10.1093/intqhc/8.5.499. PubMed DOI

Cornwall A., Jewkes R. What is participatory research? Soc. Sci. Med. 1995;41:1667–1676. doi: 10.1016/0277-9536(95)00127-S. PubMed DOI

Edwards R., Holland J. What Is Qualitative Interviewing? 1st ed. Bloomsbury Publishing; London, UK: 2013.

Acocella I. The focus groups in social research: Advantages and disadvantages. Qual. Quant. 2011;46:1125–1136. doi: 10.1007/s11135-011-9600-4. DOI

Peek L., Fothergill A. Using focus groups: Lessons from studying daycare centers, 9/11, and Hurricane Katrina. Qual. Res. 2009;9:31–59. doi: 10.1177/1468794108098029. DOI

Masadeh M.A. Focus Group: Reviews and practices. Int. J. Appl. Sci. Technol. 2012;2:63–68.

Glaser B.G., Strauss A.L. The Discovery of Grounded Theory: Strategies for Qualitative Research. 1st ed. AldineTransaction; London, UK: 2017.

Michie S., van Stralen M., West R. The behavior change wheel: A new method for characterizing and designing behavior change interventions. Implement. Sci. 2011;6:42. doi: 10.1186/1748-5908-6-42. PubMed DOI PMC

Ballantyne A., Trenwith L., Zubrinich S., Corlis M. I feel less lonely: What older people say about participating in a social networking website. Qual. Ageing Older Adults. 2010;11:25–35. doi: 10.5042/qiaoa.2010.0526. DOI

Lapan S.D., Quartaroli T.M., Riemer J.F. Qualitative Research: An Introduction to Methods and Designs. 1st ed. Jossey-Bass; San Francisco, CA, USA: 2012.

Given L.M. The Sage Encyclopedia of Qualitative Research Methods. 1st ed. SAGE; London, UK: 2008.

Zvěřinová I., Ščasný M., Máca V. INHERIT: Barriers and Potential for Adopting Healthier, More Equitable and Environmentally Friendly Solutions Identified in a Five-Country Survey. Charles University Environment Centre; Prague, Czech Republic: 2018.

Najít záznam

Citační ukazatele

Nahrávání dat ...

Možnosti archivace

Nahrávání dat ...