IBM and the University Hospital Zurich have developed an online tool for predicting outcomes of a patient with polytrauma, the IBM WATSON Trauma Pathway Explorer® . The three predicted outcomes are Systemic Inflammatory Response Syndrome (SIRS) and sepsis within 21 days as well as early death within 72 hours since the admission of the patient. The validated Trauma Pathway Explorer® offers insights into the most common laboratory parameters, such as procalcitonin (PCT). Sepsis is one of the most important complications after polytrauma, which is why it is crucial to detect it early. This study aimed to examine the time-dependent relationship between PCT values and sepsis, based on the WATSON technology. A total of 3653 patients were included, and ongoing admissions are incorporated continuously. Patients were split into two groups (sepsis and non-sepsis), and the PCT value was assessed for 21 days (1, 2, 3, 4, 6, 8, 12, 24, 48 hours, and 3, 4, 5, 7, 10, 14 and 21 days). The Mann-Whitney U-Test was used to evaluate the difference between the two groups. Binary logistic regression was utilized to examine the dependency of prediction. The Closest Top-left Threshold Method provided time-specific thresholds at which the PCT level is predictive for sepsis. At p <0.05, the data were declared significant. R was used to conduct all statistical analyses. The Mann-Whitney U-test showed a significant difference in PCT values in sepsis and non-sepsis patients between 12 and 24 hours, including post-hoc analysis (p <0.05). Likewise, the p-value started to be significant between 12 and 24 hours in the binary logistic regression (p <0.05). The threshold value of PCT to predict sepsis at 24 hours is 0.7μg/l, and at 48 hours 0.5μg/l. The presented time course of PCT levels in polytrauma patients shows the PCT as a separate predictor for sepsis relatively early. Even later, during the 21-day observation period, time-dependent PCT values may be utilized as a benchmark for the early and preemptive detection of sepsis, which may reduce death from septic shock and other deadly infectious episodes.
- Publikační typ
- časopisecké články MeSH
Polytrauma is a major cause of death in young adults. The trial was to identify clusters of interlinked anatomical regions to improve strategical operational planning in the acute situation. A total of 2219 polytrauma patients with an ISS (Injury Severity Score) ≥ 16 and an age ≥ 16 years was included into this retrospective cohort study. Pearson's correlation was performed amongst the AIS (Abbreviated Injury Scale) groups. The predictive quality was tested by ROC (Receiver Operating Curve) and their area under the curve. Independency was tested by the binary logistic regression, AIS ≥3 was taken as a significant injury. The analysis was conducted using IBM SPSS® 24.0. The highest predictive value was reached in the combination of thorax, abdomen, pelvis and spine injuries (ROC: abdomen for thorax 0.647, thorax for abdomen 0.621, pelvis for thorax 0.608, pelvis for abdomen 0.651, spine for thorax 0.617). The binary logistic regression revealed the anatomical regions thorax, abdomen pelvis and spine as per-mutative independent predictors for each other when a particular injury exceeded the AIS ≥3. The documented clusters of injuries in truncal trauma are crucial to define priorities in the polytrauma management.
- Publikační typ
- časopisecké články MeSH
The Watson Trauma Pathway Explorer® is an outcome prediction tool invented by the University Hospital of Zurich in collaboration with IBM®, representing an artificial intelligence application to predict the most adverse outcome scenarios in polytrauma patients: Systemic Inflammatory Respiratory Syndrome (SIRS), sepsis within 21 days and death within 72 h. The hypothesis was how lactate values woud be associated with the incidence of sepsis. Data from 3653 patients in an internal database, with ongoing implementation, served for analysis. Patients were split in two groups according to sepsis presence, and lactate values were measured at formerly defined time points from admission until 21 days after admission for both groups. Differences between groups were analyzed; time points with lactate as independent predictor for sepsis were identified. The predictive quality of lactate at 2 and 12 h after admission was evaluated. Threshold values between groups at all timepoints were calculated. Lactate levels differed from less than 2 h after admission until the end of the observation period (21 d). Lactate represented an independent predictor for sepsis from 12 to 48 h and 14 d to 21 d after admission relative to ISS levels. AUROC was poor at 2 and 12 h after admission with a slight improvement at the 12 h mark. Lactate levels decreased over time at a range of 2 [mmol/L] for 6-8 h after admission. These insights may allow for time-dependent referencing of lactate levels and anticipation of subsequent sepsis, although further parameters must be considered for a higher predictability.
- Publikační typ
- časopisecké články MeSH
The University Hospital Zurich together with IBM® invented an outcome prediction tool based on the IBM Watson technology, the Watson Trauma Pathway Explorer®. This tool is an artificial intelligence to predict three outcome scenarios in polytrauma patients: the Systemic Inflammatory Response Syndrome (SIRS) and sepsis within 21 days as well as death within 72 h. The knowledge of a patient's future under standardized trauma treatment might be of utmost importance. Here, new time-related insights on the C-reactive protein (CRP) and sepsis are presented. Meanwhile, the validated IBM Watson Trauma Pathway Explorer® offers a time-related insight into the most frequent laboratory parameters. In total, 3653 patients were included in the databank used by the application, and ongoing admissions are constantly implemented. The patients were grouped according to sepsis, and the CRP was analyzed according to the point of time at which the value was acquired (1, 2, 3, 4, 6, 8, 12, 24, and 48 h and 3, 4, 5, 7, 10, 14, and 21 days). The differences were analyzed using the Mann-Whitney U-Test; binary logistic regression was used to determine the dependency of prediction, and the Closest Top-left Threshold Method presented time-specific thresholds at which CRP is predictive for sepsis. The data were considered as significant at p < 0.05, all analyses were performed in R. The differences in the CRP value of the non-sepsis and sepsis groups are starting to be significant between 6 and 8 h (p < 0.05) after admission inclusive of post hoc analysis, and the binary logistic regression depicts a similar picture. The level of significance is reached between 6 and 8 h (p < 0.05) after admission. The knowledge of the outcome reflected by the CRP in polytrauma patients improves the surgeon's tactical position to indicate operations to reduce antigenic load and avoid an infectious adverse outcome.
- Publikační typ
- časopisecké články MeSH
Antegrade reamed femoral nailing via the piriformis entry point is the technique of choice in treating femoral shaft fractures, with retrograde nailing as an alternative. The supine position is favored to reduce complications, especially rotational malalignment. With navigation and robotic assistance fracture reduction can be supported and the rate of rotational, axis and length malalignement can potentially further reduced. Careful reaming is the procedure of choice to optimize bony healing and reduce systemic and local complications. In multiply injured patients reamed nailing can be safely integrated in the DCO- or ETC-concept and can be performed in the majority of patients, even when additional severe chest and head injuries are present. Initial resuscitation should focus on general stabilization before definitive femur fixation. Plate osteosynthesis of the femur can be an option in selected patients.
- MeSH
- časové faktory MeSH
- dospělí MeSH
- fraktury femuru patofyziologie chirurgie MeSH
- intramedulární fixace fraktury metody MeSH
- kostní destičky MeSH
- kostní hřeby MeSH
- lidé MeSH
- polohování pacienta MeSH
- robotika MeSH
- Check Tag
- dospělí MeSH
- lidé MeSH
- Publikační typ
- časopisecké články MeSH
- přehledy MeSH
Orthopedic clinics of North America, ISSN 0030-5898 vol. 41, no. 1, January 2010
xi, 130 s. : il., tab. ; 26 cm
- MeSH
- akutní nemoc MeSH
- autologní transplantace metody MeSH
- hojení fraktur MeSH
- nezhojené fraktury MeSH
- pooperační komplikace MeSH
- pseudoartróza MeSH
- zákroky plastické chirurgie metody MeSH
- Publikační typ
- sborníky MeSH
- Konspekt
- Ortopedie. Chirurgie. Oftalmologie
- NLK Obory
- ortopedie
Journal of orthopaedic trauma, ISSN 0890-5339 Vol. 23, no. 5, suppl., May/June 2009
46 s. : il., tab. ; 28 cm
- MeSH
- fraktury femuru chirurgie MeSH
- interní fixátory trendy MeSH
- intramedulární fixace fraktury metody trendy MeSH
- Publikační typ
- sborníky MeSH
- Konspekt
- Ortopedie. Chirurgie. Oftalmologie
- NLK Obory
- ortopedie
- traumatologie
Journal of orthopaedic trauma, ISSN 0890-5339 Vol. 22, no. 10, suppl., 2008
131-176 s. : il., tab. ; 28 cm
- MeSH
- chirurgické laloky MeSH
- debridement MeSH
- fraktury kostí terapie MeSH
- hojení ran fyziologie MeSH
- ortopedické výkony metody MeSH
- osteogeneze pomocí distrakčního aparátu MeSH
- otevřené fraktury terapie MeSH
- pěnové buňky MeSH
- terapie ran pomocí řízeného podtlaku metody MeSH
- Publikační typ
- sborníky MeSH
- Konspekt
- Ortopedie. Chirurgie. Oftalmologie
- NLK Obory
- ortopedie
- traumatologie