Dôsledný prístup lekára k antikoagulačnej liečbe je zásadným faktorom ovplyvňujúcim úspešnosť primárnej a sekundárnej prevencie ischemickej cievnej mozgovej príhody. V klinickej praxi neurológ rieši otázku antikoagulačnej liečby predovšetkým u pacientov s cievnou mozgovou príhodou, či už došlo k jej vzniku na liečbe antikoagulanciami, alebo vznikla u pacienta bez antikoagulačnej terapie, no diagnostický proces odhalil etiologický faktor vyžadujúci takýto typ liečby. Obzvlášť náročné je rozhodovanie o načasovaní antikoagulačnej liečby po príhode. Dôležitý je aj výber konkrétneho preparátu, jeho dávkovanie a zváženie individuálnych rizikových faktorov.
A consistent approach to anticoagulant therapy is a crucial factor influencing the success of primary and secondary prevention of ischaemic stroke. In clinical practice, neurologists deal with anticoagulant treatment mainly in patients who have experienced a stroke, whether it occurred during anticoagulant therapy or in those without such treatment but an etiological factor requiring anticoagulation was identified during the diagnostic process. Deciding on the timing of anticoagulant therapy after stroke is particularly challenging. Equally important is the choice of a drug, its dosage, and consideration of individual risk factors.
- MeSH
- antikoagulační přemostění klasifikace metody MeSH
- antikoagulancia * farmakologie klasifikace terapeutické užití MeSH
- dabigatran farmakologie terapeutické užití MeSH
- fibrilace síní diagnóza farmakoterapie MeSH
- ischemická cévní mozková příhoda * diagnóza farmakoterapie prevence a kontrola MeSH
- rivaroxaban farmakologie terapeutické užití MeSH
- warfarin farmakologie terapeutické užití MeSH
- Publikační typ
- přehledy MeSH
MOTIVATION: The association between weather conditions and stroke incidence has been a subject of interest for several years, yet the findings from various studies remain inconsistent. Additionally, predictive modelling in this context has been infrequent. This study explores the relationship of extremely high ischaemic stroke incidence and meteorological factors within the Slovak population. Furthermore, it aims to construct forecasting models of extremely high number of strokes. METHODS: Over a five-year period, a total of 52,036 cases of ischemic stroke were documented. Days exhibiting a notable surge in ischemic stroke occurrences (surpassing the 90th percentile of historical records) were identified as extreme cases. These cases were then scrutinized alongside daily meteorological parameters spanning from 2015 to 2019. To create forecasts for the occurrence of these extreme cases one day in advance, three distinct methods were employed: Logistic regression, Random Forest for Time Series, and Croston's method. RESULTS: For each of the analyzed stroke centers, the cross-correlations between instances of extremely high stroke numbers and meteorological factors yielded negligible results. Predictive performance achieved by forecasts generated through multivariate logistic regression and Random Forest for time series analysis, which incorporated meteorological data, was on par with that of Croston's method. Notably, Croston's method relies solely on the stroke time series data. All three forecasting methods exhibited limited predictive accuracy. CONCLUSIONS: The task of predicting days characterized by an exceptionally high number of strokes proved to be challenging across all three explored methods. The inclusion of meteorological parameters did not yield substantive improvements in forecasting accuracy.
- MeSH
- incidence MeSH
- ischemická cévní mozková příhoda * epidemiologie MeSH
- lidé MeSH
- logistické modely MeSH
- meteorologické pojmy MeSH
- počasí * MeSH
- předpověď * metody MeSH
- senioři MeSH
- Check Tag
- lidé MeSH
- mužské pohlaví MeSH
- senioři MeSH
- ženské pohlaví MeSH
- Publikační typ
- časopisecké články MeSH
- Geografické názvy
- Slovenská republika MeSH
