Running across the globe for nearly 2 years, the Covid-19 pandemic keeps demonstrating its strength. Despite a lot of understanding, uncertainty regarding the efficiency of interventions still persists. We developed an age-structured epidemic model parameterized with epidemiological and sociological data for the first Covid-19 wave in the Czech Republic and found that (1) starting the spring 2020 lockdown 4 days earlier might prevent half of the confirmed cases by the end of lockdown period, (2) personal protective measures such as face masks appear more effective than just a realized reduction in social contacts, (3) the strategy of sheltering just the elderly is not at all effective, and (4) leaving schools open is a risky strategy. Despite vaccination programs, evidence-based choice and timing of non-pharmaceutical interventions remains an effective weapon against the Covid-19 pandemic.
- MeSH
- biologické modely MeSH
- COVID-19 * epidemiologie prevence a kontrola MeSH
- kontrola infekčních nemocí MeSH
- lidé MeSH
- masky * MeSH
- matematické pojmy MeSH
- pandemie prevence a kontrola MeSH
- SARS-CoV-2 MeSH
- senioři MeSH
- školy MeSH
- Check Tag
- lidé MeSH
- senioři MeSH
- Publikační typ
- časopisecké články MeSH
- Geografické názvy
- Česká republika MeSH
- MeSH
- COVID-19 * ekonomika MeSH
- lidé MeSH
- socioekonomické faktory MeSH
- Check Tag
- lidé MeSH
