AIMS: Specific patterns in incidence may reveal environmental explanations for type 1 diabetes incidence. We aimed to study type 1 diabetes incidence in European childhood populations to assess whether an increase could be attributed to either period or cohort effects. METHODS: Nineteen EURODIAB centres provided single year incidence data for ages 0-14 in the 25-year period 1989-2013. Case counts and person years were classified by age, period and cohort (APC) in 1-year classes. APC Poisson regression models of rates were fitted using restricted cubic splines for age, period and cohort per centre and sex. Joint models were fitted for all centres and sexes, to find a parsimonious model. RESULTS: A total of 57,487 cases were included. In ten and seven of the 19 centres the APC models showed evidence of nonlinear cohort effects or period effects, respectively, in one or both sexes and indications of sex-specific age effects. Models showed a positive linear increase ranging from approximately 0.6 to 6.6%/year. Centres with low incidence rates showed the highest overall increase. A final joint model showed incidence peak at age 11.6 and 12.6 for girls and boys, respectively, and the rate-ratio was according to sex below 1 in ages 5-12. CONCLUSION: There was reasonable evidence for similar age-specific type 1 diabetes incidence rates across the EURODIAB population and peaks at a younger age for girls than boys. Cohort effects showed nonlinearity but varied between centres and the model did not contribute convincingly to identification of environmental causes of the increase.
- MeSH
- diabetes mellitus 1. typu * epidemiologie MeSH
- dítě MeSH
- incidence MeSH
- kojenec MeSH
- lidé MeSH
- mladiství MeSH
- následné studie MeSH
- novorozenec MeSH
- předškolní dítě MeSH
- registrace MeSH
- záchvaty MeSH
- Check Tag
- dítě MeSH
- kojenec MeSH
- lidé MeSH
- mladiství MeSH
- mužské pohlaví MeSH
- novorozenec MeSH
- předškolní dítě MeSH
- ženské pohlaví MeSH
- Publikační typ
- časopisecké články MeSH
BACKGROUND: The month of diagnosis in childhood type 1 diabetes shows seasonal variation. OBJECTIVE: We describe the pattern and investigate if year-to-year irregularities are associated with meteorological factors using data from 50 000 children diagnosed under the age of 15 yr in 23 population-based European registries during 1989-2008. METHODS: Tests for seasonal variation in monthly counts aggregated over the 20 yr period were performed. Time series regression was used to investigate if sunshine hour and average temperature data were predictive of the 240 monthly diagnosis counts after taking account of seasonality and long term trends. RESULTS: Significant sinusoidal pattern was evident in all but two small centers with peaks in November to February and relative amplitudes ranging from ± 11 to ± 38% (median ± 17%). However, most centers showed significant departures from a sinusoidal pattern. Pooling results over centers, there was significant seasonal variation in each age-group at diagnosis, with least seasonal variation in those under 5 yr. Boys showed greater seasonal variation than girls, particularly those aged 10-14 yr. There were no differences in seasonal pattern between four 5-yr sub-periods. Departures from the sinusoidal trend in monthly diagnoses in the period were significantly associated with deviations from the norm in average temperature (0.8% reduction in diagnoses per 1 °C excess) but not with sunshine hours. CONCLUSIONS: Seasonality was consistently apparent throughout the period in all age-groups and both sexes, but girls and the under 5 s showed less marked variation. Neither sunshine hour nor average temperature data contributed in any substantial way to explaining departures from the sinusoidal pattern.
- MeSH
- diabetes mellitus 1. typu diagnóza MeSH
- dítě MeSH
- fotoperioda MeSH
- kojenec MeSH
- lidé MeSH
- mladiství MeSH
- předškolní dítě MeSH
- registrace * MeSH
- roční období * MeSH
- teplota MeSH
- Check Tag
- dítě MeSH
- kojenec MeSH
- lidé MeSH
- mladiství MeSH
- mužské pohlaví MeSH
- předškolní dítě MeSH
- ženské pohlaví MeSH
- Publikační typ
- časopisecké články MeSH
- multicentrická studie MeSH
- Geografické názvy
- Evropa MeSH
AIMS: Genetic variation at the rs560887 locus of the glucose-6-phosphatase, catalytic 2 gene (G6PC2) is known to affect regulation of fasting glycaemia. We determined the rs560887 genotype of patients with monogenic diabetes and glucokinase gene mutations (GCK-MODY) and correlated the genotypes with HbA(1c) levels. METHODS: Patients from families with GCK-MODY were recruited from two large cohorts from Poland (n = 128) and the Czech Republic (n = 154). Genotypes at the rs560887 polymorphic site in G6PC2 were examined using real-time quantitative polymerase chain reaction. The effect of rs560887 genotype on age at diagnosis of GCK-MODY and initial HbA(1c) levels were evaluated separately within both cohorts. Following that, a meta-analysis of rs560887 genotype-HbA(1c) associations of both Polish and Czech cohorts was performed to confirm homogeneity of findings and validate cohort-specific results. RESULTS: GG homozygosity at rs560887 was associated with marginally elevated HbA(1c) levels (P = 0.07 in both cohorts). The effects observed in both groups were very homogeneous (Q = 0.18; P = 0.68). Meta-analysis showed that GG homozygosity at rs560887 was associated with mean HbA(1c) levels higher by 2.4 mmol/mol (0.24%), 95% CI 0.5-4.4 mmol/mol (0.05-0.44%) than in individuals with other genotypes. Additionally, meta-analysis of both cohorts showed that GG homozygous individuals had higher odds of reaching the 48 mmol/mol (6.5%) diagnostic threshold of diabetes; (odds ratio 1.90; 95% CI 1.07-3.36; P = 0.03). No such effects were observed for age at diagnosis of diabetes. CONCLUSIONS: Variation at the rs560887 locus of G6PC2 is associated with worse glycated haemoglobin levels in individuals with GCK mutations; GG homozygotes are more likely to meet diagnostic criteria for diabetes based on HbA(1c) level.
- MeSH
- běloši MeSH
- biologické markery krev MeSH
- diabetes mellitus 2. typu MeSH
- dítě MeSH
- genetická variace MeSH
- genotyp MeSH
- glukosa-6-fosfatasa * genetika MeSH
- glykovaný hemoglobin * metabolismus MeSH
- krevní glukóza * genetika metabolismus MeSH
- lidé MeSH
- mladiství MeSH
- mutace * MeSH
- omezení příjmu potravy krev MeSH
- Check Tag
- dítě MeSH
- lidé MeSH
- mladiství MeSH
- mužské pohlaví MeSH
- ženské pohlaví MeSH
- Geografické názvy
- Česká republika MeSH
- Polsko MeSH
